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Current techniques for predicting climate change are mainly based on "massive" deterministic numerical modeling. However, the ocean-atmosphere system is a so-called "complex system", made up of a large number of interacting elements. We…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-05-31 Francois Louchet

The method of maximum entropy (ME) is extended to address the following problem: Once one accepts that the ME distribution is to be preferred over all others, the question is to what extent are distributions with lower entropy supposed to…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 Ariel Caticha

Machine learning (ML)-based interatomic potentials are currently garnering a lot of attention as they strive to achieve the accuracy of electronic structure methods at the computational cost of empirical potentials. Given their generic…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-02-20 Mariia Karabin , Danny Perez

Finding the model that best describes a high-dimensional dataset is a daunting task, even more so if one aims to consider all possible high-order patterns of the data, going beyond pairwise models. For binary data, we show that this task…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Clélia de Mulatier , Matteo Marsili

In the paper, we introduce the maximum entropy estimator based on 2-dimensional empirical distribution of the observation sequence of hidden Markov model , when the sample size is big: in that case computing the maximum likelihood estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Shulan Hu , Xinyu Wang , Liming Wu

When the climate system is forced, e.g. by emission of greenhouse gases, it responds on multiple time scales. As temperatures rise, feedback processes might intensify or weaken. Current methods to analyze feedback strength, however, do not…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-03 Robbin Bastiaansen , Henk A. Dijkstra , Anna S. von der Heydt

We propose a mixedness quantifier based on entropy fluctuations. It provides information about the degree of mixedness either for finite dimensional and infinite dimensional Hilbert spaces. It may be used to determine the reduction of the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-07-18 Jorge A. Anaya-Contreras , Arturo Zúñiga-Segundo , Héctor M. Moya-Cessa

Thermodynamics teaches that if a system initially off-equilibrium is coupled to work sources, the maximum work that it may yield is governed by its energy and entropy. For finite systems this bound is usually not reachable. The maximum…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 A. E. Allahverdyan , R. Balian , Th. M. Nieuwenhuizen

The coarse spatial resolution of gridded climate models, such as general circulation models, limits their direct use in projecting socially relevant variables like extreme precipitation. Most downscaling methods estimate the conditional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-06 Louise Largeau , Tom Beucler , David Leutwyler , Gregoire Mariethoz , Valerie Chavez-Demoulin , Erwan Koch

Moment-closure methods are popular tools to simplify the mathematical analysis of stochastic models defined on networks, in which high dimensional joint distributions are approximated (often by some heuristic argument) as functions of lower…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-05-25 Tim Rogers

EGRET data are usually analysed on the basis of the Maximum-Likelihood method \cite{ma96} in a search for point sources in excess to a model for the background radiation (e.g. \cite{hu97}). This method depends strongly on the quality of the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-30 Martin Pohl

A brief discussion is given of the traditional version of the Maximum Entropy Method, including a review of some of the criticism that has been made in regard to its use in statistical inference. Motivated by these questions, a modified…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-09-12 Robert Kariotis

The ability of many powerful machine learning algorithms to deal with large data sets without compromise is often hampered by computationally expensive linear algebra tasks, of which calculating the log determinant is a canonical example.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-11 Diego Granziol , Stephen Roberts

In this contribution, models of wireless channels are derived from the maximum entropy principle, for several cases where only limited information about the propagation environment is available. First, analytical models are derived for the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 M. Guillaud , M. Debbah , A. L. Moustakas

The set of solutions inferred by the generic maximum entropy (MaxEnt) or maximum relative entropy (MaxREnt) principles of Jaynes - considered as a function of the moment constraints or their conjugate Lagrangian multipliers - is endowed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-23 Robert K. Niven , Bjarne Andresen

Weather extremes produce major impacts on society and ecosystems and are likely to change in likelihood and magnitude with climate change. However, very low probability events are hard to characterize statistically using observations or…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-28 Christopher J. Paciorek , Daniel Cooley

We study the use of von Neumann entropy constraints for obtaining lower bounds on the ground energy of quantum many-body systems. Known methods for obtaining certificates on the ground energy typically use consistency of local observables…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-06-19 Hamza Fawzi , Omar Fawzi , Samuel O. Scalet

We present a simple comparative framework for testing and developing uncertainty modeling in uncertain marching cubes implementations. The selection of a model to represent the probability distribution of uncertain values directly…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Robert Sisneros , Tushar M. Athawale , David Pugmire , Kenneth Moreland

Extreme value analysis is an essential methodology in the study of rare and extreme events, which hold significant interest in various fields, particularly in the context of environmental sciences. Models that employ the exceedances of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Lorenzo Dell'Oro , Carlo Gaetan

Food webs are complex ecological networks whose structure is both ecologically and statistically constrained, with many network properties being correlated with each other. Despite the recognition of these invariable relationships in food…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-18 Francis Banville , Dominique Gravel , Timothée Poisot