English

A Dynamic Model of Central Counterparty Risk

Risk Management 2018-03-07 v1

Abstract

We introduce a dynamic model of the default waterfall of derivatives CCPs and propose a risk sensitive method for sizing the initial margin (IM), and the default fund (DF) and its allocation among clearing members. Using a Markovian structure model of joint credit migrations, our evaluation of DF takes into account the joint credit quality of clearing members as they evolve over time. Another important aspect of the proposed methodology is the use of the time consistent dynamic risk measures for computation of IM and DF. We carry out a comprehensive numerical study, where, in particular, we analyze the advantages of the proposed methodology and its comparison with the currently prevailing methods used in industry.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1803.02012,
  title  = {A Dynamic Model of Central Counterparty Risk},
  author = {Tomasz R. Bielecki and Igor Cialenco and Shibi Feng},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1803.02012},
  year   = {2018}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-23T00:43:18.181Z