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We investigate the estimation of parameters in the random coefficient autoregressive model. We consider a nonstationary RCA process and show that the innovation variance parameter cannot be estimated by the quasi-maximum likelihood method.…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-03-03 Istvan Berkes , Lajos Horvath , Shiqing Ling

We establish empirical risk minimization principles for active learning by deriving a family of upper bounds on the generalization error. Aligning with empirical observations, the bounds suggest that superior query algorithms can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-17 Vincent Menden , Yahya Saleh , Armin Iske

Generalization is the ability of a model to predict on unseen domains and is a fundamental task in machine learning. Several generalization bounds, both theoretical and empirical have been proposed but they do not provide tight bounds .In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Sumukh Aithal K , Dhruva Kashyap , Natarajan Subramanyam

We address the problem of learning graphical models which correspond to high dimensional autoregressive stationary stochastic processes. A graphical model describes the conditional dependence relations among the components of a stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Mattia Zorzi

In this paper, we use tools from rate-distortion theory to establish new upper bounds on the generalization error of statistical distributed learning algorithms. Specifically, there are $K$ clients whose individually chosen models are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-23 Milad Sefidgaran , Romain Chor , Abdellatif Zaidi

Advances in sensing technology have made it possible to collect large volumes of high-dimensional time-series data. In fields like genetics and neuroscience, key questions concern whether directed relationships between variables can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Sarah E. Heaps , Ian H. Jermyn , Yujiang Wang , Darren J. Wilkinson

We construct an autoregressive model with random coefficients that has a stationary distribution after proper normalization. This limit distribution is found to be stable.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Lev B. Klebanov , Gregory Temnov , Ashot Kakosyan

This work addresses the challenge of making generative models suitable for resource-constrained environments like mobile wireless communication systems. We propose a generative model that integrates Autoregressive (AR) parameterization into…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Kathrin Klein , Benedikt Böck , Nurettin Turan , Wolfgang Utschick

One of the main theoretical challenges in learning dynamical systems from data is providing upper bounds on the generalization error, that is, the difference between the expected prediction error and the empirical prediction error measured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Daniel Racz , Martin Gonzalez , Mihaly Petreczky , Andras Benczur , Balint Daroczy

We consider high-dimensional multiclass classification by sparse multinomial logistic regression. Unlike binary classification, in the multiclass setup one can think about an entire spectrum of possible notions of sparsity associated with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Tomer Levy , Felix Abramovich

We consider the problem of calculating learning curves (i.e., average generalization performance) of Gaussian processes used for regression. On the basis of a simple expression for the generalization error, in terms of the eigenvalue…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Peter Sollich , Anason Halees

Statistical inference for time series such as curve estimation for time-varying models or testing for existence of change-point have garnered significant attention. However, these works are generally restricted to the assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-08 Soham Bonnerjee , Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

Understanding the generalization of deep neural networks is one of the most important tasks in deep learning. Although much progress has been made, theoretical error bounds still often behave disparately from empirical observations. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Ching-Yao Chuang , Youssef Mroueh , Kristjan Greenewald , Antonio Torralba , Stefanie Jegelka

Autoregressive (AR) models have become a popular tool for unsupervised learning, achieving state-of-the-art log likelihood estimates. We investigate the use of AR models as density estimators in two settings -- as a learning signal for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-18 Murtaza Dalal , Alexander C. Li , Rohan Taori

We present data-dependent learning bounds for the general scenario of non-stationary non-mixing stochastic processes. Our learning guarantees are expressed in terms of a data-dependent measure of sequential complexity and a discrepancy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-16 Vitaly Kuznetsov , Mehryar Mohri

Information-theoretic generalization bounds analyze stochastic optimization by relating expected generalization error to the mutual information between learned parameters and training data. Virtual perturbation analyses of SGD add auxiliary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Mohammad Partohaghighi

We present a new framework for deriving bounds on the generalization bound of statistical learning algorithms from the perspective of online learning. Specifically, we construct an online learning game called the "generalization game",…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-18 Gábor Lugosi , Gergely Neu

Motivated by the learned iterative soft thresholding algorithm (LISTA), we introduce a general class of neural networks suitable for sparse reconstruction from few linear measurements. By allowing a wide range of degrees of weight-sharing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Ekkehard Schnoor , Arash Behboodi , Holger Rauhut

One of the biggest issues in deep learning theory is the generalization ability of networks with huge model size. The classical learning theory suggests that overparameterized models cause overfitting. However, practically used large deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Taiji Suzuki , Hiroshi Abe , Tomoaki Nishimura

In statistical learning theory, a generalization bound usually involves a complexity measure imposed by the considered theoretical framework. This limits the scope of such bounds, as other forms of capacity measures or regularizations are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-22 Paul Viallard , Rémi Emonet , Amaury Habrard , Emilie Morvant , Valentina Zantedeschi
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