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Current research challenges in sustainability science require us to consider nonlinear changes e.g. shifts that do not happen gradually but can be sudden and difficult to predict. Central questions are therefore how we can prevent harmful…

People sometimes change their opinions when they discuss things with other people. Researchers can use mathematics to study opinion changes in simplifications of real-life situations. These simplified settings, which are examples of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-07 Grace J. Li , Jiajie Luo , Kaiyan Peng , Mason A. Porter

We perform a statistical analysis of scientific-publication data with a goal to provide quantitative analysis of scientific process. Such an investigation belongs to the newly established field of scientometrics: a branch of the general…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2020-03-24 Olesya Mryglod , Yurij Holovatch , Ralph Kenna

Paleoclimate records provide a critical long-term perspective on natural climate variability, essential for understanding contemporary climate change. However, existing paleoclimate proxies lack the spatial-temporal coverage for studying…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-17 Gan Zhang , Kuanhui Elaine Lin , Dan Fu , Tom Knutson , Jorg Franke , Wan-Ling Tseng

In a Forum published in EOS Transactions AGU (2009) entitled "Lies, damned lies and statistics (in Geology)", Vermeesch (2009) claims that "statistical significant is not the same as geological significant", in other words, statistical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-18 D. Sornette , V. Pisarenko

Statistics experiences a storm around the perceived misuse and possible abuse of its methods in the context of the so-called reproducibility crisis. The methods and styles of quantification practiced in mathematical modelling rarely make it…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-20 Andrea Saltelli

Statistical physics provides a useful perspective for the analysis of many complex systems; it allows us to relate microscopic fluctuations to macroscopic observations. Developmental biology, but also cell biology more generally, are…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-10 Anissa Guillemin , Michael P. H. Stumpf

The advancement of various fields of science depends on the actions of individual scientists via the peer review process. The referees' work patterns and stochastic nature of decision making both relate to the particular features of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-04-19 T. Hartonen , M. J. Alava

Yule's 1925 paper introducing the branching model that bears his name was a landmark contribution to the biodiversity sciences. In his paper, Yule developed stochastic models to explain the observed distribution of species across genera and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-16 Matt Pennell , Ailene MacPherson

Ordinal user-provided ratings across multiple items are frequently encountered in both scientific and commercial applications. Whilst recommender systems are known to do well on these type of data from a predictive point of view, their…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Sjoerd Hermes

Whether or not biodiversity dynamics tend toward stable equilibria remains an unsolved question in ecology and evolution with important implications for our understanding of diversity and its conservation. Phylo/population genetic models…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-16 A. J. Rominger , I. Overcast , H. Krehenwinkel , R. G. Gillespie , J. Harte , M. J. Hickerson

The consequences of anthropogenic climate change are extensively debated through scientific papers, newspaper articles, and blogs. Newspaper articles may lack accuracy, while the severity of findings in scientific papers may be too opaque…

This paper calls attention to the missing component of the recommender system evaluation process: Statistical Inference. There is active research in several components of the recommender system evaluation process: selecting baselines,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Ngozi Ihemelandu , Michael D. Ekstrand

The current critical review aims to be more than a simple summary and reproduction of previously published work. Many comprehensive reviews and collections can be found in the literature. The main intention is to provide an account of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-04-21 Spyros N. Yannopoulos

The gap in statistics between multi-variate and time-series analysis can be bridged by using entropy statistics and recent developments in multi-dimensional scaling. For explaining the evolution of the sciences as non-linear dynamics, the…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2012-11-13 Loet Leydesdorff

Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) of the climate and economy aim to analyze the impact and efficacy of policies that aim to control climate change, such as carbon taxes and subsidies. A major characteristic of IAMs is that their…

General Economics · Economics 2020-10-20 Yongyang Cai

The last decade has witnessed a number of important and exciting developments that had been achieved for improving recurrence plot based data analysis and to widen its application potential. We will give a brief overview about important and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-09-09 Norbert Marwan , K. Hauke Kraemer

The future energy system will largely depend on volatile renewable energy sources and temperature-dependent loads, which makes the weather a central influencing factor. This article presents a novel approach for simulating weather scenarios…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-31 Jan Peper , David Kröger , Jonathan Kipp , Florian Ziel , Christian Rehtanz

Many applications of computational social science aim to infer causal conclusions from non-experimental data. Such observational data often contains confounders, variables that influence both potential causes and potential effects.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Katherine A. Keith , David Jensen , Brendan O'Connor

The Bayesian statistical paradigm provides a principled and coherent approach to probabilistic forecasting. Uncertainty about all unknowns that characterize any forecasting problem -- model, parameters, latent states -- is able to be…