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In this paper, we first investigate the estimation of the empirical joint Laplace transform of volatilities of two semi-martingales within a fixed time interval [0, T] by using overlapped increments of high-frequency data. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-05 XinWei Feng , Yu Jiang , Zhi Liu , Zhe Meng

We study submodularity for law-invariant functionals, with particular attention to convex risk measures. Expected losses are modular, and certainty equivalents are submodular exactly when the loss function is convex. Law-invariant coherent…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-07 Ruodu Wang , Jingcheng Yu

In this paper, we derive power guarantees of some sequential tests for bounded mean under general alternatives. We focus on testing procedures using nonnegative supermartingales which are anytime valid and consider alternatives which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Amaury Durand , Olivier Wintenberger

We study the Hull-White model for the term structure of interest rates in the presence of volatility uncertainty. The uncertainty about the volatility is represented by a set of beliefs, which naturally leads to a sublinear expectation and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-28 Julian Hölzermann

We study pricing and (super)hedging for American options in an imperfect market model with default, where the imperfections are taken into account via the nonlinearity of the wealth dynamics. The payoff is given by an RCLL adapted process…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-30 Roxana Dumitrescu , Marie-Claire Quenez , Agnès Sulem

In this paper, we modify the Bayes risk for the expectile, the so-called variantile risk measure, to better capture extreme risks. The modified risk measure is called the adjusted standard-deviatile. First, we derive the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Haoyu Chen , Tiantian Mao , Fan Yang

Recently, literature on dynamic coherent risk measures has broadened the choices for risk-sensitive performance evaluation. A running example includes Cumulative prospect theory and Conditional variance at risk. Most of them can be can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-14 Weixin Wang

We construct a statistical indicator for the detection of short-term asset price bubbles based on the information content of bid and ask market quotes for plain vanilla put and call options. Our construction makes use of the martingale…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-17 Petteri Piiroinen , Lassi Roininen , Tobias Schoden , Martin Simon

Agents' heterogeneity is recognized as a driver mechanism for the persistence of financial volatility. We focus on the multiplicity of investment strategies' horizons, we embed this concept in a continuous time stochastic volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-04 Danilo Delpini , Giacomo Bormetti

We derive a consistent differential representation for the dynamics of a self-financing portfolio for different hedging strategies. In the basis of the derivation there is the so called "retarded action principle", which represents the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-23 Dmitry Lesnik

Uncertainty estimation has been extensively studied in recent literature, which can usually be classified as aleatoric uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty. In current aleatoric uncertainty estimation frameworks, it is often neglected that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Jing Zhang , Yuchao Dai , Mehrtash Harandi , Yiran Zhong , Nick Barnes , Richard Hartley

Simulated annealing is a popular method for approaching the solution of a global optimization problem. Existing results on its performance apply to discrete combinatorial optimization where the optimization variables can assume only a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2007-09-20 A. Lecchini-Visintini , J. Lygeros , J. Maciejowski

The NA condition is one of the pillars supporting the classical theory of financial mathematics. We revisit this condition for financial market models where a dynamic risk-measure defined on $L^0$ is fixed to characterize the family of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-14 Emmanuel Lepinette , Duc Thinh Vu

Dynamic hedging of an European option under a general local volatility model with small linear transaction costs is studied. A continuous control version of Leland's strategy that asymptotically replicates the payoff is constructed. An…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-26 Jiatu Cai , Masaaki Fukasawa

The paper derives saddlepoint expansions for conditional expectations in the form of $\mathsf{E}[\overline{X} | \overline{\mathbf Y} = {\mathbf a}]$ and $\mathsf{E}[\overline{X} | \overline{\mathbf Y} \geq {\mathbf a}]$ for the sample mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-08 Sojung Kim , Kyoung-kuk Kim

In this paper, a new approach for solving the problems of pricing and hedging derivatives is introduced in a general frictionless market setting. The method is applicable even in cases where an equivalent local martingale measure fails to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-18 Huy N. Chau , Miklos Rasonyi

Risk assessment under different possible scenarios is a source of uncertainty that may lead to concerning financial losses. We address this issue, first, by adapting a robust framework to the class of spectral risk measures. Second, we…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-21 Mohammed Berkhouch , Ghizlane Lakhnati , Marcelo Brutti Righi

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) provide a powerful framework for modeling dynamic systems arising in a wide range of scientific domains. However, most existing ODE methods focus on a single system, and do not adequately address the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-08 Shuoxun Xu , Zijian Guo , Brooke R. Staveland , Robert T. Knight , Lexin Li

Systemic risk is receiving increasing attention in the insurance industry. In this paper, we propose a multi-dimensional L\'{e}vy process-based renewal risk model with heterogeneous insurance claims, where every dimension indicates a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-17 Bingzhen Geng , Yang Liu , Hongfu Wan

This paper investigates the finite horizon risk-sensitive portfolio optimization in a regime-switching credit market with physical and information-induced default contagion. It is assumed that the underlying regime-switching process has…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-28 Lijun Bo , Huafu Liao , Xiang Yu
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