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We construct a time-consistent sublinear expectation in the setting of volatility uncertainty. This mapping extends Peng's G-expectation by allowing the range of the volatility uncertainty to be stochastic. Our construction is purely…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-06 Marcel Nutz

We unify and establish equivalence between the pathwise and the quasi-sure approaches to robust modelling of financial markets in discrete time. In particular, we prove a Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing and a Superhedging Theorem,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-04 Jan Obloj , Johannes Wiesel

We analyse derivative securities whose value is NOT a deterministic function of an underlying which means presence of a basis risk at any time. The key object of our analysis is conditional probability distribution at a given underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 S. Esipov , I. Vaysburd

It is shown that delta hedging provides the optimal trading strategy in terms of minimal required initial capital to replicate a given terminal payoff in a continuous-time Markovian context. This holds true in market models where no…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-10 Johannes Ruf

We consider the robust pricing and hedging of American options in a continuous time setting. We assume asset prices are continuous semimartingales, but we allow for general model uncertainty specification via adapted closed convex…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-08 Ivan Guo , Jan Obłój

We study an optimal investment/consumption problem in a model capturing market and credit risk dependencies. Stochastic factors drive both the default intensity and the volatility of the stocks in the portfolio. We use the martingale…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-20 Lijun Bo , Agostino Capponi

In this study, we consider the asset pricing under model uncertainty with discrete time and states structure. For the single-period securities model, we give a novel definition of arbitrage under a family of probability, and explore of its…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-25 Shuzhen Yang , Wenqing Zhang

Nonlinear expectation, including sublinear expectation as its special case, is a new and original framework of probability theory and has potential applications in some scientific fields, especially in finance risk measure and management.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-15 Lu Lin , Yufeng Shi , Xin Wang , Shuzhen Yang

This paper deals with uncertain dynamical systems in which predictions about the future state of a system are assessed by so called pseudomeasures. Two special cases are stochastic dynamical systems, where the pseudomeasure is the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2016-08-31 Andreas Hamm

We consider a financial model with permanent price impact. Continuous time trading dynamics are derived as the limit of discrete rebalancing policies. We then study the problem of super-hedging a European option. Our main result is the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 B. Bouchard , G. Loeper , Y. Zou

Accounting for model uncertainty in risk management and option pricing leads to infinite dimensional optimization problems which are both analytically and numerically intractable. In this article we study when this hurdle can be overcome…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-16 Daniel Bartl , Samuel Drapeau , Ludovic Tangpi

In this paper we present results on scalar risk measures in markets with transaction costs. Such risk measures are defined as the minimal capital requirements in the cash asset. First, some results are provided on the dual representation of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-05 Zachary Feinstein , Birgit Rudloff

We expose a theoretical hedging optimization framework with variational preferences under convex risk measures. We explore a general dual representation for the composition between risk measures and utilities. We study the properties of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-11 Marcelo Righi

We use martingale and stochastic analysis techniques to study a continuous-time optimal stopping problem, in which the decision maker uses a dynamic convex risk measure to evaluate future rewards. We also find a saddle point for an…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-23 Erhan Bayraktar , Ioannis Karatzas , Song Yao

We present a new deep primal-dual backward stochastic differential equation framework based on stopping time iteration to solve optimal stopping problems. A novel loss function is proposed to learn the conditional expectation, which…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-12 Jiefei Yang , Guanglian Li

In a discrete-time market, we study model-independent superhedging, while the semi-static superhedging portfolio consists of {\it three} parts: static positions in liquidly traded vanilla calls, static positions in other tradable, yet…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-16 Arash Fahim , Yu-Jui Huang

The classical discrete time model of proportional transaction costs relies on the assumption that a feasible portfolio process has solvent increments at each step. We extend this setting in two directions, allowing for convex transaction…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-15 Emmanuel Lepinette , Ilya Molchanov

We provide a new estimation method for conditional moment models via the martingale difference divergence (MDD).Our MDD-based estimation method is formed in the framework of a continuum of unconditional moment restrictions. Unlike the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-18 Kunyang Song , Feiyu Jiang , Ke Zhu

We introduce a framework for quantifying propagation of uncertainty arising in a dynamic setting. Specifically, we define dynamic uncertainty sets designed explicitly for discrete stochastic processes over a finite time horizon. These…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-05 Marlon Moresco , Mélina Mailhot , Silvana M. Pesenti

Let $E$ be a complete, separable metric space and $A$ be an operator on $C_b(E)$. We give an abstract definition of viscosity sub/supersolution of the resolvent equation $\lambda u-Au=h$ and show that, if the comparison principle holds,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-19 Cristina Costantini , Thomas G. Kurtz