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Frequentist-style large-sample properties of Bayesian posterior distributions, such as consistency and convergence rates, are important considerations in nonparametric problems. In this paper we give an analysis of Bayesian asymptotics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Ryan Martin , Liang Hong

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that a weighted sum of centered i.i.d. random variables X_k does not exceed a constant barrier. For regular random walks, the results follow easily from classical fluctuation theory,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-24 Frank Aurzada , Christoph Baumgarten

Let $\{{\bf \mathcal{Z}}_n:n\geq 1\}$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random probability measures. Independently, for each $n\geq 1$, let $(X_{n1},\ldots, X_{nn})$ be a random vector of positive random variables that add up to one. This paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-24 Shui Feng

This work deals with systems of interacting reinforced stochastic processes, where each process $X^j=(X_{n,j})_n$ is located at a vertex $j$ of a finite weighted direct graph, and it can be interpreted as the sequence of "actions" adopted…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Giacomo Aletti , Irene Crimaldi , Andrea Ghiglietti

We study the asymptotic properties of distributed consensus algorithms over switching directed random networks. More specifically, we focus on consensus algorithms over independent and identically distributed, directed random graphs, where…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2010-04-21 Victor M. Preciado , Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi , Ali Jadbabaie

The on-line nearest-neighbour graph on a sequence of $n$ uniform random points in $(0,1)^d$ ($d \in \N$) joins each point after the first to its nearest neighbour amongst its predecessors. For the total power-weighted edge-length of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-07 Andrew R. Wade

We consider a Bayesian problem of estimating of probability of success in a series of conditionally independent trials with binary outcomes. We study the asymptotic behaviour of differential entropy for posterior probability density…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-07-30 Mark Kelbert , Pavel Mozgunov

When assessing risks on a finite-time horizon, the problem can often be reduced to the study of a random sequence $C(N)=(C_1,\ldots,C_N)$ of random length $N$, where $C(N)$ comes from the product of a matrix $A(N)$ of random size $N \times…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Charles Tillier , Olivier Wintenberger

In this paper the asymptotic distribution of estimators is derived in a general regression setting where rank restrictions on a submatrix of the coefficient matrix are imposed and the regressors can include stationary or I(1) processes.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-08 Dietmar Bauer

Let $\{\xi_1,\xi_2,\ldots\}$ be a sequence of independent random variables, and $\eta$ be a counting random variable independent of this sequence. In addition, let $S_0:=0$ and $S_n:=\xi_1+\xi_2+\cdots+\xi_n$ for $n\geqslant1$. We consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Ieva Marija Andrulytė , Martynas Manstavičius , Jonas Šiaulys

Let $S_n$ be a centered random walk with a finite variance, and define the new sequence $A_n:=\sum_{i=1}^n S_i$, which we call an integrated random walk. We are interested in the asymptotics of $$p_N:=P(\min_{1 \le k \le N} A_k \ge 0)$$ as…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-06 Vladislav Vysotsky

We consider the distribution of the sum and the maximum of a collection of independent exponentially distributed random variables. The focus is laid on the explicit form of the density functions (pdf) of non-i.i.d. sequences. Those are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-16 Markus Bibinger

The extremal tail probabilities of moving sums in a marked Poisson random field is examined here. These sums are computed by adding up the weighted occurrences of events lying within a scanning set of fixed shape and size. Change of measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Hock Peng Chan

Consider a family of random walks $S_n^{(a)}=X_1^{(a)}+\cdots+X_n^{(a)}$ with negative drift $\mathbf E X_1^{(a)}=-a<0$ and finite variance $\mbox{var}(X_1^{(a)})=\sigma^2<\infty$.Let $M^{(a)}=\max_{n\ge 0} S_n^{(a)}$ be the maximums of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-29 Denis Denisov , Johannes Kugler

Given $n,m\in \mathbb{N}$, we study two classes of large random matrices of the form $$ \mathcal{L}_n =\sum_{\alpha=1}^m\xi_\alpha \mathbf{y}_\alpha \mathbf{y}_\alpha ^T\quad\text{and}\quad \mathcal{A}_n =\sum_{\alpha =1}^m\xi_\alpha…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-05 Alicja Dembczak-Kołodziejczyk , Anna Lytova

Max-stable distributions and processes are important models for extreme events and the assessment of tail risks. The full, multivariate likelihood of a parametric max-stable distribution is complicated and only recent advances enable its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-08 Clement Dombry , Sebastian Engelke , Marco Oesting

Let I_1,...,I_n be independent but not necessarily identically distributed Bernoulli random variables, and let X_n=\sum_{j=1}^nI_j. For \nu in a bounded region, a local central limit theorem expansion of P(X_n=EX_n+\nu) is developed to any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Richard Arratia , Larry Goldstein , Bryan Langholz

Let $P=(x_1,\ldots,x_n)$ be a population consisting of $n\ge 2$ real numbers whose sum is zero, and let $k <n$ be a positive integer. We sample $k$ elements from $P$ without replacement and denote by $X_P$ the sum of the elements in our…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Jianhang Ai , Ondřej Kuželka , Christos Pelekis

Let $\{X_i,i\geq1\}$ be a sequence of negatively associated random variables, and let $\{X_i^\ast,i\geq 1\}$ be a sequence of independent random variables such that $X_i^\ast$ and $X_i$ have the same distribution for each $i$. Denote by…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-12 WenCong Zhang

Asymptotic expansions are derived for the tail distribution of the product of two correlated normal random variables with non-zero means and arbitrary variances, and more generally the sum of independent copies of such random variables.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Robert E. Gaunt , Zixin Ye