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Machine learning has enabled differential cross section measurements that are not discretized. Going beyond the traditional histogram-based paradigm, these unbinned unfolding methods are rapidly being integrated into experimental workflows.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-05-28 Ryan Milton , Vinicius Mikuni , Trevin Lee , Miguel Arratia , Tanvi Wamorkar , Benjamin Nachman

Many data mining and statistical machine learning algorithms have been developed to select a subset of covariates to associate with a response variable. Spurious discoveries can easily arise in high-dimensional data analysis due to enormous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-25 Jianqing Fan , Wen-Xin Zhou

Over the past decades, researchers and ML practitioners have come up with better and better ways to build, understand and improve the quality of ML models, but mostly under the key assumption that the training data is distributed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-14 Yeounoh Chung , Peter J. Haas , Eli Upfal , Tim Kraska

Reliable predictions from systems biology models require knowing whether parameters can be estimated from available data, and with what certainty. Identifiability analysis reveals whether parameters are learnable in principle (structural…

Cognitive diagnosis models have been widely used in different areas, especially intelligent education, to measure users' proficiency levels on knowledge concepts, based on which users can get personalized instructions. As the measurement is…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Fei Wang , Qi Liu , Enhong Chen , Chuanren Liu , Zhenya Huang , Jinze Wu , Shijin Wang

A long noted difficulty when assessing the reliability (or calibration) of forecasting systems is that reliability, in general, is a hypothesis not about a finite dimensional parameter but about an entire functional relationship. A…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-12-09 Jochen Bröcker

This work introduces a comprehensive approach to assess the sensitivity of model outputs to changes in parameter values, constrained by the combination of prior beliefs and data. This novel approach identifies stiff parameter combinations…

Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation is intended to infer the unknown density distribution while making as few assumptions as possible. To alleviate the over parameterization in nonparametric data fitting, smoothing assumptions are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-21 YunPeng Li , ZhaoHui Ye

We present a novel method for determining multi-fractal properties from experimental data. It is based on maximising the likelihood that the given finite data set comes from a particular set of parameters in a multi-parameter family of well…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-28 A. J. Roberts , A. Cronin

An empirical power comparison is made between two tests based on the empirical characteristic function and some of the best performing tests for normality. A simple normality test based on the empirical characteristic function calculated in…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-06 J. Martin van Zyl

In the past decades, most work in the area of data analysis and machine learning was focused on optimizing predictive models and getting better results than what was possible with existing models. To what extent the metrics with which such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-06 Nicolas Dewolf

To assess whether there is some signal in a big database, aggregate tests for the global null hypothesis of no effect are routinely applied in practice before more specialized analysis is carried out. Although a plethora of aggregate tests…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Anders Bredahl Kock , David Preinerstorfer

This work builds a unified framework for the study of quadratic form distance measures as they are used in assessing the goodness of fit of models. Many important procedures have this structure, but the theory for these methods is dispersed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Bruce G. Lindsay , Marianthi Markatou , Surajit Ray , Ke Yang , Shu-Chuan Chen

Least-squares fits are an important tool in many data analysis applications. In this paper, we review theoretical results, which are relevant for their application to data from counting experiments. Using a simple example, we illustrate the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-07 Hans Dembinski , Michael Schmelling , Roland Waldi

The widespread adoption of the \emph{maximum mean discrepancy} (MMD) in goodness-of-fit testing has spurred extensive research on its statistical performance. However, recent studies indicate that the inherent structure of MMD may constrain…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Shiwei Sang , Shao-Bo Lin , Xuehu Zhu

Statistical models for describing the probability distribution over the states of biological systems are commonly used for dimensional reduction. Among these models, pairwise models are very attractive in part because they can be fit using…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-30 Yasser Roudi , Erik Aurell , John Hertz

The field of causal discovery develops model selection methods to infer cause-effect relations among a set of random variables. For this purpose, different modelling assumptions have been proposed to render cause-effect relations…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-09 Daniela Schkoda , Mathias Drton

We describe an apparently new measure of multivariate goodness-of-fit between sets of quantitative results from a model (simulation, analytical, or multiple regression), paired with those observed under corresponding conditions from the…

Parameter inference and uncertainty quantification are important steps when relating mathematical models to real-world observations, and when estimating uncertainty in model predictions. However, methods for doing this can be…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-27 Michael J. Plank , Matthew J. Simpson

There are many different notions of optimality even in testing a single hypothesis. In the multiple testing area, the number of possibilities is very much greater. The paper first will describe multiplicity issues that arise in tests…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Juliet Popper Shaffer
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