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Multicellular organisms comprise a diverse collection of stable tissues built from different cell types. It remains unclear how large numbers of interacting cells can precisely coordinate their gene expression during tissue…

Biological Physics · Physics 2022-10-31 Matthew Smart , Anton Zilman

We study the activation process in large assemblies of type II excitable units whose dynamics is influenced by two independent noise terms. The mean-field approach is applied to explicitly demonstrate that the assembly of excitable units…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-04-19 Igor Franović , Matjaz Perc , Kristina Todorović , Srđan Kostić , Nikola Burić

Modeling event dynamics is central to many disciplines. Patterns in observed event arrival times are commonly modeled using point processes. Such event arrival data often exhibits self-exciting, heterogeneous and sporadic trends, which is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-16 Jing Wu , Owen G. Ward , James Curley , Tian Zheng

Self-exciting point processes describe the manner in which every event facilitates the occurrence of succeeding events. By increasing excitability, the event occurrences start to exhibit bursts even in the absence of external stimuli. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-05-01 Tomokatsu Onaga , Shigeru Shinomoto

In this work we investigate the generic properties of a stochastic linear model in the regime of high-dimensionality. We consider in particular the Vector AutoRegressive model (VAR) and the multivariate Hawkes process. We analyze both…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-François Muzy

We develop a stochastic human-rodent compartment model for Mpox transmission that combines diffusion noise with Hawkes self-exciting jumps in the human infection dynamics. Including Hawkes processes allows, for instance, to model the short…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-29 Giulia Di Nunno , Nicola Giordano , Barbara Martinucci , Olena Tymoshenko

The neural Hawkes process (Mei & Eisner, 2017) is a generative model of irregularly spaced sequences of discrete events. To handle complex domains with many event types, Mei et al. (2020a) further consider a setting in which each event in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-09 Chenghao Yang , Hongyuan Mei , Jason Eisner

Quadratic Hawkes (QHawkes) processes have proved effective at reproducing the statistics of price changes, capturing many of the stylised facts of financial markets. Motivated by the recently reported strong occurrence of endogenous…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-15 Cécilia Aubrun , Michael Benzaquen , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Genuinely critical dynamics have been proposed to organize many natural and social systems, yet exact criticality is usually thought to preclude stationarity because the mean activity diverges. I show that this conclusion is not generally…

General Physics · Physics 2026-05-26 Didier Sornette

We present a unified field-theoretic framework for the dynamics of activity and connectivity in interacting neuronal systems. Building upon previous works, where a field approach to activity--connectivity dynamics, formation of collective…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-30 Pierre Gosselin , Aïleen Lotz

Current questions in ecology revolve around instabilities in the dynamics on spatial networks and particularly the effect of node heterogeneity. We extend the Master Stability Function formalism to inhomogeneous biregular networks having…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-27 Alexander Krauß , Thilo Gross , Barbara Drossel

This paper proposes a method for generating typical scenarios based on system-level macroscopic characteristics of power system and considering its stability properties. First, considering uncertainties such as renewable energy generation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-02 Tao Li , Chen Shen

We show that qualitatively different epidemic-like processes from distinct societal domains (finance, social and commercial blockbusters, epidemiology) can be quantitatively understood using the same unifying conceptual framework taking…

The process of pattern formation for a multi-species model anchored on a time varying network is studied. A non homogeneous perturbation superposed to an homogeneous stable fixed point can amplify, as follows a novel mechanism of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-11 Julien Petit , Ben Lauwens , Duccio Fanelli , Timoteo Carletti

This paper investigates the conditions for the stability and emergence of patterns in a new three-component reaction-diffusion system. The system describes the coexistence and interaction of water reservoirs, vegetation, and bushfire…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Serena Dipierro , Enrico Valdinoci

We model sectoral production by cascading binary compounding processes. The sequence of processes is discovered in a self-similar hierarchical structure stylized in the economy-wide networks of production. Nested substitution elasticities…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-31 Satoshi Nakano , Kazuhiko Nishimura

Among the statistical tools for online information diffusion modeling, both epidemic models and Hawkes point processes are popular choices. The former originate from epidemiology, and consider information as a viral contagion which spreads…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-18 Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Swapnil Mishra , Quyu Kong , Mark Carman , Lexing Xie

The functions of many networked systems in physics, biology or engineering rely on a coordinated or synchronized dynamics of its constituents. In power grids for example, all generators must synchronize and run at the same frequency and…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-09-13 Debsankha Manik , Marc Timme , Dirk Witthaut

Event occurrence is not only subject to the environmental changes, but is also facilitated by the events that have occurred in a system. Here, we develop a method for estimating such extrinsic and intrinsic factors from a single series of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-01-04 Shinsuke Koyama , Shigeru Shinomoto

Balanced neural networks -- in which excitatory and inhibitory inputs compensate each other on average -- give rise to a dynamical phase dominated by fluctuations called asynchronous state, crucial for brain functioning. However, structural…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-05 Jorge Pretel , Victor Buendía , Joaquín J. Torres , Miguel A. Muñoz