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Related papers: Prognostic Watch of the Electric Power System

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The paper makes a thermal predictive analysis of the electric power system security for a day ahead. This predictive analysis is set as a thermal computation of the expected security. This computation is obtained by cointegrating the daily…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2011-01-25 Stefan Z. Stefanov

The power grid frequency is the central observable in power system control, as it measures the balance of electrical supply and demand. A reliable frequency forecast can facilitate rapid control actions and may thus greatly improve power…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-24 Johannes Kruse , Benjamin Schäfer , Dirk Witthaut

Estimation of the generated power of renewable energy resources is in general important for planning operations as well as demand balance and power quality. This paper addresses the problem of the estimation of the short-term (3-hour ahead)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-20 L. A. Dao , L. Ferrarini , D. La Carrubba

Load forecasts have become an integral part of energy security. Due to the various influencing factors that can be considered in such a forecast, there is also a wide range of models that attempt to integrate these parameters into a system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Philipp Giese

Power grids are one of the most important components of infrastructure in today's world. Every nation is dependent on the security and stability of its own power grid to provide electricity to the households and industries. A malfunction of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Biswarup Bhattacharya , Abhishek Sinha

Prognostics is a process of assessing the extent of deviation or degradation of a product from its expected normal operating condition, and then, based on continuous monitoring, predicting the future reliability of the product. By being…

Materials Science · Physics 2007-09-13 N. Vchare , M. Pecht

Electricity price forecasting has become a critical tool for decision-making in energy markets, particularly as the increasing penetration of renewable energy introduces greater volatility and uncertainty. Historically, research in this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-11 Ciaran O'Connor , Mohamed Bahloul , Steven Prestwich , Andrea Visentin

Contemporary power grids are being challenged by rapid voltage fluctuations that are caused by large-scale deployment of renewable generation, electric vehicles, and demand response programs. In this context, monitoring the grid's operating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Liang Zhang , Gang Wang , Georgios B. Giannakis

Electricity networks are vulnerable to weather damage, with severe events often leading to faults and power outages. Timely forecasts of fault occurrences, ranging from nowcasts to several days ahead, can enhance preparedness, support…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-03 Mateus Maia , Daniela Castro-Camilo , Jethro Browell

Short-term load forecasting is an essential task that supports utilities to schedule generating sufficient power for balancing supply and demand, and can become an attractive target for cyber attacks. It has been shown that the power system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-09 Mojtaba Dezvarei , Kevin Tomsovic , Jinyuan Stella Sun , Seddik M. Djouadi

Electricity price forecasting (EPF) is a branch of forecasting on the interface of electrical engineering, statistics, computer science, and finance, which focuses on predicting prices in wholesale electricity markets for a whole spectrum…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-26 Arkadiusz Jędrzejewski , Jesus Lago , Grzegorz Marcjasz , Rafał Weron

The power system is undergoing rapid evolution with the roll-out of advanced metering infrastructure and local energy applications (e.g. electric vehicles) as well as the increasing penetration of intermittent renewable energy at both…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-04 Shuang Dai , Fanlin Meng , Hongsheng Dai , Qian Wang , Xizhong Chen

The prediction of electrical power in combined cycle power plants is a key challenge in the electrical power and energy systems field. This power output can vary depending on environmental variables, such as temperature, pressure, and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-06 Jesus L. Lobo , Igor Ballesteros , Izaskun Oregi , Javier Del Ser

Short-Term Electricity-Load Forecasting (STELF) refers to the prediction of the immediate demand (in the next few hours to several days) for the power system. Various external factors, such as weather changes and the emergence of new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Qi Dong , Rubing Huang , Chenhui Cui , Dave Towey , Ling Zhou , Jinyu Tian , Jianzhou Wang

Security of supply is a common and important concern when integrating renewables in net-zero power systems. Extreme weather affects both demand and supply leading to power system stress; in Europe this stress spreads continentally beyond…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-08 Aleksander Grochowicz , Hannah C. Bloomfield , Marta Victoria

Forecasting electricity prices is a challenging task and an active area of research since the 1990s and the deregulation of the traditionally monopolistic and government-controlled power sectors. Although it aims at predicting both spot and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-23 Katarzyna Maciejowska , Bartosz Uniejewski , Rafał Weron

Probabilistic forecasting of electricity load curves is of fundamental importance for effective scheduling and decision making in the increasingly volatile and competitive energy markets. We propose a novel approach to construct…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-16 Xiuqin Xu , Ying Chen , Yannig Goude , Qiwei Yao

With their expansion, national power grid have had to work with huge sets of data received from a vast number of substations and power plants. Given their large volume and variety, these data can be classified as big data. Managing this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-04 Parisa Ataeian , Abbas Rabiee , Mehdi Derafshian Maram , Mohsen Ghalei Monfared Zanjani

Power System Resource Planning is the recurrent process of studying and determining what facilities and procedures should be provided to satisfy and promote appropriate future demands for electricity. The electric power system as planned…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-24 Sohom Datta

Power grid outages cause huge economical and societal costs. Disruptions in the power distribution grid are responsible for a significant fraction of electric power unavailability to customers. The impact of extreme weather conditions,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Yakup Koc , Abhishek Raman , Martijn Warnier , Tarun Kumar
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