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In epidemiological studies of time-to-event data, a quantity of interest to the clinician and the patient is the risk of an event given a covariate profile. However, methods relying on time matching or risk-set sampling (including Cox…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-23 Sahir Rai Bhatnagar , Maxime Turgeon , Jesse Islam , James A. Hanley , Olli Saarela

We propose a hybrid approach to temporal anomaly detection in access data of users to databases --- or more generally, any kind of subject-object co-occurrence data. We consider a high-dimensional setting that also requires fast computation…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Eyal Gutflaish , Aryeh Kontorovich , Sivan Sabato , Ofer Biller , Oded Sofer

Adverse events are a serious issue in drug development and many prediction methods using machine learning have been developed. The random split cross-validation is the de facto standard for model building and evaluation in machine learning,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Katsuhisa Morita , Tadahaya Mizuno , Hiroyuki Kusuhara

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) represent the gold standard for causal inference yet remain a scarce resource. While large-scale observational data is often available, it is utilized only for retrospective fusion, and remains discarded…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-05 Erdun Gao , Liang Zhang , Jake Fawkes , Aoqi Zuo , Wenqin Liu , Haoxuan Li , Mingming Gong , Dino Sejdinovic

In the pursuit of modelling a loan's probability of default (PD) over its lifetime, repeat default events are often ignored when using Cox Proportional Hazard (PH) models. Excluding such events may produce biased and inaccurate…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-29 Arno Botha , Tanja Verster , Bernard Scheepers

Random effects (RE) models have been widely used to study the contextual effects of structures such as neighborhood or school. The RE approach has recently been applied to age-period-cohort (APC) models that are unidentified because the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-17 Liying Luo , James S. Hodges

Two-phase sampling is a simple and cost-effective estimation strategy in survey sampling and is widely used in practice. Because the phase-2 sampling probability typically depends on low-cost variables collected at phase 1, naive estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Kazuharu Harada , Masataka Taguri

Methods for estimating heterogeneous treatment effect in observational data have largely focused on continuous or binary outcomes, and have been relatively less vetted with survival outcomes. Using flexible machine learning methods in the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-09 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Fan Li

A new approach called ABRF (the attention-based random forest) and its modifications for applying the attention mechanism to the random forest (RF) for regression and classification are proposed. The main idea behind the proposed ABRF…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Lev V. Utkin , Andrei V. Konstantinov

How do we transfer the relevant knowledge from ever larger foundation models into small, task-specific downstream models that can run at much lower costs? Standard transfer learning using pre-trained weights as the initialization transfers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Shikai Qiu , Boran Han , Danielle C. Maddix , Shuai Zhang , Yuyang Wang , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Time series forecasting is an important and forefront task in many real-world applications. However, most of time series forecasting techniques assume that the training data is clean without anomalies. This assumption is unrealistic since…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Hao Cheng , Qingsong Wen , Yang Liu , Liang Sun

We present a general approach to synthesizing evidence of time-to-event endpoints in meta-analyses of aggregate data (AD). Our work goes beyond most previous meta-analytic research by using reconstructed survival data as a source of…

In epidemiological or demographic studies, with variable age at onset, a typical quantity of interest is the incidence of a disease (for example the cancer incidence). In these studies, the individuals are usually highly heterogeneous in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Vivien Goepp , Jean-Christophe Thalabard , Grégory Nuel , Olivier Bouaziz

Matching and weighting methods for observational studies involve the choice of an estimand, the causal effect with reference to a specific target population. Commonly used estimands include the average treatment effect in the treated (ATT),…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-12 Noah Greifer , Elizabeth A. Stuart

Survivorship analysis allows to statistically analyze situations that can be modeled as waiting times to an event. These waiting times are characterized by the cumulative hazard rate, which can be estimated by the Nelson-Aalen estimator or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Niklas Hohmann

Recent advances in causal mediation analysis have formalized conditions for estimating direct and indirect effects in various contexts. These approaches have been extended to a number of models for survival outcomes including accelerated…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-11 Isabel R. Fulcher , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen , Paige L. Williams

Discrete-time hazard models are widely used when event times are measured in intervals or are not precisely observed. While these models can be estimated using standard generalized linear model techniques, they rely on extensive data…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Benjamin Müller , Nikolaus Umlauf , Johannes Seiler , Kenneth Harttgen , Stefan Lang

The public health impact of a harmful exposure can be quantified by the population-attributable fraction (PAF). The PAF describes the attributable risk due to an exposure and is often interpreted as the proportion of preventable cases if…

PET is a functional imaging method that visualizes metabolic processes. TOF information can be derived from coincident detector signals and incorporated into image reconstruction to enhance the SNR. PET detectors are typically assessed by…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2025-04-24 Stephan Naunheim , Luis Lopes de Paiva , Vanessa Nadig , Yannick Kuhl , Stefan Gundacker , Florian Mueller , Volkmar Schulz

A wide range of approaches for batch processes monitoring can be found in the literature. This kind of process generates a very peculiar data structure, in which successive measurements of many process variables in each batch run are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-03 Batista Nunes de Oliveira , Marcio Valk , Danilo Marcondes Filho