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We introduce a scalable approach to Gaussian process inference that combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a non-conjugate GP method for multivariate data that scales linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Oliver Hamelijnck , William J. Wilkinson , Niki A. Loppi , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

We consider a stochastic fluid queue served by a constant rate server and driven by a process which is the local time of a certain Markov process. Such a stochastic system can be used as a model in a priority service system, especially when…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-11 Takis Konstantopoulos , Andreas Kyprianou , Marina Sirvio , Paavo Salminen

We study continuous time Markov processes on graphs. The notion of frequency is introduced, which serves well as a scaling factor between any Markov time of a continuous time Markov process and that of its jump chain. As an application, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jianjun Tian , Xiao-Song Lin

The goal of this work is to formally abstract a Markov process evolving in discrete time over a general state space as a finite-state Markov chain, with the objective of precisely approximating its state probability distribution in time,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Sadegh Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , Alessandro Abate

Recently, a class of stochastic processes known as piecewise deterministic Markov processes has been used to define continuous-time Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms with a number of attractive properties, including compatibility with…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-03 Alexander Terenin , Daniel Thorngren

The stochastic theory of non-relativistic quantum mechanics presented here relies heavily upon the theory of stochastic processes, with its definitions, theorems and specific vocabulary as well. Its main hypothesis states indeed that the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-04-01 Maurice J. M. L. O. Godart

Markov decision processes (MDP) are a well-established model for sequential decision-making in the presence of probabilities. In robust MDP (RMDP), every action is associated with an uncertainty set of probability distributions, modelling…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Tobias Meggendorfer , Maximilian Weininger , Patrick Wienhöft

In order to give quantitative estimates for approximating the ergodic limit, we investigate probabilistic limit behaviors of time-averaging estimators of numerical discretizations for a class of time-homogeneous Markov processes, by…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-13 Chuchu Chen , Tonghe Dang , Jialin Hong , Guoting Song

By considering general Markov stochastic dynamics and its coarse-graining, we study the framework of stochastic thermodynamics for the original and reduced descriptions corresponding to different scales. We are especially concerned with the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-01-29 Yohei Nakayama , Kyogo Kawaguchi

Let $\{X_n\}$ be a stationary and ergodic time series taking values from a finite or countably infinite set ${\cal X}$. Assume that the distribution of the process is otherwise unknown. We propose a sequence of stopping times $\lambda_n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 G. Morvai , B. Weiss

In this paper, we consider continuous-time Markov chains with a finite state space under nonlinear expectations. We define so-called Q-operators as an extension of Q-matrices or rate matrices to a nonlinear setup, where the nonlinearity is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Max Nendel

Extensions of Kemeny's constant, as derived for irreducible finite Markov chains in discrete time, to Markov renewal processes and Markov chains in continuous time are discussed. Three alternative Kemeny's functions and their variants are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-17 Jeffrey J Hunter

We develop a Markov process viewpoint for discrete circular distributions motivated by directional-statistics settings where angles are observed on a finite grid and evolve over time. On the $m$-point discrete circle, the cycle graph, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Sourav Majumdar

We study gradient drift-diffusion processes on a probability simplex set with finite state Wasserstein metrics, namely finite state Wasserstein common noises. A fact is that the Kolmogorov transition equation of finite reversible Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-20 Wuchen Li

We study a class of Markov processes that combine local dynamics, arising from a fixed Markov process, with regenerations arising at a state-dependent rate. We give conditions under which such processes possess a given target distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Andi Q. Wang , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts , David Steinsaltz

Let $\mu$ = ($\mu$t)t$\in$R be any 1-parameter family of probability measures on R. Its quantile process (Gt)t$\in$R : ]0, 1[ $\rightarrow$ RR, given by Gt($\alpha$) = inf{x $\in$ R : $\mu$t(]--$\infty$, x]) > $\alpha$}, is not Markov in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-30 Charles Boubel , Nicolas Juillet

We consider parametric version of fixed-delay continuous-time Markov chains (or equivalently deterministic and stochastic Petri nets, DSPN) where fixed-delay transitions are specified by parameters, rather than concrete values. Our goal is…

Performance · Computer Science 2016-04-18 Tomáš Brázdil , Ľuboš Korenčiak , Jan Krčál , Petr Novotný , Vojtěch Řehák

This paper surveys the analysis of parametric Markov models whose transitions are labelled with functions over a finite set of parameters. These models are symbolic representations of uncountable many concrete probabilistic models, each…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

We derive sufficient conditions for subgeometric f-ergodicity of strongly Markovian processes. We first propose a criterion based on modulated moment of some delayed return-time to a petite set. We then formulate a criterion for polynomial…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 G. Fort , G. O. Roberts

We analyze infinite-dimensional non-linear degenerate stochastic differential equations with multiplicative noise. First, essential m-dissipativity of their associated Kolmogorov backward generators on $L^2(\mu^{\Phi})$ defined on smooth…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-26 Alexander Bertram , Benedikt Eisenhuth , Martin Grothaus
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