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Survival analysis is a statistical technique used to estimate the time until an event occurs. Although it is applied across a wide range of fields, adjusting for reporting delays under practical constraints remains a significant challenge…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-27 Yuta Shikuri , Hironori Fujisawa

Time-to-event models are a popular tool to analyse data where the outcome variable is the time to the occurrence of a specific event of interest. Here we focus on the analysis of time-to-event outcomes that are either intrisically discrete…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-14 Moritz Berger , Matthias Schmid

In statistics, time-to-event analysis methods traditionally focus on the estimation of hazards. In recent years, machine learning methods have been proposed to directly predict the event times. We propose a method based on vine copula…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-16 Shenyi Pan , Harry Joe

We introduce a general, flexible, parametric survival modelling framework which encompasses key shapes of hazard function (constant, increasing, decreasing, up-then-down, down-then-up), various common survival distributions (log-logistic,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-11 Kevin Burke , M. C. Jones , Angela Noufaily

We present several illustrations from completed clinical trials on a statistical approach that allows us to gain useful insights regarding the time dependency of treatment effects. Our approach leans on a simple proposition: all…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-29 Sean M. Devlin , John O'Quigley

Hazard ratios are often used to evaluate time to event outcomes, but they may be hard to interpret. A particular issue arise because hazards are typically estimated conditional on survival, i.e.\ on left truncated samples. Then, hazard…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-23 Mats Julius Stensrud

Harrel's concordance index is a commonly used discrimination metric for survival models, particularly for models where the relative ordering of the risk of individuals is time-independent, such as the proportional hazards model. There are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-27 A. Gandy , T. J. Matcham

Most existing temporal point process models are characterized by conditional intensity function. These models often require numerical approximation methods for likelihood evaluation, which potentially hurts their performance. By directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Bingqing Liu

Alternating recurrent events, where subjects experience two potentially correlated event types over time, are common in healthcare, social, and behavioral studies. Often there is a primary event of interest that, when triggered, initiates a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Abigail Loe , Susan Murray , Zhenke Wu

Conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) are increasingly estimated from observational data and used to guide policy and individualized treatment decisions. Before such estimates can be trusted in practice, their predictive fitness…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Bosen Cui , Yuhong Yang

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT) are the current gold standards to empirically measure the effect of a new drug. However, they may be of limited size and resorting to complementary non-randomized data, referred to as observational, is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-11 Ahmed Boughdiri , Julie Josse , Erwan Scornet

This paper considers an opportunistic scheduling problem over a renewal system. A controller observes a random event at the beginning of each renewal frame and then chooses an action in response to the event, which affects the duration of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Xiaohan Wei , Michael J. Neely

The onset of several silent, chronic diseases such as diabetes can be detected only through diagnostic tests. Due to cost considerations, self-reported outcomes are routinely collected in lieu of expensive diagnostic tests in large-scale…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-15 Xiangdong Gu , Yunsheng Ma , Raji Balasubramanian

Survival regression is widely used to model time-to-events data, to explore how covariates may influence the occurrence of events. Modern datasets often encompass a vast number of covariates across many subjects, with only a subset of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-18 Abhishek Mandal , Abhisek Chakraborty

This paper deals with unobserved heterogeneity in the survival dataset through Accelerated Failure Time (AFT) models under both frameworks--Bayesian and classical. The Bayesian approach of dealing with unobserved heterogeneity has recently…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-12 Shaila Sharmin , Md Hasinur Rahaman Khan

Background: For RCTs with time-to-event endpoints, proportional hazard (PH) models are typically used to estimate treatment effects and logrank tests are commonly used for hypothesis testing. There is growing support for replacing this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Dominic Magirr , Craig Wang , Xinlei Deng , Tim Morris , Mark Baillie

The purpose of this paper is to test the time-invariance of the beta coefficients estimated by the Adaptive Multi-Factor (AMF) model. The AMF model is implied by the generalized arbitrage pricing theory (GAPT), which implies constant beta…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-27 Liao Zhu , Robert A. Jarrow , Martin T. Wells

Algorithmic Recourse (AR) aims to provide users with actionable steps to overturn unfavourable decisions made by machine learning predictors. However, these actions often take time to implement (e.g., getting a degree can take years), and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Giovanni De Toni , Stefano Teso , Bruno Lepri , Andrea Passerini

Computational models that forecast the progression of Alzheimer's disease at the patient level are extremely useful tools for identifying high risk cohorts for early intervention and treatment planning. The state-of-the-art work in this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Surya Teja Devarakonda , Joie Yeahuay Wu , Yi Ren Fung , Madalina Fiterau

We develop a maximum likelihood estimating approach for time-to-event Weibull regression models with outcome-dependent sampling, where sampling of subjects is dependent on the residual fraction of the time left to developing the event of…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-01 Brian D. M. Tom , Vernon T. Farewell , Sheila M. Bird
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