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Using 9-sets of different laboratory earthquake tests, we examined the nature of cracking under true triaxial stress conditions in the lithosphere . We found that 3D stress state can induce oblique nucleation of many fractures, forming…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-06-03 H. O. Ghaffari , M. H. B. Nasseri , R. Paul Young

Despite the enormous efforts towards searching for precursors, no precursors have exhibited real predictive power with respect to an earthquake thus far. Seismogenic locked segments that can accumulate adequate strain energy to cause major…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-09-24 Chen Hongran , Qin Siqing , Xue Lei , Yang Baicun , Zhang Ke

Self-similarity indicates that large and small earthquakes share the same physics, where all variables scale with rupture length $L$. Here I show that rupture tip acceleration during the start of dynamic rupture (break-out phase) is also…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-11-05 Stefan Nielsen

By analyzing the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) seismic catalog for different tectonic settings, we have found that the probability distributions of time intervals between successive earthquakes --interoccurrence times-- can be described…

Geophysics · Physics 2008-12-12 Tomohiro Hasumi , Takuma Akimoto , Yoji Aizawa

The potential for complex systems to exhibit tipping points in which an equilibrium state undergoes a sudden and often irreversible shift is well established, but prediction of these events using standard forecast modeling techniques is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-07 Daniel Dylewsky , Timothy M. Lenton , Marten Scheffer , Thomas M. Bury , Christopher G. Fletcher , Madhur Anand , Chris T. Bauch

We analyze 21 aftershock sequences of California to test for evidence of space-time diffusion. Aftershock diffusion may result from stress diffusion and is also predicted by any mechanism of stress weakening. Here, we test an alternative…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-26 Agnes Helmstetter , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette

Europa's surface exhibits morphological features which, associated with a low crater density, might be interpreted to have formed as a result of recent cryovolcanic activity. In particular, the morphology of smooth deposits covering parts…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-08-20 Elodie Lesage , Hélène Massol , Frédéric Schmidt

A reactive fluid dissolving the surface of a uniform fracture will trigger an instability in the dissolution front, leading to spontaneous formation of pronounced well-spaced channels in the surrounding rock matrix. Although the underlying…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-04-26 Piotr Szymczak , Anthony J. C. Ladd

There is growing interest in anticipating critical transitions in natural systems, often pursued through statistical detection of early warning signals associated with dynamical bifurcations. In stochastic dynamical systems, such signals…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Florian Suerhoff , Andreas Morr , Sebastian Bathiany , Niklas Boers , Christian Kuehn

Here a method is presented for detecting precursors of earthquakes from time series data on earthquakes in a target region. Regional Entropy of Seismic Information, a quantity representing the average influence of an earthquake in the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Yukio Ohsawa

A brief historical perspective is first given concerning financial crashes, - from the 17th till the 20th century. In modern times, it seems that log periodic oscillations are found before crashes in several financial indices. The same is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 M. Ausloos , K. Ivanova , N. Vandewalle

We have developed a model that describes the major characteristics of a rupture, ranging from regular earthquakes (EQs) to slow slip events (SSEs), including episodic tremor and slip (ETS). Previous model predictions, while accurate, are…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-09-11 Naum I. Gershenzon , Cong Zhou , Thomas Skinner

Fatigue failure can be thought by studying the collective motions of defects inside materials instead of focusing on the growth of a pre-existing micro-crack. An experimental study of the statistical distribution of acoustic emissions…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2010-11-03 C. Dunand-Chatellet , Z. Moumni

The seismicity, which took place at the Methoni seismogenic area, in the time period of 20/2/2008 - 10/4/2008, is analyzed in terms of its location, time of occurrence and magnitude. Furthermore, it is compared to the tidal (T=14 days, T=1…

Geophysics · Physics 2008-05-15 Constantine Thanassoulas

In Geosciences a class of phenomena that is widely studied given its real impact on human life are the tectonic faults slip. These landslides have different ways to manifest, ranging from aseismic events of slow displacement (slow slips) to…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-04-18 José Augusto Proença Maia Devienne

The climate record preserved in polar glaciers, mountain glaciers, and widespread cave deposits shows repeated occurrence of abrupt global transitions between cold/dry stadial and warm/wet interstadial states during glacial periods. These…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-07-03 Brian F. Farrell , Dorian S. Abbot

When particles settle through a stable temperature or salinity gradient they can drive an instability known as sedimentary fingering convection. This phenomenon is thought to occur beneath sediment-rich river plumes in lakes and oceans, in…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-04-05 J. F. Reali , P. Garaud , A. Alsinan , E. Meiburg

Iceberg calving accounts for around half of the ice lost annually from Antarctica, but realistic representation of fracture and calving in large-scale ice sheet models remains a major unsolved problem in glaciology. We present a new…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-06-16 Jakub Stocek , Robert J. Arthern , Oliver J. Marsh

It has been widely debated whether Arctic sea-ice loss can reach a tipping point beyond which a large sea-ice area disappears abruptly. The theory of dynamical systems predicts a slowing down when a system destabilises towards a tipping…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-01-26 Sebastian Bathiany , Bregje van der Bolt , Mark S. Williamson , Timothy M. Lenton , Marten Scheffer , Egbert van Nes , Dirk Notz

The failure of frictional interfaces and the spatiotemporal structures that accompany it are central to a wide range of geophysical, physical and engineering systems. Recent geophysical and laboratory observations indicated that interfacial…

Materials Science · Physics 2015-03-19 Yohai Bar Sinai , Efim A. Brener , Eran Bouchbinder
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