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Related papers: Market panic on different time-scales

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We identify a robust structural signature of stock markets during exogenous shock events by analyzing collective return dynamics across G5 countries. Using Random Matrix Theory, we introduce the complexity gap, defined as the difference…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Kundan Mukhia , Imran Ansari , Md. Nurujjaman

The waiting time needed for a stock market index to undergo a given percentage change in its value is found to have an up-down asymmetry, which, surprisingly, is not observed for the individual stocks composing that index. To explain this,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Raul Donangelo , Mogens H. Jensen , Ingve Simonsen , Kim Sneppen

Modelling accurately financial price variations is an essential step underlying portfolio allocation optimization, derivative pricing and hedging, fund management and trading. The observed complex price fluctuations guide and constraint our…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 A. Arneodo , J. -F. Muzy , D. Sornette

The drift burst hypothesis postulates the existence of short-lived locally explosive trends in the price paths of financial assets. The recent U.S. equity and treasury flash crashes can be viewed as two high-profile manifestations of such…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-16 Kim Christensen , Roel C. A. Oomen , Roberto Renò

In this study we examine the evolution of price, volume, and the bid-ask spread after extreme 15 minute intraday price changes on the NYSE and the NASDAQ. We find that due to strong behavioral trading there is an overreaction. Furthermore…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 A. G. Zawadowski , J. Kertesz , G. Andor

As described in this paper, we study market-wide price co-movements around crashes by analyzing a dataset of high-frequency stock returns of the constituent issues of Nikkei 225 Index listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange for the three years…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-11 Jun-ichi Maskawa , Joshin Murai , Koji Kuroda

We study the statistical properties of volatility---a measure of how much the market is likely to fluctuate. We estimate the volatility by the local average of the absolute price changes. We analyze (a) the S&P 500 stock index for the…

We investigate the dynamics of correlations present between pairs of industry indices of US stocks traded in US markets by studying correlation based networks and spectral properties of the correlation matrix. The study is performed by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-16 Giuseppe Buccheri , Stefano Marmi , Rosario N. Mantegna

This study analyses the duration dependence of events that trigger volatility persistence in stock markets. Such events, in our context, are monthly spells of contiguous price decline or negative returns for the S&P500 stock market index…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-04 Rui Menezes , Sonia Bentes

We analyze the memory in volatility by studying volatility return intervals, defined as the time between two consecutive fluctuations larger than a given threshold, in time periods following stock market crashes. Such an aftercrash period…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Philipp Weber , Fengzhong Wang , Irena Vodenska-Chitkushev , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

Investigations of inverse statistics (a concept borrowed from turbulence) in stock markets, exemplified with filtered Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and NASDAQ, have uncovered a novel stylized fact that the distribution of exit time…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Wei-Xing Zhou , Wei-Kang Yuan

Evidence is offered for log-periodic (in time) fluctuations in the S&P 500 stock index during the three years prior to the October 27, 1997 "correction". These fluctuations were expected on the basis of a discretely scale invariant rupture…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 James A. Feigenbaum , Peter G. O. Freund

Observations indicate that the distributions of stock returns in financial markets usually do not conform to normal distributions, but rather exhibit characteristics of high peaks, fat tails and biases. In this work, we assume that the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-06 Bo Li

Stock price change in financial market occurs through transactions in analogy with diffusion in stochastic physical systems. The analysis of price changes in real markets shows that long-range correlations of price fluctuations largely…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 V. Gontis

The concepts of scale invariance, self-similarity and scaling have been fruitfully applied to the study of price fluctuations in financial markets. After a brief review of the properties of stable Levy distributions and their applications…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Rama Cont , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

It is commonly believed that the correlations between stock returns increase in high volatility periods. We investigate how much of these correlations can be explained within a simple non-Gaussian one-factor description with time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Pierre Cizeau , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Realized moments of higher order computed from intraday returns are introduced in recent years. The literature indicates that realized skewness is an important factor in explaining future asset returns. However, the literature mainly…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-28 Keren Shen , Jianfeng Yao , Wai Keung Li

We investigate the recently introduced variety of a set of stock returns traded in a financial market. This investigation is done by considering daily and intraday time horizons in a 15-day time period centered at the August 31st, 1998…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Fabrizio Lillo , Giovanni Bonanno , Rosario N. Mantegna

We analyse all Mini Flash Crashes (or Flash Equity Failures) in the US equity markets in the four most volatile months during 2006-2011. In contrast to previous studies, we find that Mini Flash Crashes are the result of regulation framework…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-29 Anton Golub , John Keane , Ser-Huang Poon

Traded corporations are required by law to have a majority of outside directors on their board. This requirement allows the existence of directors who sit on the board of two or more corporations at the same time, generating what is…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-27 Serguei Saavedra , Luis J. Gilarranz , Rudolf P. Rohr , Michael Schnabel , Brian Uzzi , Jordi Bascompte