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We build on a previous statistical model for distributed systems and formulate it in a way that the deterministic and stochastic processes within the system are clearly separable. We show how internal fluctuations can be analysed in a…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-22 Iqbal Adjali , José-Luis Fernández-Villacañas , Michael Gell

A multiplicative stochastic process with the lower bound lognormally distributed is investigated. For the process, the model is constructed, and its distribution function (involving four parameters) and the related statistical properties…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-01-19 Ken Yamamoto , Yoshihiro Yamazaki

We develop a (co)algebraic framework to study a family of process calculi with monadic branching structures and recursion operators. Our framework features a uniform semantics of process terms and a complete axiomatisation of semantic…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Todd Schmid , Wojciech Rozowski , Alexandra Silva , Jurriaan Rot

Order-preserving couplings are elegant tools for obtaining robust estimates of the time-dependent and stationary distributions of Markov processes that are too complex to be analyzed exactly. The starting point of this paper is to study…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-02 Lasse Leskelä

We present a new stochastic framework for studying ship capsize. It is a synthesis of two strands of transition state theory. The first is an extension of deterministic transition state theory to dissipative non-autonomous systems, together…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Manuela L. Bujorianu , Robert S. MacKay , Tobias Grafke , Shibabrat Naik , Evangelos Boulougouris

Stochastic network calculus is a newly developed theory for stochastic service guarantee analysis of computer networks. In the current stochastic network calculus literature, its fundamental models are based on the cumulative amount of…

Performance · Computer Science 2011-12-14 Jing Xie , Yuming Jiang , Min Xie

This paper considers a simulation-based estimator for a general class of Markovian processes and explores some strong consistency properties of the estimator. The estimation problem is defined over a continuum of invariant distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Manuel S. Santos

We develop the foundations of Algebraic Stochastic Calculus, with an aim to replacing what is typically referred to as Stochastic Calculus by a purely categorical version thereof. We first give a sheaf theoretic reinterpretation of…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2014-07-28 Renaud Gauthier

Stochastic Spatio-Temporal processes are prevalent across domains ranging from modeling of plasma to the turbulence in fluids to the wave function of quantum systems. This letter studies a measure-theoretic description of such systems by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-25 George I. Boutselis , Ethan N. Evans , Marcus A. Pereira , Evangelos A. Theodorou

The logarithmic derivative of a point process plays a key role in the general approach, due to the third author, to constructing diffusions preserving a given point process. In this paper we explicitly compute the logarithmic derivative for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Alexander I. Bufetov , Andrey V. Dymov , Hirofumi Osada

A central task in stochastic thermodynamics is the estimation of entropy production for partially accessible Markov networks. We establish an effective transition-based description for such networks with transitions that are not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-20 Benjamin Ertel , Udo Seifert

Random walks are a fundamental model in applied mathematics and are a common example of a Markov chain. The limiting stationary distribution of the Markov chain represents the fraction of the time spent in each state during the stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-01-08 Austin R. Benson , David F. Gleich , Lek-Heng Lim

The Shape Calculus is a bio-inspired calculus for describing 3D shapes moving in a space. A shape forms a 3D process when combined with a behaviour. Behaviours are specified with a timed CCS-like process algebra using a notion of channel…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2010-11-11 Ezio Bartocci , Diletta Romana Cacciagrano , Maria Rita Di Berardini , Emanuela Merelli , Luca Tesei

The paper introduces a general framework for statistical analysis of functional time series from a Bayesian perspective. The proposed approach, based on an extension of the popular dynamic linear model to Banach-space valued observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-02 Giovanni Petris

We establish an abstract, effective, exponential large deviations type estimate for Markov systems satisfying a weaker form of mixing. We employ this result to derive such estimates, as well as a central limit theorem, for the skew product…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-17 Ao Cai , Pedro Duarte , Silvius Klein

We propose a method to sample stationary properties of solutions of stochastic differential equations, which is accurate and efficient if there are rarely visited regions or rare transitions between distinct regions of the state space. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-23 Rüdiger Kürsten , Ulrich Behn

Potential theory is a central tool to understand and analyse Markov processes. In this article, we develop its probabilistic counterpart for branching Markov chains. Specifically, we examine versions of quasi-processes or interlacements…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Steffen Dereich , Martin Maiwald

Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

This paper introduces a mathematical framework of a stochastic process model as a generalization of diffusion stochastic processes to model latent variables in categorical responses given unobserved random effects and maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Mahdi Mollakazemiha

The monitoring and control of any dynamic system depends crucially on the ability to reason about its current status and its future trajectory. In the case of a stochastic system, these tasks typically involve the use of a belief state- a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Xavier Boyen , Daphne Koller