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We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems where the slow motion is driven by fractional Brownian motion. We develop statistical estimators for both the Hurst index as well as a vector of unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-26 Solesne Bourguin , Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We consider a one-dimensional diffusion process $(X_t)$ which is observed at $n+1$ discrete times with regular sampling interval $\Delta$. Assuming that $(X_t)$ is strictly stationary, we propose nonparametric estimators of the drift and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot , Yves Rozenholc

This paper deals with the consistency and a rate of convergence for a Nadaraya-Watson estimator of the drift function of a stochastic differential equation driven by an additive fractional noise. The results of this paper are obtained via…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie

Motivated by empirical evidence from the joint behavior of realized volatility time series, we propose to model the joint dynamics of log-volatilities using a multivariate fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This model is a multivariate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

This paper deals with a projection least squares estimator of the function $J_0$ computed from multiple independent observations on $[0,T]$ of the process $Z$ defined by $dZ_t = J_0(t)d\langle M\rangle_t + dM_t$, where $M$ is a continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Nicolas Marie

A class of Gaussian processes generalizing the usual fractional Brownian motion for Hurst indices in (1/2,1) and multifractal Brownian motion introduced in Ralchenko and Shevchenko (Theory Probab Math Stat 80, 2010) and Boufoussi et al.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-08 Jelena Ryvkina

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the drift parameter of solution to the stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter less than $1/2$ under complete observation. We derive a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-11 Kohei Chiba

This article is concerned with stochastic differential equations driven by a $d$ dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/4$, understood in the rough paths sense. Whenever the coefficients of the equation satisfy a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-03 Xi Geng , Cheng Ouyang , Samy Tindel

Piecewise $\alpha$-stable Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes arising in queue networks usually do not have an explicit dissipation, which makes the related numerical methods such as Euler-Maruyama (EM) scheme more difficult to analyze. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-11 Xinghu Jin , Guodong Pang , Yu Wang , Lihu Xu

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the lead-lag parameter between two stochastic processes driven by fractional Brownian motions (fBMs) of the Hurst parameter greater than 1/2. First we propose a lead-lag model between two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Kohei Chiba

Using structures of Abstract Wiener Spaces, we define a fractional Brownian field indexed by a product space $(0,1/2] \times L^2(T,m)$, $(T,m)$ a separable measure space, where the first coordinate corresponds to the Hurst parameter of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-24 Alexandre Richard

We study parameter estimation problem for diagonalizable stochastic partial differential equations driven by a multiplicative fractional noise with any Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. Two classes of estimators are investigated: traditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-27 Igor Cialenco

We prove some efficient inference results concerning estimation of a Ornstein-Uhlenbeck regression model, which is driven by a non-Gaussian stable Levy process and where the output process is observed at high-frequency over a fixed time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Hiroki Masuda

We consider the problem of efficient estimation of the drift parameter of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process driven by a L\'{e}vy process when high-frequency observations are given. The estimator is constructed from the time-continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Hilmar Mai

We study asymptotic properties of some (essentially conditional least squares) parameter estimators for the subcritical Heston model based on discrete time observations derived from conditional least squares estimators of some modified…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Matyas Barczy , Gyula Pap , Tamas T. Szabo

We consider a sequence of fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, that are defined as solutions of a family of stochastic Volterra equations with kernel given by the Riesz derivative kernel, and leading coefficients given by a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Luigi Amedeo Bianchi , Stefano Bonaccorsi , Luciano Tubaro

We establish asymptotic upper and lower bounds for the Wasserstein distance of any order $p\ge 1$ between the empirical measure of a fractional Brownian motion on a flat torus and the uniform Lebesgue measure. Our inequalities reveal an…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Martin Huesmann , Francesco Mattesini , Dario Trevisan

We study the problem of parameters estimation in Indirect Observability contexts, where $X_t \in R^r$ is an unobservable stationary process parametrized by a vector of unknown parameters and all observable data are generated by an…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Robert Azencott , Peng Ren , Ilya Timofeyev

In this paper we study the approximation of the distribution of $X_t$ Hilbert--valued stochastic process solution of a linear parabolic stochastic partial differential equation written in an abstract form as $$ dX_t+AX_t dt = Q^{1/2} d W_t,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-10-30 Arnaud Debussche , Jacques Printems

We study some estimators of the Hurst index and the diffusion coefficient of the fractional Gompertz diffusion process and prove that they are strongly consistent and most of them are asymptotically normal. Moreover, we compare the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-13 Kestutis Kubilius , Dmitrij Melichov