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Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) produces a correlated sample for estimating expectations with respect to a target distribution. A fundamental question is when should sampling stop so that we have good estimates of the desired quantities?…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-02 Dootika Vats , James M. Flegal , Galin L. Jones

We propose a sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo (SMCMC) algorithm to sample from a sequence of probability distributions, corresponding to posterior distributions at different times in on-line applications. SMCMC proceeds as in usual MCMC…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-20 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson

In recent years probabilistic model checking has become an important area of research because of the diffusion of computational systems of stochastic nature. Despite its great success, standard probabilistic model checking suffers the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-05-19 Alberto Termine , Alessandro Antonucci , Alessandro Facchini , Giuseppe Primiero

Timed Automata (TA) is de facto a standard modelling formalism to represent systems when the interest is the analysis of their behaviour as time progresses. This modelling formalism is mostly used for checking whether the behaviours of a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-09-11 Claudio Menghi , Marcello Bersani , Matteo Rossi , Pierluigi San Pietro

In [ABM07], Abdulla et al. introduced the concept of decisiveness, an interesting tool for lifting good properties of finite Markov chains to denumerable ones. Later, this concept was extended to more general stochastic transition systems…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Patricia Bouyer , Thomas Brihaye , Mickael Randour , Cédric Rivière , Pierre Vandenhove

Model explainability has become an important problem in machine learning (ML) due to the increased effect that algorithmic predictions have on humans. Explanations can help users understand not only why ML models make certain predictions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Ana Lucic

We describe the statistics of repetition times of a string of symbols in a stochastic process. Denote by T(A) the time elapsed until the process spells the finite string A and by S(A) the number of consecutive repetitions of A. We prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-05 Miguel Abadi , Nicolas Vergne

Chinese Spell Checking (CSC) aims to detect and correct spelling errors in sentences. Despite Large Language Models (LLMs) exhibit robust capabilities and are widely applied in various tasks, their performance on CSC is often…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Kunting Li , Yong Hu , Liang He , Fandong Meng , Jie Zhou

This paper generalizes the work of Kendall [Electron. Comm. Probab. 9 (2004) 140--151], which showed that perfect simulation, in the form of dominated coupling from the past, is always possible (although not necessarily practical) for…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-09 Stephen B. Connor , Wilfrid S. Kendall

We correct a few errors that appeared in [Convergence of invariant measures for singular stochastic diffusion equations, Stochastic Process. Appl. 122 (2012), no. 4, 1998--2017] by I. Ciotir and J.M. T\"olle.

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-20 Ioana Ciotir , Jonas M. Tölle

We consider the problem of performing inference with imprecise continuous-time hidden Markov chains, that is, imprecise continuous-time Markov chains that are augmented with random output variables whose distribution depends on the hidden…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Thomas Krak , Jasper De Bock , Arno Siebes

This article considers the sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approximation of ratios of normalizing constants associated to posterior distributions which in principle rely on continuum models. Therefore, the Monte Carlo estimation error and the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-04 Pierre Del Moral , Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Yan Zhou

Causal reasoning is one of the primary bottlenecks that Large Language Models (LLMs) must overcome to attain human-level intelligence. Recent studies indicate that LLMs display near-random performance on reasoning tasks. To address this, we…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Abdolmahdi Bagheri , Matin Alinejad , Mahdi Dehshiri , Kevin Bello , Alireza Akhondi-Asl

This paper addresses the key challenge of estimating the asymptotic covariance associated with the Markov chain central limit theorem, which is essential for visualizing and terminating Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations. We focus…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-29 James M. Flegal , Rebecca P. Kurtz-Garcia

In this paper, we investigate the functional central limit theorem for stochastic processes associated to partial sums of additive functionals of reversible Markov chains with general spate space, under the normalization standard deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-02 Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

We obtain an expression for the error in the approximation of $f(A) \boldsymbol{b}$ and $\boldsymbol{b}^T f(A) \boldsymbol{b}$ with rational Krylov methods, where $A$ is a symmetric matrix, $\boldsymbol{b}$ is a vector and the function $f$…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Igor Simunec

Metric Interval Temporal Logic (MITL) is a well studied real-time, temporal logic that has decidable satisfiability and model checking problems. The decision procedures for MITL rely on the automata theoretic approach, where logic formulas…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-10-11 Nima Roohi , Mahesh Viswanathan

Correction to Annals of Probability 29 (2001) 1612--1624 [doi:10.1214/aop/1015345764].

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Teddy Seidenfeld , Mark J. Schervish , Joseph B. Kadane

Probabilistic Computation Tree Logic (PCTL) is frequently used to formally specify control objectives such as probabilistic reachability and safety. In this work, we focus on model checking PCTL specifications statistically on Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Yu Wang , Nima Roohi , Matthew West , Mahesh Viswanathan , Geir E. Dullerud

We correct the value of the exponent \tau.

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Marc Barthelemy , Luis A. N. Amaral