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One of the main problem in prediction theory of discrete-time second-order stationary processes $X(t)$ is to describe the asymptotic behavior of the best linear mean squared prediction error in predicting $X(0)$ given $ X(t),$ $-n\le…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-14 Nikolay M. Babayan , Mamikon S. Ginovyan

Consider an estimation of the Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$ and the volatility parameter $\sigma>0$ for a fractional Brownian motion with a drift term under high-frequency observations with a finite time interval. In the present paper, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-13 Tetsuya Takabatake

Tempered fractional Brownian motion is revisited from the viewpoint of reduced fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Many of the basic properties of the tempered fractional Brownian motion can be shown to be direct consequences or…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-23 S. C. Lim , Chai Hok Eab

This paper consider the LAN property for the mixed O-U process under high-frequency observation when H>3/4. As considered in mixed fractional Brownian motion, we will also use the projection step to get the non-diagonal rate matrix.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Chunhao Cai , Yiwu Shang , Cong Zhang

We investigate large deviation properties of the maximum likelihood drift parameter estimator for Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process driven by mixed fractional Brownian motion.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-14 Dmytro Marushkevych

We investigate the asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimators of the unknown parameters of positive recurrent Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-13 Bernard Bercu , Frederic Proia , Nicolas Savy

We design numerical schemes for a class of slow-fast systems of stochastic differential equations, where the fast component is an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and the slow component is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-30 Charles-Edouard Bréhier

We study the problem of nonparametric estimation of the linear multiplier function $\theta(t)$ for processes satisfying stochastic differential equations of the type $$dX_t=\theta(t) X_tdt+ \epsilon dZ^{q,H}_t, X_0=x_0, 0\leq t \leq T$$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-19 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

The Rosenblatt process is a self-similar non-Gaussian process which lives in second Wiener chaos, and occurs as the limit of correlated random sequences in so-called \textquotedblleft non-central limit theorems\textquotedblright. It shares…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-17 Alexandra Chronopoulou , Ciprian Tudor , Frederi Viens

We develop the generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation for the parameters of the finitely mixed multi-mixed fractional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck (mmfOU) processes, and analyze the consistency and asymptotic normality of this estimator. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-11 Hamidreza Maleki Almani , Tommi Sottinen

This paper developed an inference problem for Vasicek model driven by a general Gaussian process. We construct a least squares estimator and a moment estimator for the drift parameters of the Vasicek model, and we prove the consistency and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-25 Xingzhi Pei

In this brief note we give an upper bound for $P(\tau_u < T)$ with $T>0$, where $\tau_u$ is the exit time defined as $\tau_u:=\inf \{ t\geq 0 \, : \, X_t\geq u \}$ and $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ is the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes which…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-16 Wilson Cabanillas B

We consider the problem of estimation of the drift parameter of an ergodic Ornstein--Uhlenbeck type process driven by a L\'evy process with heavy tails. The process is observed continuously on a long time interval $[0,T]$, $T\to\infty$. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-27 Alexander Gushchin , Ilya Pavlyukevich , Marian Ritsch

We study the strong approximation of a rough volatility model, in which the log-volatility is given by a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with Hurst parameter $H<1/2$. Our methods are based on an equidistant discretization of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Andreas Neuenkirch , Taras Shalaiko

This paper deals with the process $X = (X_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$ defined by the stochastic differential equation (SDE) $dX_t = (a(X_t) + b(Y_t))dt +\sigma(X_t)dW_1(t)$, where $W_1$ is a Brownian motion and $Y$ is an exogenous process. The first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie

We study stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with potentially very rough fractional noise with Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. Close to a change of stability measured with a small parameter $\varepsilon$, we rely on the natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Dirk Blömker , Alexandra Neamtu

We examine the non-ergodic properties of scaled Brownian motion, a non-stationary stochastic process with a time dependent diffusivity of the form $D(t)\simeq t^{\alpha-1}$. We compute the ergodicity breaking parameter EB in the entire…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-02 Hadiseh Safdari , Andrey G. Cherstvy , Aleksei V. Chechkin , Felix Thiel , Igor M. Sokolov , Ralf Metzler

We assume that we observe $N$ independent copies of a diffusion process on a time-interval $[0,2T]$. For a given time $t$, we estimate the transition density $p_t(x,y)$, namely the conditional density of $X_{t + s}$ given $X_s = x$, under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie

The paper suggests a way of stochastic integration of random integrands with respect to fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst parameter H> 1/2. The integral is defined initially on the processes that are "piecewise" predictable on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Nikolai Dokuchaev

At long times, a fractional Brownian particle in a confining external potential reaches a non-equilibrium (non-Boltzmann) steady state. Here we consider scale-invariant power-law potentials $V(x)\sim |x|^m$, where $m>0$, and employ the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-03 Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov