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Adversarial evasion attacks have been very successful in causing poor performance in a wide variety of machine learning applications. One such application is radio frequency spectrum sensing. While evasion attacks have proven particularly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-21 Matthew DelVecchio , Vanessa Arndorfer , William C. Headley

Elicitability is a property of $\mathbb{R}^k$-valued functionals defined on a set of distribution functions. These functionals represent statistical properties of a distribution, for instance its mean, variance, or median. They are called…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-01 Jonas Brehmer

This paper attempts to provide a decision-theoretic foundation for the measurement of economic tail risk, which is not only closely related to utility theory but also relevant to statistical model uncertainty. The main result is that the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-18 Steven Kou , Xianhua Peng

We demonstrate a limitation of discounted expected utility, a standard approach for representing the preference to risk when future cost is discounted. Specifically, we provide an example of the preference of a decision maker that appears…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Takayuki Osogami

In this article we propose a general class of risk measures which can be used for data based evaluation of parametric models. The loss function is defined as generalized quadratic distance between the true density and the proposed model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-10-02 Surajit Ray , Bruce G. Lindsay

Exponential smoothers are a simple and memory efficient way to compute running averages of time series. Here we define and describe practical properties of exponential smoothers for signals observed at constant and variable intervals.

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-13 Javier R. Movellan

We establish a variety of numerical representations of preference relations induced by set-valued risk measures. Because of the general incompleteness of such preferences, we have to deal with multi-utility representations. We look for…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-10 Cosimo Munari

Based on the q-exponential distribution which has been observed in more and more physical systems, the varentropy method is used to derive the uncertainty measure of such an abnormal distribution function. The uncertainty measure obtained…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2010-09-07 Congjie Ou , Aziz El Kaabouchi , Qiuping A. Wang , Jincan Chen

We analyze the performance of RiskMetrics, a widely used methodology for measuring market risk. Based on the assumption of normally distributed returns, the RiskMetrics model completely ignores the presence of fat tails in the distribution…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Szilard Pafka , Imre Kondor

Risk prediction models are often advertised as deterministic functions that map covariates to predicted risks. However, they are typically trained using finite samples, and as such, their predictions are inherently uncertain. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Abdollah Safari , Paul Gustafson , Mohsen Sadatsafavi

In this work, we consider the setting of learning problems under a wide class of spectral risk (or "L-risk") functions, where a Lipschitz-continuous spectral density is used to flexibly assign weight to extreme loss values. We obtain excess…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-12 Matthew J. Holland , El Mehdi Haress

We are giving one characterization result of exponential distribution using extropy of nth upper k-record value. We introduce test statistics based on the proposed characterization result that will be used to test exponentially. The…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-10 Santosh Kumar Chaudhary , Nitin Gupta

In this article, we construct semiparametrically efficient estimators of linear functionals of a probability measure in the presence of side information using an easy empirical likelihood approach. We use estimated constraint functions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-01 Shan Wang , Hanxiang Peng

This paper introduces a new type of risk measures, namely regime switching entropic risk measures, and study their applicability through simulations. The state of the economy is incorporated into the entropic risk formulation by using a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-28 Babacar Seck , Robert J. Elliott

We discuss the properties of invariant measures corresponding to iterated function systems (IFSs) with place-dependent probabilities and compute their Renyi entropies, generalized dimensions, and multifractal spectra. It is shown that with…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Wojciech Slomczynski , Jaroslaw Kwapien , Karol Zyczkowski

We investigate to which extent the relevant features of (static) Systemic Risk Measures can be extended to a conditional setting. After providing a general dual representation result, we analyze in greater detail Conditional Shortfall…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-12 Alessandro Doldi , Marco Frittelli

We consider the economic problem of optimal consumption and investment with power utility. We study the optimal strategy as the relative risk aversion tends to infinity or to one. The convergence of the optimal consumption is obtained for…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-13 Marcel Nutz

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang

Conditional Autoregressive Value-at-Risk and Conditional Autoregressive Expectile have become two popular approaches for direct measurement of market risk. Since their introduction several improvements both in the Bayesian and in the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-01 Marco Bottone , Mauro Bernardi , Lea Petrella

In this paper, we consider the concept of the residual inaccuracy measure and extend it to its weighted version based on extropy. Properties of this measure are studied and the discrimination principle is applied in the class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-03 M. Hashempour , M. R. Kazemi
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