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Related papers: Market panic on different time-scales

200 papers

Many studies assume stock prices follow a random process known as geometric Brownian motion. Although approximately correct, this model fails to explain the frequent occurrence of extreme price movements, such as stock market crashes. Using…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-14 Miguel A. Fuentes , Austin Gerig , Javier Vicente

The crowd panic and its contagion play non-negligible roles at the time of the stock crash, especially for China where inexperienced investors dominate the market. However, existing models rarely consider investors in networking stocks and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-26 Shan Lu , Jichang Zhao , Huiwen Wang , Ruoen Ren

We studied the volatility and cross-sectional return dispersion effect of S&P Health Care Sector under the covid-19 epidemic. We innovatively used the Google index to proxy the impact of the epidemic and modeled the volatility. We also…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-25 Jiawei Du

The measured correlations of financial time series in subsequent epochs change considerably as a function of time. When studying the whole correlation matrices, quasi-stationary patterns, referred to as market states, are seen by applying…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-03 Anton J. Heckens , Sebastian M. Krause , Thomas Guhr

This paper introduces a novel multi-moment connectedness network approach for analyzing the interconnectedness of green financial market. Focusing on the impact of monetary policy shocks, our study reveals that connectedness within the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-23 Tingguo Zheng , Hongyin Zhang , Shiqi Ye

We analyze a fixed panel of S\&P 500 stocks from 1996 to 2026 using complementary static and kinetic Ising models applied to daily binary open-to-close movements. The static pairwise model provides a long-run maximum-entropy summary of…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-26 Sebin Oh , Marta C. Gonzáleza , Ziqi Wang

We present a novel methodology to quantify the "impact" of and "response" to market shocks. We apply shocks to a group of stocks in a part of the market, and we quantify the effects in terms of average losses on another part of the market…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-17 Isobel Seabrook , Fabio Caccioli , Tomaso Aste

The stock market's reaction to the external risk shock is closely related to the cross-shareholding network structure. This paper takes the public information of listed companies in the A-share securities market as the primary sample to…

General Economics · Economics 2022-12-06 Yujue Wang

We study the relation between serial correlation of financial returns and volatility at intraday level for the S&P500 stock index. At daily and weekly level, serial correlation and volatility are known to be negatively correlated (LeBaron…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Simone Bianco , Fulvio Corsi , Roberto Reno'

Starting on February 20, 2020, the global stock markets began to suffer the worst decline since the Great Recession in 2008, and the COVID-19 has been widely blamed on the stock market crashes. In this study, we applied the log-periodic…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-27 Ruiqiang Song , Min Shu , Wei Zhu

Based on the tick-by-tick price changes of the companies from the U.S. and from the German stock markets over the period 1998-99 we reanalyse several characteristics established by the Boston Group for the U.S. market in the period 1994-95,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 S. Drozdz , J. Kwapien , F. Gruemmer , F. Ruf , J. Speth

Since the beginning of the new millennium, stock markets went through every state from long-time troughs, trade suspensions to all-time highs. The literature on asset pricing hence assumes random processes to be underlying the movement of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-26 Tanya Araújo , Maximilian Göbel

Inhomogeneous temporal processes, like those appearing in human communications, neuron spike trains, and seismic signals, consist of high-activity bursty intervals alternating with long low-activity periods. In recent studies such bursty…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-12-01 Márton Karsai , Kimmo Kaski , Albert-László Barabási , János Kertész

The connectivity of stock markets reflects the information efficiency of capital markets and contributes to interior risk contagion and spillover effects. We compare Shanghai Stock Exchange A-shares (SSE A-shares) during tranquil periods,…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-29 Muzi Chen , Nan Li , Lifen Zheng , Difang Huang , Boyao Wu

The observation of power laws in the time to extrema of volatility, volume and intertrade times, from milliseconds to years, are shown to result straightforwardly from the selection of biased statistical subsets of realizations in otherwise…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-03 Vladimir Filimonov , Didier Sornette

The day-to day fluctuations of Dow Jones Index exhibit fractal fluctuations, namely, a zigzag pattern of successive increases followed by decreases on all space-time scales. Self-similar fractal fluctuations are generic to dynamical systems…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. M. Selvam

The analysis of observed conditional distributions of both lagged and simultaneous intraday price increments of a basket of stocks reveals phenomena of dependence - induced volatility smile and kurtosis reduction. A model based on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Andrei Leonidov , Vladimir Trainin , Alexander Zaitsev

The aim of this article is to briefly review and make new studies of correlations and co-movements of stocks, so as to understand the "seasonalities" and market evolution. Using the intraday data of the CAC40, we begin by reasserting the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Gayatri Tilak , Tamas Szell , Remy Chicheportiche , Anirban Chakraborti

We study the dynamic evolution of cross-correlations in the Chinese stock market mainly based on the random matrix theory (RMT). The correlation matrices constructed from the return series of 367 A-share stocks traded on the Shanghai Stock…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-08 Fei Ren , Wei-Xing Zhou

We propose a stochastic process for stock movements that, with just one source of Brownian noise, has an instantaneous volatility that rises from a type of statistical feedback across many time scales. This results in a stationary…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Lisa Borland