Related papers: Statistical Inference for Time-changed Brownian Mo…
We introduce a dynamic model of the default waterfall of derivatives CCPs and propose a risk sensitive method for sizing the initial margin (IM), and the default fund (DF) and its allocation among clearing members. Using a Markovian…
We conducted a systematic comparison of statistical methods used for the analysis of time-to-event outcomes under various proportional and nonproportional hazard (NPH) scenarios. Our study used data from recently published oncology trials…
Nearly fifty years after the introduction of skew Brownian motion by It\^o and McKean (1963), the first passage time distribution remains unknown. In this paper, we generalize results of Pitman and Yor (2001) and Cs\'aki and Hu (2004) to…
Conic martingales refer to Brownian martingales evolving between bounds. Among other potential applications, they have been suggested for the sake of modeling conditional survival probabilities under partial information, as usual in…
Levy flights and fractional Brownian motion (fBm) have become exemplars of the heavy tailed jumps and long-ranged memory seen in space physics and elsewhere. Natural time series frequently combine both effects, and Linear Fractional Stable…
Stochastic process exhibiting power-law slopes in the frequency domain are frequently well modeled by fractional Brownian motion (fBm). In particular, the spectral slope at high frequencies is associated with the degree of small-scale…
An innovative extension of Geometric Brownian Motion model is developed by incorporating a weighting factor and a stochastic function modelled as a mixture of power and trigonometric functions. Simulations based on this Modified Brownian…
Evaluation of default correlation is an important task in credit risk analysis. In many practical situations, it concerns the joint defaults of several correlated firms, the task that is reducible to a first passage time (FPT) problem. This…
Geometric Brownian motion (GBM) is a model for systems as varied as financial instruments and populations. The statistical properties of GBM are complicated by non-ergodicity, which can lead to ensemble averages exhibiting exponential…
In this paper we discuss a credit risk model with a pure jump L\'evy process for the asset value and an unobservable random barrier. The default time is the first time when the asset value falls below the barrier. Using the…
We address systematically an apparent non-physical behavior of the free energy moment generating function for several instances of the logarithmically correlated models: the Fractional Brownian Motion with Hurst index $H = 0$ (fBm0) (and…
Continuous-time stochastic processes play an important role in the description of random phenomena, it is therefore of prime interest to study particular variables depending on their paths, like stopping time for example. One approach…
We introduce a bootstrap procedure for high-frequency statistics of Brownian semistationary processes. More specifically, we focus on a hypothesis test on the roughness of sample paths of Brownian semistationary processes, which uses an…
We introduce the stochastic process of incremental multifractional Brownian motion (IMFBM), which locally behaves like fractional Brownian motion with a given local Hurst exponent and diffusivity. When these parameters change as function of…
We introduce a novel approach to study the critical behavior of equilibrium and non-equilibrium systems which is based on the concept of an instantaneous correlation length. We analyze in detail two classical statistical mechanical systems:…
With the widespread application of machine learning in financial risk management, conventional wisdom suggests that longer training periods and more feature variables contribute to improved model performance. This paper, focusing on…
We present a modified Brownian motion model for random matrices where the eigenvalues (or levels) of a random matrix evolve in "time" in such a way that they never cross each other's path. Also, owing to the exact integrability of the level…
In this paper we present a dynamical system to generate Brownian motion based on the Langevin equation without stochastic term and using fractional derivatives, i.e., a deterministic Brownian motion model is proposed. The stochastic process…
The question how the extremal values of a stochastic process achieved on different time intervals are correlated to each other has been discussed within the last few years on examples of the running maximum of a Brownian motion, of a…
We investigate the full functional form of the first passage time density (FPTD) of a tracer particle in a single-file diffusion (SFD) system whose population is: (i) homogeneous, i.e., all particles having the same diffusion constant and…