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Epidemic models are increasingly used in real-world networks to understand diffusion phenomena (such as the spread of diseases, emotions, innovations, failures) or the transport of information (such as news, memes in social on-line…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-06 Piet Van Mieghem

We study the problem of parameter estimation based on infection data from an epidemic outbreak on a graph. We assume that successive infections occur via contagion; i.e., transmissions can only spread across existing directed edges in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-15 Justin Khim , Po-Ling Loh

We introduce the effect of site contamination in a model for spatial epidemic spread and show that the presence of site contamination may have a strict effect on the model in the sense that it can make an otherwise subcritical process…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-23 Tom Britton , Maria Deijfen , Fabio Lopes

We examine the spread of an infectious disease, such as one that is caused by a respiratory virus, with two distinct modes of transmission. To do this, we consider a susceptible--infected--susceptible (SIS) disease on a hypergraph, which…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-09 Tung D. Nguyen , Mason A. Porter

We consider a space-time SI epidemic model with infection age-dependent infectivity and non-local infections constructed on a grid of the torus $\mathbb{T}^1 =(0, 1]^d$, where the individuals may migrate from node to another. The migration…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-06 Anicet Mougabe-Peurkor , Étienne Pardoux , Ténan Yeo

Let $(G,\mu)$ be a uniformly elliptic random conductance graph on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ with a Poisson point process of particles at time $t=0$ that perform independent simple random walks. We show that inside a cube $Q_K$ of side length $K$, if…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Peter Gracar , Alexandre Stauffer

In most models of the spread of disease over contact networks it is assumed that the probabilities per unit time of disease transmission and recovery from disease are constant, implying exponential distributions of the time intervals for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-07-23 Brian Karrer , M. E. J. Newman

Two simple agent based models are often employed in epidemic studies: the susceptible-infected (SI) and the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS). Both models describe the time evolution of infectious diseases in networks in which vertices…

We introduce a new method to efficiently approximate the number of infections resulting from a given initially-infected node in a network of susceptible individuals. Our approach is based on counting the number of possible infection walks…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-10-25 Frank Bauer , Joseph T. Lizier

In this work, we aim to understand the influence of the heterogeneity of infection rates on the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) epidemic spreading. Employing the classic SIS model as the benchmark, we study the influence of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-06 Bo Qu , Huijuan Wang

We study an individual-based stochastic SIR epidemic model with infection-age dependent infectivity on a large random graph, capturing individual heterogeneity and non-homogeneous connectivity. Each individual is associated with particular…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Guodong Pang , Étienne Pardoux , Aurélien Velleret

Various theoretical models have been proposed to understand the basic nature of epidemics. Recent studies focus on the effects of mobility to epidemic process. However, uncorrelated random walk is typically assumed as the type of movement.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-04 Genki Ichinose , Yoshiki Satotani , Hiroki Sayama , Takashi Nagatani

We focus on an epidemiological model (the archetypical SIR system) defined on graphs and study the asymptotic behavior of the solutions as the number of vertices in the graph diverges. By relying on the theory of so called graphons we…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-10-27 Blanca Ayuso de Dios , Simone Dovetta , Laura V. Spinolo

Two factors that are often ignored but could play a crucial role in the progression of an infectious disease are the distributions of inherent susceptibility ($\sigma_{inh}$) and external infectivity ($\iota_{ext}$), in a given population.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-01 Saumyak Mukherjee , Sayantan Mondal , Biman Bagchi

We are interested in a variation of the SIR (Susceptible/Infected/Recovered) dynamics on the complete graph, in which infected individuals may only spread to neighboring susceptible individuals at fixed rate $\lambda>0$ while recovered…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-19 Igor Kortchemski

An epidemic model where disease transmission can occur either through global contacts or through local, nearest neighbor interactions is considered. The classical SIR--model describing the global interactions is extended by adding…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-02 Thomas Götz

In this work, we study the epidemic SIR model on a system which takes into consideration face-to-face interaction networks. This approach has been used as prototype to describe people interactions in different kinds of social organizations…

We propose an SIR epidemic model coupled with opinion dynamics to study an epidemic and opinions spreading in a network of communities. Our model couples networked SIR epidemic dynamics with opinions towards the severity of the epidemic,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-23 Baike She , Humphrey C. H. Leung , Shreyas Sundaram , Philip E. Paré

We study a multi-type SIR epidemic process among a heterogeneous population that interacts through a network. When we base social contact on a random graph with given vertex degrees, we give limit theorems on the fraction of infected…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-02 Hamed Amini , Andreea Minca

Recent studies on network geometry, a way of describing network structures as geometrical objects, are revolutionizing our way to understand dynamical processes on networked systems. Here, we cope with the problem of epidemic spreading,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-04 Joan T. Matamalas , Sergio Gómez , Alex Arenas
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