English

Arbitrary-order finite-time corrections for the Kramers-Moyal operator

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems 2021-04-28 v1

Abstract

With the aim of improving the reconstruction of stochastic evolution equations from empirical time-series data, we derive a full representation of the generator of the Kramers-Moyal operator via a power-series expansion of the exponential operator. This expansion is necessary for deriving the different terms in a stochastic differential equation. With the full representation of this operator, we are able to separate finite-time corrections of the power-series expansion of arbitrary order into terms with and without derivatives of the Kramers-Moyal coefficients. We arrive at a closed-form solution expressed through conditional moments, which can be extracted directly from time-series data with a finite sampling intervals. We provide all finite-time correction terms for parametric and non-parametric estimation of the Kramers-Moyal coefficients for discontinuous processes which can be easily implemented - employing Bell polynomials - in time-series analyses of stochastic processes. With exemplary cases of insufficiently sampled diffusion and jump-diffusion processes, we demonstrate the advantages of our arbitrary-order finite-time corrections and their impact in distinguishing diffusion and jump-diffusion processes strictly from time-series data.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2104.12813,
  title  = {Arbitrary-order finite-time corrections for the Kramers-Moyal operator},
  author = {Leonardo Rydin Gorjão and Dirk Witthaut and Klaus Lehnertz and Pedro G. Lind},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2104.12813},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

15 pages, 2 figues

R2 v1 2026-06-24T01:32:23.370Z