Related papers: Persistence of iterated partial sums
Let $n = b_1 + ... + b_k = b_1' + \cdot + b_k'$ be a pair of compositions of $n$ into $k$ positive parts. We say this pair is {\em irreducible} if there is no positive $j < k$ for which $b_1 + ... b_j = b_1' + ... b_j'$. The probability…
Let $a_1, \dots, a_n \in \mathbb{R}$ satisfy $\sum_i a_i^2 = 1$, and let $\varepsilon_1, \ldots, \varepsilon_n$ be uniformly random $\pm 1$ signs and $X = \sum_{i=1}^{n} a_i \varepsilon_i$. It is conjectured that $X = \sum_{i=1}^{n} a_i…
This note establishes that if a sequence $P_n, n=1,\ldots$ of probability measures converges in total variation to the limiting probability measure $P$, and $\sigma$-algebras $\mathbb{A}$ and $\mathbb{B}$ are conditionally independent given…
We study mean convergence results for weighted multiple ergodic averages defined by commuting transformations with iterates given by integer polynomials in several variables. Roughly speaking, we prove that a bounded sequence is a good…
We generalise the known fact that for binomial $X_{n,k} \sim \mathrm{Bin}(n, k/n)$ one has $\inf_{k>1,n} \mathrm{P}(X_{n,k} \geq k) \geq \lim_{k \to 1+}\mathrm{P}(X_{2,k} \geq k) = 1/4$ to cover probabilities of exceeding a constant shift…
Let $a_n$ be the random increasing sequence of natural numbers which takes each value independently with probability $n^{-a}$, $0 < a < 1/2$, and let $p(n) = n^{1+\epsilon}$, $0 < \epsilon < 1$. We prove that, almost surely, for every…
A consequence of de Finetti's representation theorem is that for every infinite sequence of exchangeable 0-1 random variables $(X_k)_{k\geq1}$, there exists a probability measure $\mu$ on the Borel sets of $[0,1]$ such that $\bar X_n =…
The persistence of a stochastic variable is the probability that it does not cross a given level during a fixed time interval. Although persistence is a simple concept to understand, it is in general hard to calculate. Here we consider zero…
Let $(\xi_i)_{i=1,...,n}$ be a sequence of independent and symmetric random variables. We consider the upper bounds on tail probabilities of self-normalized deviations $$ \mathbf{P} \Big( \max_{1\leq k \leq n} \sum_{i=1}^{k} |\xi_i|\big/…
Given a bounded class of functions G and independent random variables X1, . . . , Xn, we provide an upper bound for the expectation of the supremum of the empirical process over elements of G having a small variance. Our bound applies in…
Let $d$ be a probability distribution. Under certain mild conditions we show that $$ \lim_{x\to\infty}x\sum_{n=1}^\infty \frac{d^{*n}(x)}{n}=1,\qquad\text{where}\quad d^{*n}:=\underbrace{\,d*d*\cdots*d\,}_{n\text{ times}}. $$ For a…
For a sequence of identically distributed negatively associated random variables $\{X_n; n\geq 1\}$ with partial sums $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i, n\geq 1$, refinements are presented of the classical Baum-Katz and Lai complete convergence…
We consider the probability that a weighted sum of $n$ i.i.d. random variables $X_j$, $j = 1, . . ., n$, with stretched exponential tails is larger than its expectation and determine the rate of its decay, under suitable conditions on the…
We consider probability measures on the real line or unit circle with Jacobi or Verblunsky coefficients satisfying an $\ell^p$ condition and a generalized bounded variation condition. This latter condition requires that a sequence can be…
Let $K_n$ denote the number of distinct values among the first $n$ terms of an infinite exchangeable sequence of random variables $(X_1,X_2,\ldots)$. We prove for $n=3$ that the extreme points of the convex set of all possible laws of $K_3$…
This paper explores the joint behaviour of the summands of a random walk when their mean value goes to infinity as its length increases. It is proved that all the summands must share the same value, which extends previous results in the…
Let $1\le k\le n$ and $M$ be a random $n\times n$ matrix with independent uniformly random $\{\pm 1\}$-entries. We show that there exists an absolute constant $c > 0$ such that \[\mathbf{P}[\operatorname{rank}(M)\le n-k]\le \exp(-c nk).\]
We study the probability that a random polynomial with integer coefficients is reducible when factored over the rational numbers. Using computer-generated data, we investigate a number of different models, including both monic and non-monic…
Consider the random quadratic form $T_n=\sum_{1 \leq u < v \leq n} a_{uv} X_u X_v$, where $((a_{uv}))_{1 \leq u, v \leq n}$ is a $\{0, 1\}$-valued symmetric matrix with zeros on the diagonal, and $X_1,$ $X_2, \ldots, X_n$ are i.i.d.…
Let $F_n$ be an $n$ by $n$ symmetric matrix whose entries are bounded by $n^{\gamma}$ for some $\gamma>0$. Consider a randomly perturbed matrix $M_n=F_n+X_n$, where $X_n$ is a random symmetric matrix whose upper diagonal entries $x_{ij}$…