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Spectral risk measures are attractive risk measures as they allow the user to obtain risk measures that reflect their risk-aversion functions. To date there has been very little guidance on the choice of risk-aversion functions underlying…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-30 kevin dowd , john cotter

Spectral risk measures (SRMs) are risk measures that take account of user riskaversion, but to date there has been little guidance on the choice of utility function underlying them. This paper addresses this issue by examining alternative…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-30 Kevin Dowd , John Cotter , Ghulam Sorwar

We consider the problem of estimating a spectral risk measure (SRM) from i.i.d. samples, and propose a novel method that is based on numerical integration. We show that our SRM estimate concentrates exponentially, when the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Ajay Kumar Pandey , Prashanth L. A. , Sanjay P. Bhat

Stochastic optimization problems often involve the expectation in its objective. When risk is incorporated in the problem description as well, then risk measures have to be involved in addition to quantify the acceptable risk, often in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-18 Alois Pichler

Risk assessment under different possible scenarios is a source of uncertainty that may lead to concerning financial losses. We address this issue, first, by adapting a robust framework to the class of spectral risk measures. Second, we…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-21 Mohammed Berkhouch , Ghizlane Lakhnati , Marcelo Brutti Righi

Left truncated and right censored data are encountered frequently in insurance loss data due to deductibles and policy limits. Risk estimation is an important task in insurance as it is a necessary step for determining premiums under…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-27 Suparna Biswas , Rituparna Sen

This paper presents non-parametric estimates of spectral risk measures applied to long and short positions in 5 prominent equity futures contracts. It also compares these to estimates of two popular alternative measures, the Value-at-Risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-30 john cotter , kevin dowd

This paper examines the precision of estimators of Quantile-Based Risk Measures (Value at Risk, Expected Shortfall, Spectral Risk Measures). It first addresses the question of how to estimate the precision of these estimators, and proposes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-30 Kevin Dowd , John Cotter

Parametric statistical methods play a central role in analyzing risk through its underlying frequency and severity components. Given the wide availability of numerical algorithms and high-speed computers, researchers and practitioners often…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-17 Michael R. Powers , Jiaxin Xu

We provide a new algorithm for solving Risk Sensitive Partially Observable Markov Decisions Processes, when the risk is modeled by a utility function, and both the state space and the space of observations is finite. This algorithm is based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Arsham Afsardeir , Andreas Kapetanis , Vaios Laschos , Klaus Obermayer

Utility-Based Shortfall Risk (UBSR) is a risk metric that is increasingly popular in financial applications, owing to certain desirable properties that it enjoys. We consider the problem of estimating UBSR in a recursive setting, where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-28 Vishwajit Hegde , Arvind S. Menon , L. A. Prashanth , Krishna Jagannathan

Uncertainty is prevalent in engineering design, data-driven problems, and decision making broadly. Due to inherent risk-averseness and ambiguity about assumptions, it is common to address uncertainty by formulating and solving conservative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Johannes O. Royset

I propose a functional on the space of spectral risk measures that quantifies their ``degree of risk aversion''. This quantification formalizes the idea that some risk measures are ``more risk-averse'' than others. I construct the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-14 E. Ruben van Beesten

The paper explores the concept of the \emph{expectile risk measure} within the framework of the Fundamental Risk Quadrangle (FRQ) theory. According to the FRQ theory, a quadrangle comprises four stochastic functions associated with a random…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-13 Viktor Kuzmenko , Anton Malandii , Stan Uryasev

We address the statistical estimation of composite functionals which may be nonlinear in the probability measure. Our study is motivated by the need to estimate coherent measures of risk, which become increasingly popular in finance,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-13 Darinka Dentcheva , Spiridon Penev , Andrzej Ruszczynski

Entropic Value-at-Risk (EVaR) measure is a convenient coherent risk measure. Due to certain difficulties in finding its analytical representation, it was previously calculated explicitly only for the normal distribution. We succeeded to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Petro Zelenko , Volodymyr Zubchenko

Systemic risk measures have been shown to be predictive of financial crises and declines in real activity. Thus, forecasting them is of major importance in finance and economics. In this paper, we propose a new forecasting method for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-23 Yannick Hoga

Entropy is a measure of self-information which is used to quantify losses. Entropy was developed in thermodynamics, but is also used to compare probabilities based on their deviating information content. Corresponding model uncertainty is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Alois Pichler , Ruben Schlotter

This paper is devoted to the introduction and study of a new family of multivariate elicitable risk measures. We call the obtained vector-valued measures multivariate expectiles. We present the different approaches used to construct our…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-27 Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Didier Rullière , Khalil Saïd

Spectral risk measures (SRMs) belong to the family of coherent risk measures. A natural estimator for the class of SRMs has the form of L-statistics. Various authors have studied and derived the asymptotic properties of the empirical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-11 Suparna Biswas , Rituparna Sen
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