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Time-varying volatility is an inherent feature of most economic time-series, which causes standard correlation estimators to be inconsistent. The quadrant correlation estimator is consistent but very inefficient. We propose a novel…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-01 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Yiyao Luo

This paper develops a three-dimensional decomposition of volatility memory into orthogonal components of level, shape, and tempo. The framework unifies regime-switching, fractional-integration, and business-time approaches within a single…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-03 Ziyao Wang , A. Alexandre Trindade , Svetlozar T. Rachev

We exploit a continuous time random walk description of stock prices to obtain a fast and accurate evaluation of their volatility from intraday data. We show that financial markets are usefully described as open physical systems. Indeed we…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Rosario Bartiromo

We propose how to quantify high-frequency market sentiment using high-frequency news from NASDAQ news platform and support vector machine classifiers. News arrive at markets randomly and the resulting news sentiment behaves like a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-04 Jozef Barunik , Cathy Yi-Hsuan Chen , Jan Vecer

We study the dependence of volatility on the stock price in the stochastic volatility framework on the example of the Heston model. To be more specific, we consider the conditional expectation of variance (square of volatility) under fixed…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-07-29 Mikhail Martynov , Olga Rozanova

We study the volatility of the MIB30-stock-index high-frequency data from November 28, 1994 through September 15, 1995. Our aim is to empirically characterize the volatility random walk in the framework of continuous-time finance. To this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Marco Raberto , Enrico Scalas , Gianaurelio Cuniberti , Massimo Riani

We report evidence of a deep interplay between cross-correlations hierarchical properties and multifractality of New York Stock Exchange daily stock returns. The degree of multifractality displayed by different stocks is found to be…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-10 Raffaello Morales , T. Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

We study the dynamics of the linear and non-linear serial dependencies in financial time series in a rolling window framework. In particular, we focus on the detection of episodes of statistically significant two- and three-point…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-10 Milan Žukovič

Models for financial risk often assume that underlying asset returns are stationary. However, there is strong evidence that multivariate financial time series entail changes not only in their within-series dependence structure, but also in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-03 Haeran Cho , Karolos Korkas

Volatility asymmetry is a hot topic in high-frequency financial market. In this paper, we propose a new econometric model, which could describe volatility asymmetry based on high-frequency historical data and low-frequency historical data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-15 Huiling Yuan , Yong Zhou , Lu Xu , Yun Lei Sun , Xiang Yu Cui

The characterization and monitoring of buildings is an issue that has attracted the interest of many sectors over the last two decades. With the increasing use of permanent, continuous and real-time networks, ambient vibrations can provide…

We employ single-qubit quantum circuit learning (QCL) to model the dynamics of volatility time series. To assess its effectiveness, we generate synthetic data using the Rational GARCH model, which is specifically designed to capture…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-29 Tetsuya Takaishi

Behavioral theories posit that investor sentiment exhibits predictive power for stock returns, whereas there is little study have investigated the relationship between the time horizon of the predictive effect of investor sentiment and the…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-03-20 Yong Jiang , Zhongbao Zhou

It is commonly believed that the correlations between stock returns increase in high volatility periods. We investigate how much of these correlations can be explained within a simple non-Gaussian one-factor description with time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Pierre Cizeau , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We show that the moments of the distribution of historic stock returns are in excellent agreement with the Heston model and not with the multiplicative model, which predicts power-law tails of volatility and stock returns. We also show that…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-01 Zhiyuan Liu , M. Dashti Moghaddam , R. A. Serota

Housing markets play a crucial role in economies and the collapse of a real-estate bubble usually destabilizes the financial system and causes economic recessions. We investigate the systemic risk and spatiotemporal dynamics of the US…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-31 Hao Meng , Wen-Jie Xie , Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Boris Podobnik , Wei-Xing Zhou , H. Eugene Stanley

With the network methods and random matrix theory, we investigate the interaction structure of communities in financial markets. In particular, based on the random matrix decomposition, we clarify that the local interactions between the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-13 X. F. Jiang , T. T. Chen , B. Zheng

This paper introduces one new multivariate volatility model that can accommodate an appropriately defined network structure based on low-frequency and high-frequency data. The model reduces the number of unknown parameters and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-28 Huiling Yuan , Guodong Li , Junhui Wang

This study examines the presence of the day-of-the-week effect on daily returns of biotechnology stocks over a 16-year period from January 2002 to December 2015. Using daily returns from the NASDAQ Biotechnology Index (NBI), we find that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-26 Swarn Chatterjee

Volatility of financial stock is referring to the degree of uncertainty or risk embedded within a stock's dynamics. Such risk has been received huge amounts of attention from diverse financial researchers. By following the concept of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-25 Xiaodong Wang , Fushing Hsieh