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Maximum likelihood method is widely used for parameter estimation in high energy physics. To consider various systematic uncertainties, tens of or even hundreds of nuisance parameters (NP) are introduced in a likelihood fit. The constraint…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-07-11 Li-Gang Xia

We describe some recent approaches to likelihood based inference in the presence of nuisance parameters. Our approach is based on plotting the likelihood function and the $p$-value function, using recently developed third order…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 N. Reid , D. A. S. Fraser

Estimation problems in the presence of deterministic linear nuisance parameters arise in a variety of fields. To cope with those, three common methods are widely considered: (1) jointly estimating the parameters of interest and the nuisance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-05 Yongchang Hu , Geert Leus

For multiple reasons -- such as avoiding overtraining from one data set or because of having received numerical estimates for some parameters in a model from an alternative source -- it is sometimes useful to divide a model's parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-26 Yunrong Wan

Many inverse problems include nuisance parameters which, while not of direct interest, are required to recover primary parameters. Structure present in these problems allows efficient optimization strategies - a well known example is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , Tristan van Leeuwen

In a statistical analysis in Particle Physics, nuisance parameters can be introduced to take into account various types of systematic uncertainties. The best estimate of such a parameter is often modeled as a Gaussian distributed variable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-02-25 Glen Cowan

The paper is concerned with inference for a parameter of interest in models that share a common interpretation for that parameter but that may differ appreciably in other respects. We study the general structure of models under which the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-06 Heather Battey , Nancy Reid

We study the frequentist properties of confidence intervals computed by the method known to statisticians as the Profile Likelihood. It is seen that the coverage of these intervals is surprisingly good over a wide range of possible…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Wolfgang A. Rolke , Angel M. Lopez , Jan Conrad

Many imaging systems are used to estimate a vector of parameters associated with the object being imaged. In many cases there are other parameters in the model for the imaging data that are not of interest for the task at hand. We refer to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-02-14 Eric Clarkson

In this work we discuss the impact of nuisance parameters on the effectiveness of machine learning in high-energy physics problems, and provide a review of techniques that allow to include their effect and reduce their impact in the search…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-19 Tommaso Dorigo , Pablo de Castro

A common problem in data analysis is that the functional form, as well as the parameter values, of the underlying model which should describe a dataset is not known a priori. In these cases some extra uncertainty must be assigned to the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-20 P. D. Dauncey , M. Kenzie , N. Wardle , G. J. Davies

This is a writeup, with some elaboration, of the talks by the two authors (a physicist and a statistician) at the first PHYSTAT Informal review on January 24, 2024. We discuss Bayesian and frequentist approaches to dealing with nuisance…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-04-29 Robert D. Cousins , Larry Wasserman

We develop a multiscale scanning method to find anomalies in a $d$-dimensional random field in the presence of nuisance parameters. This covers the common situation that either the baseline-level or additional parameters such as the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-20 Claudia König , Axel Munk , Frank Werner

In this paper we consider the problem of estimating a parameter of a probability distribution when we have some prior information on a nuisance parameter. We start by the very simple case where we know perfectly the value of the nuisance…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-08-23 Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Adel Mohammadpour

In parameter estimation, nuisance parameters refer to parameters that are not of interest but nevertheless affect the precision of estimating other parameters of interest. For instance, the strength of noises in a probe can be regarded as a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-12-02 Jun Suzuki , Yuxiang Yang , Masahito Hayashi

The effect of correlations between model parameters and nuisance parameters is discussed, in the context of fitting model parameters to data. Modifications to the usual $\chi^2$ method are required. Fake data studies, as used at present,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-09-25 Byron Roe

The determination of the fundamental parameters of the Standard Model (and its extensions) is often limited by the presence of statistical and theoretical uncertainties. We present several models for the latter uncertainties (random,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-04-26 Jérôme Charles , Sébastien Descotes-Genon , Valentin Niess , Luiz Vale Silva

Accurate inference on a scalar interest parameter in the presence of a nuisance parameter may be obtained using an adjusted version of the signed root likelihood ratio statistic, in particular Barndorff-Nielsen's $R^*$ statistic. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-20 Thomas J. DiCiccio , Todd A. Kuffner , G. Alastair Young

Data analysis in science, e.g., high-energy particle physics, is often subject to an intractable likelihood if the observables and observations span a high-dimensional input space. Typically the problem is solved by reducing the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-01-14 Stefan Wunsch , Simon Jörger , Roger Wolf , Günter Quast

A common problem in formulating models for the relative risk and risk difference is the variation dependence between these parameters and the baseline risk, which is a nuisance model. We address this problem by proposing the conditional log…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-21 Thomas S. Richardson , James M. Robins , Linbo Wang
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