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The evolution of the probability distributions of Japan and US major market indices, NIKKEI 225 and NASDAQ composite index, and $JPY/DEM$ and $DEM/USD$ currency exchange rates is described by means of the Fokker-Planck equation (FPE). In…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-20 K. Ivanova , M. Ausloos , H. Takayasu

We evaluate the average waiting time between observing the price of financial markets and the next price change, especially in an on-line foreign exchange trading service for individual customers via the internet. Basic technical idea of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Naoya Sazuka , Jun-ichi Inoue

By adopting Multifractal detrended fluctuation (MF-DFA) analysis methods, the multifractal nature is revealed in the high-frequency data of two typical indexes, the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite 180 Index (SH180) and the Shenzhen Stock…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-21 Xin-Lan Fu , Xing-Lu Gao , Zheng Shan , Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou

We present results about financial market observables, specifically returns and traded volumes. They are obtained within the current nonextensive statistical mechanical framework based on the entropy $S_{q}=k\frac{1-\sum\limits_{i=1}^{W}…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Silvio M. Duarte Queiros , Luis G. Moyano , Jeferson de Souza , Constantino Tsallis

Universal features in stock markets and their derivative markets are studied by means of probability distributions in internal rates of return on buy and sell transaction pairs. Unlike the stylized facts in log normalized returns, the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-11-11 Lukas Pichl , Taisei Kaizoji , Takuya Yamano

We investigate the volatility return intervals in the NYSE and FOREX markets. We explain previous empirical findings using a model based on the interacting agent hypothesis instead of the widely-used efficient market hypothesis. We derive…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-26 Vygintas Gontis , Shlomo Havlin , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Boris Podobnik , H. Eugene Stanley

We analyse the temporal changes in the cross correlations of returns on the New York Stock Exchange. We show that lead-lag relationships between daily returns of stocks vanished in less than twenty years. We have found that even for high…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-01-11 Bence Toth , Janos Kertesz

Oil price data have a complicated multi-scale structure that may vary with time. We use time-frequency analysis to identify the main features of these variations and, in particular, the regime shifts. The analysis is based on a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-01 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

Synchronization is a phenomenon in which a pair of fluctuations adjust their rhythms when interacting with each other. We measure the degree of synchronization between the U.S. dollar (USD) and euro exchange rates and between the USD and…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-09 Makoto Muto , Yoshitaka Saiki

We empirically analyze the scaling properties of daily Foreign Exchange rates, Stock Market indices and Bond futures across different financial markets. We study the scaling behaviour of the time series by using a generalized Hurst exponent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 T. Di Matteo , T. Aste , M. M. Dacorogna

In this paper, we provide a simple, ``generic'' interpretation of multifractal scaling laws and multiplicative cascade process paradigms in terms of volatility correlations. We show that in this context 1/f power spectra, as observed…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 J. F. Muzy , J. Delour , E. Bacry

Financial markets are prominent examples for highly non-stationary systems. Sample averaged observables such as variances and correlation coefficients strongly depend on the time window in which they are evaluated. This implies severe…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-15 Thilo A. Schmitt , Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

A market fix serves as a benchmark for foreign exchange (FX) execution, and is employed by many institutional investors to establish an exact reference at which execution takes place. The currently most popular FX fix is the World Market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-01 Patrick Steffen Michelberger , Jan Hendrik Witte

It will be discussed the statistics of the extreme values in time series characterized by finite-term correlations with non-exponential decay. Precisely, it will be considered the results of numerical analyses concerning the return…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Cecilia Pennetta

A new model for stock price fluctuations is proposed, based upon an analogy with the motion of tracers in Gaussian random fields, as used in turbulent dispersion models and in studies of transport in dynamically disordered media. Analytical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 James P. Gleeson

We consider different levels of complexity which are observed in the empirical investigation of financial time series. We discuss recent empirical and theoretical work showing that statistical properties of financial time series are rather…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Giovanni Bonanno , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

The price of electricity is far more volatile than that of other commodities normally noted for extreme volatility. The possibility of extreme price movements increases the risk of trading in electricity markets. However, underlying the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Rafal Weron

We show how bad and good volatility propagate through forex markets, i.e., we provide evidence for asymmetric volatility connectedness on forex markets. Using high-frequency, intra-day data of the most actively traded currencies over 2007 -…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-28 Jozef Barunik , Evzen Kocenda , Lukas Vacha

Large entropy fluctuations in a nonequilibrium steady state of classical mechanics were studied in extensive numerical experiments on a simple 2-freedom model with the so-called Gauss time-reversible thermostat. The local fluctuations (on a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Boris Chirikov

The miltifractal properties and scaling behaviour of the exchange rate variations of the Iranian rial against the US dollar from a daily perspective is numerically investigated. For this purpose the multifractal detrended fluctuation…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 P. Norouzzadeh