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We introduce a criterion, resilience, which allows properties of a dataset (such as its mean or best low rank approximation) to be robustly computed, even in the presence of a large fraction of arbitrary additional data. Resilience is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Jacob Steinhardt , Moses Charikar , Gregory Valiant

We give a finite-sample analysis of predictive inference procedures after model selection in regression with random design. The analysis is focused on a statistically challenging scenario where the number of potentially important…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Hannes Leeb

The need to condition distributional properties such as expectation, variance, and entropy arises in algorithmic fairness, model simplification, robustness and many other areas. At face value however, distributional properties are not…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Zenna Tavares , Xin Zhang , Edgar Minaysan , Javier Burroni , Rajesh Ranganath , Armando Solar Lezama

We consider upper exponential bounds for the probability of the event that an absolute deviation of sample mean from mathematical expectation p is bigger comparing with some ordered level epsilon. These bounds include 2 coefficients {alpha,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-13 Vladimir Nikulin

We discuss in detail the asymptotic distribution of sample expectiles. First, we show uniform consistency under the assumption of a finite mean. In case of a finite second moment, we show that for expectiles other then the mean, only the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Hajo Holzmann , Bernhard Klar

Regression models for supervised learning problems with a continuous target are commonly understood as models for the conditional mean of the target given predictors. This notion is simple and therefore appealing for interpretation and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-09 Torsten Hothorn , Achim Zeileis

In this paper, we study the quasi-stationary behavior of the one-dimensional diffusion process with a regular or exit boundary at 0 and an entrance boundary at $\infty$. By using the Doob's $h$-transform, we show that the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Guoman He , Hanjun Zhang

In this paper, we propose a regression model where the response variable is beta prime distributed using a new parameterization of this distribution that is indexed by mean and precision parameters. The proposed regression model is useful…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-23 Marcelo Bourguignon , Manoel Santos-Neto , Mário de Castro

The paper proposes a specification test based on two estimates of distribution function. One is the traditional kernel distribution function estimate and the other is a newly proposed convolution-type distribution function estimate.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-03 Kun Ho Kim , Jiwoong Kim

We study identifiability of the parameters in autoregressions defined on a network. Most identification conditions that are available for these models either rely on the network being observed repeatedly, are only sufficient, or require…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-06 Federico Martellosio

It is well known that reinforcement learning can be cast as inference in an appropriate probabilistic model. However, this commonly involves introducing a distribution over agent trajectories with probabilities proportional to exponentiated…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-10-07 David Tolpin , Tomer Dobkin

It will be recalled that the classical bivariate normal distributions have normal marginals and normal conditionals. It is natural to ask whether a similar phenomenon can be encountered involving Poisson marginals and conditionals.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-04 Barry C. Arnold , B. G. Manjunath

Expectile regression is a useful tool for exploring the relation between the response and the explanatory variables beyond the conditional mean. This article develops a continuous threshold expectile regression for modeling data in which…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-09 Feipeng Zhang , Qunhua Li

We give a new proof of the "transfer theorem" underlying adaptive data analysis: that any mechanism for answering adaptively chosen statistical queries that is differentially private and sample-accurate is also accurate out-of-sample. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Christopher Jung , Katrina Ligett , Seth Neel , Aaron Roth , Saeed Sharifi-Malvajerdi , Moshe Shenfeld

When data contains measurement errors, it is necessary to make assumptions relating the observed, erroneous data to the unobserved true phenomena of interest. These assumptions should be justifiable on substantive grounds, but are often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-24 Noam Finkelstein , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria , Ilya Shpitser

Distribution regression seeks to estimate the conditional distribution of a multivariate response given a continuous covariate. This approach offers a more complete characterization of dependence than traditional regression methods.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

The spread of infectious disease in a human community or the proliferation of fake news on social media can be modeled as a randomly growing tree-shaped graph. The history of the random growth process is often unobserved but contains…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Harry Crane , Min Xu

We study linear regressions in a context where the outcome of interest and some of the covariates are observed in two different datasets that cannot be matched. Traditional approaches obtain point identification by relying, often…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-18 Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Christophe Gaillac , Arnaud Maurel

Considered a pair of random lifetimes whose dependence is described by a Time Transformed Exponential model, we provide analytical expressions for the distribution of their sum. These expressions are obtained by using a representation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Jorge Navarro , Franco Pellerey , Julio Mulero

A residual-based empirical distribution function is proposed to estimate the distribution function of the errors of a heteroskedastic nonparametric regression with responses missing at random based on completely observed data, and this…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-28 Justin Chown