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When conducting inference for the average treatment effect on the treated with a Synthetic Control Estimator, the vector of control weights is a nuisance parameter which is often constrained, high-dimensional, and may be only partially…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-03 Joseph Fry

Many common loss functions such as mean-squared-error, cross-entropy, and reconstruction loss are unnecessarily rigid. Under a probabilistic interpretation, these common losses correspond to distributions with fixed shapes and scales. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Mark Hamilton , Evan Shelhamer , William T. Freeman

Risk assessment under different possible scenarios is a source of uncertainty that may lead to concerning financial losses. We address this issue, first, by adapting a robust framework to the class of spectral risk measures. Second, we…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-21 Mohammed Berkhouch , Ghizlane Lakhnati , Marcelo Brutti Righi

The large-sample behavior of non-degenerate multivariate $U$-statistics of arbitrary degree is investigated under the assumption that their kernel depends on parameters that can be estimated consistently. Mild regularity conditions are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Alain Desgagné , Christian Genest , Frédéric Ouimet

In many areas of engineering and sciences, decision rules and control strategies are usually designed based on nominal values of relevant system parameters. To ensure that a control strategy or decision rule will work properly when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Xinjia Chen

In this paper we consider regression problems subject to arbitrary noise in the operator or design matrix. This characterization appropriately models many physical phenomena with uncertainty in the regressors. Although the problem has been…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-08 Richard J Clancy , Stephen Becker

Simultaneous estimation of multiple parameters in quantum metrological models is complicated by factors relating to the (i) existence of a single probe state allowing for optimal sensitivity for all parameters of interest, (ii) existence of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-02-01 Sammy Ragy , Marcin Jarzyna , Rafal Demkowicz-Dobrzanski

When a measurement of a physical quantity is reported, the total uncertainty is usually decomposed into statistical and systematic uncertainties. This decomposition is not only useful to understand the contributions to the total…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-03-18 Andrés Pinto , Zhibo Wu , Fabrice Balli , Nicolas Berger , Maarten Boonekamp , Émilien Chapon , Tatsuo Kawamoto , Bogdan Malaescu

In this paper, we expand the theory of depth-unbiased source localization to unbiased parameter estimation and signal reconstruction of an arbitrary number of non-zero parameters to be recovered. The topic touches on the concept of exact…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Joonas Lahtinen

We propose a probabilistic framework for performing simultaneous estimation of source structure and fringe-fitting parameters in Very Long Baseline Interferometry (VLBI) observations. As a first step, we demonstrate this technique through…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-10 Iniyan Natarajan , Roger Deane , Ilse van Bemmel , Huib Jan van Langevelde , Des Small , Mark Kettenis , Zsolt Paragi , Oleg Smirnov , Arpad Szomoru

In this paper, we test whether two datasets share a common clustering structure. As a leading example, we focus on comparing clustering structures in two independent random samples from two mixtures of multivariate normal distributions.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-21 Chao Gao , Zongming Ma

Starting from considerations about meaning and subsequent use of asymmetric uncertainty intervals of experimental results, we review the issue of uncertainty propagation. We show that, using a probabilistic approach (the so-called Bayesian…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 G. D'Agostini , M. Raso

The aim of this paper is to numerically study the performance of a method of regularization. This technique was developed to solve the illposed problem of estimating a source-dimensional Poisson equation for two dimensions from measurements…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Guillermo Federico Umbricht , Diana Rubio

In this paper, we analyze the behavior of the multivariate symmetric uncertainty (MSU) measure through the use of statistical simulation techniques under various mixes of informative and non-informative randomly generated features.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-29 Gustavo Sosa-Cabrera , Miguel García-Torres , Santiago Gómez , Christian Schaerer , Federico Divina

When the cost of misclassifying a sample is high, it is useful to have an accurate estimate of uncertainty in the prediction for that sample. There are also multiple types of uncertainty which are best estimated in different ways, for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-18 Richard Harang , Ethan M. Rudd

This paper addresses the problem of separating spectral sources which are linearly mixed with unknown proportions. The main difficulty of the problem is to ensure the full additivity (sum-to-one) of the mixing coefficients and…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-30 Nicolas Dobigeon , Said Moussaoui , Jean-Yves Tourneret , Cedric Carteret

Astrophysical sources are now observed by many different instruments at different wavelengths, from radio to high-energy gamma-rays, with an unprecedented quality. Putting all these data together to form a coherent view, however, is a very…

Quantum theory allows the traversing of multiple channels in a superposition of different orders. When the order in which the channels are traversed is controlled by an auxiliary quantum system, various unknown parameters of the channels…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-09-27 A. Z. Goldberg , L. L. Sanchez-Soto , K. Heshami

In this paper we introduce a method for resolving multi-parameter likelihoods by fixing all parameter values, but two. Evaluation of those two variables is followed by iteratively cycling through each of the parameters in turn until…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-10 Joel S. Jayson

This paper provides an introduction to Double/Debiased Machine Learning (DML). DML is a general approach to performing inference about a target parameter in the presence of nuisance functions: objects that are needed to identify the target…