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Autoregressive generative models -- including Transformers, recurrent neural networks, classical Kalman filters, state space models, and Mamba -- all generate sequences by sampling each output from a deterministic summary of the past,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-17 Takahiro Sagawa

This paper presents a general approach to linear stochastic processes driven by various random noises. Mathematically, such processes are described by linear stochastic differential equations of arbitrary order (the simplest non-trivial…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Alon Drory

Hidden Markov chains are widely applied statistical models of stochastic processes, from fundamental physics and chemistry to finance, health, and artificial intelligence. The hidden Markov processes they generate are notoriously…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-05-26 Alexandra M. Jurgens , James P. Crutchfield

In a specific class of open quantum systems with finite and fixed numbers of collapsed quantum states, the semi-Markov process method is used to calculate the large deviations of the first passage time statistics. The core formula is an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-10 Fei Liu , Shihao Xia , Shanhe Su

In this paper, we study quasi-stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes in discrete time. This type of distributions is of interest for the analysis of stochastic systems which have finite lifetimes, but are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Mikael Petersson

The generalized Langevin equation is used as a model for various coarse-grained physical processes, e.g., the time evolution of the velocity of a given larger particle in an implicitly represented solvent, when the relevant time scales of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-13 Niklas Bockius , Maximilian Braun , Kay Hofmann , Friederike Schmid , Martin Hanke

Markov models are widely used to describe processes of stochastic dynamics. Here, we show that Markov models are a natural consequence of the dynamical principle of Maximum Caliber. First, we show that when there are different possible…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Hao Ge , Steve Presse , Kingshuk Ghosh , Ken Dill

We consider a class of stochastic dynamical systems, called piecewise deterministic Markov processes, with states $(x, \s)\in \O\times \G$, $\O$ being a region in $\bbR^d$ or the $d$--dimensional torus, $\G$ being a finite set. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-02-25 Alessandra Faggionato , Davide Gabrielli , Marco Ribezzi Crivellari

Let \xi_t, t\in[0,T], be a strong Markov process with values in a complete separable metric space (X,\rho) and with transition probability function P_{s,t}(x,dy), 0\le s\le t\le T, x\in X. For any h\in[0,T] and a>0, consider the function…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Martynas Manstavicius

The generic identification problem is to decide whether a stochastic process $(X_t)$ is a hidden Markov process and if yes to infer its parameters for all but a subset of parametrizations that form a lower-dimensional subvariety in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-14 Alexander Schönhuth

We study finite state random dynamical systems (RDS) and their induced Markov chains (MC) as stochastic models for complex dynamics. The linear representation of deterministic maps in RDS are matrix-valued random variables whose…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-03-23 Felix X. -F. Ye , Hong Qian

We consider continuous-time Markov chains on integers which allow transitions to adjacent states only, with alternating rates. We give explicit formulas for probability generating functions, and also for means, variances and state…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci , Barbara Martinucci

A time and space inhomogeneous Markov process is a Feller evolution process, if the corresponding evolution system on the continuous functions vanishing at infinity is strongly continuous. We discuss generators of such systems and show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-17 Björn Böttcher

Markov chains are a convenient means of generating realizations of networks, since they require little more than a procedure for rewiring edges. If a rewiring procedure exists for generating new graphs with specified statistical properties,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-02-17 Jaideep Ray , Ali Pinar , C. Seshadhri

A distributional equation as a criterion for invariant measures of Markov processes associated to L\'evy-type operators is established. This is obtained via a characterization of infinitesimally invariant measures of the associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Anita Behme , David Oechsler

We study some regularity properties in locally stationary Markov models which are fundamental for controlling the bias of nonparametric kernel estimators. In particular, we provide an alternative to the standard notion of derivative process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-07 Lionel Truquet

In the paper we consider some piecewise deterministic Markov process whose continuous component evolves according to semiflows, which are switched at the jump times of a Poisson process. The associated Markov chain describes the states of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-06 Dawid Czapla , Sander C. Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

In this paper we introduce and analyze a class of diffusion type equations related to certain non-Markovian stochastic processes. We start from the forward drift equation which is made non-local in time by the introduction of a suitable…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Antonio Mura , Murad S. Taqqu , Francesco Mainardi

Starting from the forward and backward infinitesimal generators of bilateral, time-homogeneous Markov processes, the self-adjoint Hamiltonians of the generalized Schroedinger equations are first introduced by means of suitable Doob…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-01 Andrea Andrisani , Nicola Cufaro Petroni

In earlier papers Poisson equation in the whole space was studied for so called ergodic generators $L$ corresponding to homogeneous Markov diffusions ($X_t, \, t\ge 0$) in $\mathbb R^d$. Solving this equation is one of the main tools for…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Alexander Veretennikov
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