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Online conformal prediction (OCP) seeks prediction intervals that achieve long-run $1-\alpha$ coverage for arbitrary (possibly adversarial) data streams, while remaining as informative as possible. Existing OCP methods often require manual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-04 Tuo Liu , Edgar Dobriban , Francesco Orabona

We study the fundamental tradeoffs between computational tractability and statistical accuracy for a general family of hypothesis testing problems with combinatorial structures. Based upon an oracle model of computation, which captures the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-31 Zhaoran Wang , Quanquan Gu , Han Liu

We consider the problem of developing automated techniques for solving recurrence relations to aid the expected-runtime analysis of programs. Several classical textbook algorithms have quite efficient expected-runtime complexity, whereas…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2017-05-02 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Hongfei Fu , Aniket Murhekar

Bennett and Gill (1981) showed that P^A != NP^A != coNP^A for a random oracle A, with probability 1. We investigate whether this result extends to individual polynomial-time random oracles. We consider two notions of random oracles:…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2018-01-24 John M. Hitchcock , Adewale Sekoni , Hadi Shafei

We study observation-based strategies for partially-observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with omega-regular objectives. An observation-based strategy relies on partial information about the history of a play, namely, on the past…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-05-14 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Laurent Doyen , Thomas A. Henzinger

We use the martingale-theoretic approach of game-theoretic probability to incorporate imprecision into the study of randomness. In particular, we define several notions of randomness associated with interval, rather than precise,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-24 Gert de Cooman , Jasper De Bock

Floating-point round-off errors are ubiquitous in numerically intensive programs arising in fields such as scientific computing and optimization. As floating-point errors potentially lead to unexpected and catastrophic program failures, one…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Yichen Tao , Hongfei Fu , Jiawei Chen , Jean-Baptiste Jeannin

The celebrated result of Kabanets and Impagliazzo (Computational Complexity, 2004) showed that PIT algorithms imply circuit lower bounds, and vice versa. Since then it has been a major challenge to understand the precise connections between…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Robert Andrews , Deepanshu Kush , Roei Tell

The ultimate performance of machine learning algorithms for classification tasks is usually measured in terms of the empirical error probability (or accuracy) based on a testing dataset. Whereas, these algorithms are optimized through the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Matias Vera , Leonardo Rey Vega , Pablo Piantanida

Essential tasks for the verification of probabilistic programs include bounding expected outcomes and proving termination in finite expected runtime. We contribute a simple yet effective inductive synthesis approach for proving such…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-02-09 Kevin Batz , Mingshuai Chen , Sebastian Junges , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Christoph Matheja

We propose a novel distribution-free scheme to solve optimization problems where the goal is to minimize the expected value of a cost function subject to probabilistic constraints. Unlike standard sampling-based methods, our idea consists…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Francesco Cordiano , Matin Jafarian , Bart De Schutter

Constrained counting is important in domains ranging from artificial intelligence to software analysis. There are already a few approaches for counting models over various types of constraints. Recently, hashing-based approaches achieve…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-06-14 Cunjing Ge , Feifei Ma , Tian Liu , Jian Zhang

A probabilistic vector addition system with states (pVASS) is a finite state Markov process augmented with non-negative integer counters that can be incremented or decremented during each state transition, blocking any behaviour that would…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-26 Tomáš Brázdil , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Antonín Kučera , Petr Novotný , Dominik Velan

We consider synthesis of control policies that maximize the probability of satisfying given temporal logic specifications in unknown, stochastic environments. We model the interaction between the system and its environment as a Markov…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-05-01 Jie Fu , Ufuk Topcu

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control approach for nonlinear systems subject to time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties in model parameters and initial conditions. The stochastic optimal control problem entails a cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Stefan Streif , Matthias Karl , Ali Mesbah

Chance constraints are widely used in stochastic model predictive control (MPC) to enforce probabilistic state and input constraints in the presence of unbounded disturbances. However, they only restrict violation probabilities and do not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Jonas Schießl , Ruchuan Ou , Michael H. Baumann , Timm Faulwasser , Lars Grüne

We give a quantitative analysis of a theorem due to Fenghui Wang and Huanhuan Cui concerning the convergence of a multi-parametric version of the proximal point algorithm. Wang and Cui's result ensures the convergence of the algorithm to a…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Bruno Dinis , Pedro Pinto

Given that machine learning algorithms are increasingly being deployed to aid in high stakes decision-making, uncertainty quantification methods that wrap around these black box models such as conformal prediction have received much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-09 Kayla E. Scharfstein , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

This paper studies parameterized stochastic optimization problems in finite discrete time that arise in many applications in operations research and mathematical finance. We prove the existence of solutions and the absence of a duality gap…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-25 Ari-Pekka Perkkiö

Ordinal classification has been widely applied in many high-stakes applications, e.g., medical imaging and diagnosis, where reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for decision making. Conformal prediction (CP) is a general UQ…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Zijian Zhang , Xinyu Chen , Yuanjie Shi , Liyuan Lillian Ma , Zifan Xu , Yan Yan