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The principle of maximum entropy is a broadly applicable technique for computing a distribution with the least amount of information possible while constrained to match empirically estimated feature expectations. However, in many real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Kenneth Bogert , Yikang Gui , Prashant Doshi

We briefly review some of the scientific challenges and epistemological issues related to climate science. We discuss the formulation and testing of theories and numerical models, which, given the presence of unavoidable uncertainties in…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2022-03-31 Valerio Lucarini

The problem of determining the joint probability distributions for correlated random variables with pre-specified marginals is considered. When the joint distribution satisfying all the required conditions is not unique, the "most unbiased"…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 Hernán Larralde

The principle of maximum entropy (Maxent) is often used to obtain prior probability distributions as a method to obtain a Gibbs measure under some restriction giving the probability that a system will be in a certain state compared to the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Hector Zenil , Narsis A. Kiani , Jesper Tegnér

Climate change is one of the most critical challenges that our planet is facing today. Rising global temperatures are already bringing noticeable changes to Earth's weather and climate patterns with an increased frequency of unpredictable…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-19 Karandeep Singh , Chaeyoon Jeong , Naufal Shidqi , Sungwon Park , Arjun Nellikkattil , Elke Zeller , Meeyoung Cha

The selection of an equilibrium state by maximising the entropy of a system, subject to certain constraints, is often powerfully motivated as an exercise in logical inference, a procedure where conclusions are reached on the basis of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-03 Ian J. Ford

Mixture modeling is a general technique for making any simple model more expressive through weighted combination. This generality and simplicity in part explains the success of the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm, in which updates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-29 Sida I. Wang , Arun Tejasvi Chaganty , Percy Liang

Changepoint detection is commonly formulated by minimizing the sum of in-sample losses to quantify the model's overall fit. However, for flexible modeling procedures -- especially those involving high-dimensional parameter spaces or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Chengde Qian , Guanghui Wang , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou

We present a novel algorithm for generating robust and consistent hypotheses for multiple-structure model fitting. Most of the existing methods utilize random sampling which produce varying results especially when outlier ratio is high. For…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-07-26 Kwang Hee Lee , Chanki Yu , Sang Wook Lee

Intermittent renewable energy resources like wind and solar pose great uncertainty of multiple time scales, from minutes to years, on the design and operation of power systems. Energy system optimization models have been developed to find…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Yuheng Zhang , Vivian Cheng , Dharik S. Mallapragada , Jie Song , Guannan He

This paper presents the development of a new entropy-based feature selection method for identifying and quantifying impacts. Here, impacts are defined as statistically significant differences in spatio-temporal fields when comparing…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-27 Jerry Watkins , Luca Bertagna , Graham Harper , Andrew Steyer , Irina Tezaur , Diana Bull

The application of principles of thermodynamics and statistical mechanics to economic systems is considered in a broad historical perspective, extending from prehistoric times to the present day. The hypothesis of maximum entropy production…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Alastair D. Jenkins

We present a bipartite network model that captures intermediate stages of optimization by blending the Maximum Entropy approach with Optimal Transport. In this framework, the network's constraints define the total mass each node can supply…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-05 Lorenzo Buffa , Dario Mazzilli , Riccardo Piombo , Fabio Saracco , Giulio Cimini , Aurelio Patelli

Making decisions freely presupposes that there is some indeterminacy in the environment and in the decision making engine. The former is reflected on the behavioral changes due to communicating: few changes indicate rigid environments;…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-23 Luis A. Pineda

The conditional maximum-entropy method (abbreviated here as C-MaxEnt) is formulated for selecting prior probability distributions in Bayesian statistics for parameter estimation. This method is inspired by a statistical-mechanical approach…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-18 Sumiyoshi Abe

Inferring a quantum system from incomplete information is a common problem in many aspects of quantum information science and applications, where the principle of maximum entropy (MaxEnt) plays an important role. The quantum state…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-07-26 Shi-Yao Hou , Zipeng Wu , Jinfeng Zeng , Ningping Cao , Chenfeng Cao , Youning Li , Bei Zeng

Information-theoretic quantities, such as entropy, are used to quantify the amount of information a given variable provides. Entropies can be used together to compute the mutual information, which quantifies the amount of information two…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-12-22 Kevin H. Knuth , Deniz Gençağa , William B. Rossow

Delay embedding---a method for reconstructing dynamical systems by delay coordinates---is widely used to forecast nonlinear time series as a model-free approach. When multivariate time series are observed, several existing frameworks can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-04 Shunya Okuno , Kazuyuki Aihara , Yoshito Hirata

In practice, many empirical networks, including co-authorship and collocation networks are unimodal projections of a bipartite data structure where one layer represents entities, the second layer consists of a number of sets representing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-07 Navid Dianati

Whether a system is to be considered complex or not depends on how one searches for correlations. We propose a general scheme for calculation of entropies in lattice systems that has high flexibility in how correlations are successively…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-18 Torbjørn Helvik , Kristian Lindgren