Related papers: Estimation of Kramers-Moyal coefficients at low sa…

We analyze the impact of the sampling interval on the estimation of Kramers-Moyal coefficients. We obtain the finite-time expressions of these coefficients for several standard processes. We also analyze extreme situations such as the…

Large sampling intervals can affect reconstruction of Kramers-Moyal coefficients from data. A new method, which is direct, non-stochastic and exact up to numerical accuracy, can estimate these finite-time effects. For the first time, exact…

The Kramers-Moyal analysis is a well established approach to analyze stochastic time series from complex systems. If the sampling interval of a measured time series is too low, systematic errors occur in the analysis results. These errors…

Kramers-Moyal coefficients provide a simple and easily visualized method with which to analyze stochastic time series, particularly nonlinear ones. One mechanism that can affect the estimation of the coefficients is geometric projection…

This study introduces an innovative local statistical moment approach for estimating Kramers-Moyal coefficients, effectively bridging the gap between nonparametric and parametric methodologies. These coefficients play a crucial role in…

With the aim of improving the reconstruction of stochastic evolution equations from empirical time-series data, we derive a full representation of the generator of the Kramers-Moyal operator via a power-series expansion of the exponential…

Stochastic processes are encountered in many contexts, ranging from generation sizes of bacterial colonies and service times in a queueing system to displacements of Brownian particles and frequency fluctuations in an electrical power grid.…

We present a model-based output-only method for identifying from time series the parameters governing the dynamics of stochastically forced oscillators. In this context, suitable models of the oscillator's damping and stiffness properties…

A method is proposed to reconstruct a cyclic time-inhomogeneous Markov pro- cess from measured data. First, a time-inhomogeneous Markov model is fit to the data, taken here from measurements on a wind turbine. From the time-dependent…

We present a perturbation approach to calculate the short-time propagator, or transition density, of the one-dimensional Fokker-Planck equation, to in principle arbitrary order in the time increment. Our approach preserves probability…

We develop an estimator for the high-dimensional covariance matrix of a locally stationary process with a smoothly varying trend and use this statistic to derive consistent predictors in non-stationary time series. In contrast to the…

We introduce a new class of stochastic processes which are stationary, Markovian and characterized by an infinite range of time-scales. By transforming the Fokker-Planck equation of the process into a Schrodinger equation with an…

We explore the diffusion process in the non-Markovian spatio-temporal noise.%the escape rate problem in the non-Markovian spatio-temporal random noise. There is a non-trivial short memory regime, i.e., the Markovian limit characterized by a…

Models and methods that are able to accurately and efficiently predict the flows of low-speed rarefied gases are in high demand, due to the increasing ability to manufacture devices at micro and nano scales. One such model and method is a…

We propose a variational method to solve all three estimation problems for nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems: prediction, filtering, and smoothing. Our new approach is based upon a proper choice of cost function, termed the {\it…

For a stochastic system, its evolution from one state to another can have a large number of possible paths. Non-uniformity in the field of system variables leads the local dynamics in state transition varies considerably from path to path…

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

We derive the Kramers-Moyal equation for the conditional probability density of velocity increments from the theoretical model recently proposed by V.Yakhot [Phys.Rev.E {\bf 57}, 1737 (1998)] in the limit of high Reynolds number limit. We…

We discuss how maximum entropy methods may be applied to the reconstruction of Markov processes underlying empirical time series and compare this approach to usual frequency sampling. It is shown that, at least in low dimension, there…

We present a new stability and convergence analysis for the spatial discretization of a time-fractional Fokker--Planck equation in a convex polyhedral domain, using continuous, piecewise-linear, finite elements. The forcing may depend on…