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By applying natural time analysis to the time series of earthquakes, we find that the order parameter of seismicity exhibits a unique change approximately at the date(s) at which Seismic Electric Signals (SES) activities have been reported…

Forecasting volcanic eruptions remains a formidable challenge due to the inherent complexity and variability of volcanic processes. A key source of uncertainty arises from the sporadic nature of volcanic unrest, which is often characterised…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-03-03 Qinghua Lei , Didier Sornette

In the last thirty years, the Northern and Central Apennines (Italy) have been affected by three main destructive seismic sequences: the 1997 Colfiorito (three events $M_L > 5.5$), the 2009 L'Aquila (one event $M_L > 5.5$), and the…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-01-09 Marion Baques , Piero Poli , Michele Fondriest

Using a recent conceptual model of the glacial-interglacial cycles we present more evidence of Milankovitch cycles being the trigger for retreat and forming of ice sheets in the cycles. This model is based on a finite approximation of an…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-11-20 Shiv Priyam Raghuraman

We report on slow earthquakes in Northern Cascadia, and show that continuous seismic energy in the subduction zone follows specific patterns leading to failure. We rely on machine learning models to map characteristic energy signals from…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-09-17 Claudia Hulbert , Bertrand Rouet-Leduc , Paul A. Johnson

The condition of internal gravity waves (IGW) parametric excitation in the rotating fluid layer heated from above, with the layer vibration along the vertical axis or with periodic modulation in time of the vertical temperature…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2013-08-28 Sergey G. Chefranov , Alexander G. Chefranov

Based on early Kepler data, Ostensen et al. (2010) found that KIC 9202990 showed a 4 hr and a two-week photometric period. They suggested the 4 hr period was a signature of an orbital period; the longer period was possibly due to precession…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-12-02 Gavin Ramsay , Pasi Hakala , Matt A Wood , Steve B Howell , Alan Smale , Martin Still , Tom Barclay

The distribution of inter-occurrence time between seismic events is a quantity of great interest in seismic risk assessment. We evaluate this distribution for different models of earthquakes occurrence and follow two distinct approaches:…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Godano , L. de Arcangelis

This paper is an attempt for arguing the possibility for short time when, where and how Earthquakes prediction. The local when Earthquake prediction is based on the connection between geomagnetic quakes and the next incoming minimum or…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 S. Cht. Mavrodiev

We initiate a study of the gravitational-wave signatures of a phase transition that occurs as the Universe's temperature increases during reheating. The gravitational-wave signatures of such a heating phase transition are different from…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-10-04 Manuel A. Buen-Abad , Jae Hyeok Chang , Anson Hook

Based on suggested interactions of potential tipping elements in the Earth's climate and in ecological systems, tipping cascades as possible dynamics are increasingly discussed and studied as their activation would impose a considerable…

Simulations of the Greenland Ice Sheet are carried out with a high-resolution version of the ice-sheet model SICOPOLIS for several global-warming scenarios for the period 1990-2350. In particular, the impact of surface-meltwater-induced…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-05-14 Ralf Greve , Shin Sugiyama

Following N.Kozyrev's idea about the influence of the gravitational fields of the Sun and the Moon on the Earth's crust, we consider a low-frequency resonance of the Earth's crust blocks is happening before the occurrence of the earthquake.…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-05-24 Dimitar Ouzounov , Alexandr Yagodin

Frictional weakening by vibrations was first invoked in the 70's to explain unusual fault slips and earthquakes, low viscosity during the collapse of impact craters or the extraordinary mobility of sturzstroms, peculiar rock avalanches…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-03-26 V. Vidal , C. Oliver , H. Lastakowski , G. Varas , J. -C Géminard

The unjamming transition of granular systems is investigated in a seismic fault model via three dimensional Molecular Dynamics simulations. A two--time force--force correlation function, and a susceptibility related to the system response…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-03-13 M. Pica Ciamarra , E. Lippiello , C. Godano , L. de Arcangelis

This article focuses on liquefaction of saturated granular soils, triggered by earthquakes. Liquefaction is definedhere as the transition from a rigid state, in which the granular soil layer supports structures placed on its surface, toa…

Convective flows coupled with solidification or melting in water bodies play a major role in shaping geophysical landscapes. Particularly in relation to the global climate warming scenario, it is essential to be able to accurately quantify…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-03-11 Ziqi Wang , Enrico Calzavarini , Chao Sun , Federico Toschi

Within the framework of lower order thermodynamic theories for the climatic evolution of Arctic sea ice we isolate the conditions required for the existence of stable seasonally-varying solutions, in which ice forms each winter and melts…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-04 W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

Landslides exhibit intermittent gravity-driven downslope movements developing over days to years before a possible major collapse, commonly boosted by external events like precipitations and earthquakes. The reasons behind these episodic…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-10 Qinghua Lei , Didier Sornette

A promising perspective is presented that humans can provide hourly warning for strong land earthquakes (EQs, Ms6). Two important atmospheric electrostatic signal features are described. A table that lists 9 strong land EQs with shock time,…

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