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Related papers: Tail Behavior of Randomly Weighted Sums

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We study the behavior of the tail of a measure $\mu^{\boxtimes t}$, where $\boxtimes t$ is the $t$-fold free multiplicative convolution power for $t\geq 1$. We focus on the case where $\mu$ is a probability measure on the positive half-line…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-20 Bartosz Kołodziejek , Kamil Szpojankowski

In this paper, we present a new framework to obtain tail inequalities for sums of random matrices. Compared with existing works, our tail inequalities have the following characteristics: 1) high feasibility--they can be used to study the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-10 Chao Zhang , Min-Hsiu Hsieh , Dacheng Tao

Many management decisions involve accumulated random realizations for which only the first and second moments of their distribution are available. The sharp Chebyshev-type bound for the tail probability and Scarf bound for the expected loss…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-15 Zhaolin Li , Artem Prokhorov

Several objects in the Extremes literature are special instances of max-stable random sup-measures. This perspective opens connections to the theory of random sets and the theory of risk measures and makes it possible to extend…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Ilya Molchanov , Kirstin Strokorb

In this paper we propagate a large deviations approach for proving limit theory for (generally) multivariate time series with heavy tails. We make this notion precise by introducing regularly varying time series. We provide general large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-02 T. Mikosch , O. Wintenberger

We consider a new approach in the definition of two-dimensional heavy-tailed distributions. Namely, we introduce the classes of two-dimensional long-tailed, of twodimensional dominatedly varying and of two-dimensional consistently varying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

A multivariate, stationary time series is said to be jointly regularly varying if all its finite-dimensional distributions are multivariate regularly varying. This property is shown to be equivalent to weak convergence of the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-27 Bojan Basrak , Johan Segers

Simultaneous occurrences of extreme events need not imply symmetric or reciprocal tail dependence. However, most existing measures of extremal dependence are inherently symmetric and hence often fail to capture directional influence in tail…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Bikramjit Das , Xiangyu Liu

We look at joint regular variation properties of MA($\infty$) processes of the form $\mathbf{X} = (X_k, k \in \mathbb{Z})$ where $X_k = \sum_{j=0}^{\infty} \psi_j Z_{k-j}$ and the sequence of random variables $(Z_i, i \in \mathbb{Z})$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-01 Sideny I. Resnick , Joyjit Roy

We construct a new tail bound for the sum of independent random variables for situations in which the expected value of the sum is known and each random variable lies within a specified interval, which may be different for each variable.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Jackson Loper , Jeffrey Regier

This work prepares new probability bounds for sums of random, independent, Hermitian tensors. These probability bounds characterize large-deviation behavior of the extreme eigenvalue of the sums of random tensors. We extend Lapalace…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Shih Yu Chang

Models based on assumptions of multivariate regular variation and hidden regular variation provide ways to describe a broad range of extremal dependence structures when marginal distributions are heavy tailed. Multivariate regular variation…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Janet E. Heffernan , Sidney I. Resnick

We study bivariate stochastic recurrence equations with triangular matrix coefficients and we characterize the tail behavior of their stationary solutions ${\bf W} =(W_1,W_2)$. Recently it has been observed that $W_1,W_2$ may exhibit…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Ewa Damek , Muneya Matsui

We consider the tail probabilities of stock returns for a general class of stochastic volatility models. In these models, the stochastic differential equation for volatility is autonomous, time-homogeneous and dependent on only a finite…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-21 Henrik O. Rasmussen , Paul Wilmott

In this paper we present a tail inequality for the maximum of partial sums of a weakly dependent sequence of random variables that are not necessarily bounded. The class considered includes geometrically and subgeometrically strongly mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-04 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Emmanuel Rio

It is well known that the product of two independent regularly varying random variables with the same tail index is again regularly varying with this index. In this paper, we provide sharp sufficient conditions for the regular variation…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-27 Piotr Dyszewski , Thomas Mikosch

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of higher-order conditional tail moments, which quantify the contribution of individual losses in the event of systemic collapse. The study is conducted within a framework comprising two…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Zhangting Chen , Bingjie Wang , Dongya Cheng

In this paper, we study the fluctuations of sums of random variables with distribution defined as a mixture of light-tail and truncated heavy-tail distributions. We focus on the case when both the mixing coefficient and the truncation level…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-31 Vladimir Panov

Taking one-dimensional random transverse Ising model (RTIM) with the double-Gaussian disorder for example, we investigated the spin autocorrelation function (SAF) and associated spectral density at high temperature by the recursion method.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-12-08 Zhong-Qiang Liu , Xiang-Mu Kong , Su-Rong Jiang , Ying-Jun Li

We consider the Markov chain $\{X_n^x\}_{n=0}^\infty$ on $\R^d$ defined by the stochastic recursion $X_{n}^{x}=\p_{\theta_{n}}(X_{n-1}^{x})$, starting at $x\in\R^d$, where $\theta_{1}, \theta_{2},...$ are i.i.d. random variables taking…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Mariusz Mirek