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We characterize the identified sets of a wide range of stochastic choice models, including random utility, various models of boundedly-rational behavior, and dynamic discrete choice. In each of these settings, we show two distributions over…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-24 Peter Caradonna , Christopher Turansick

For a regression problem with a binary label response, we examine the problem of constructing confidence intervals for the label probability conditional on the features. In a setting where we do not have any information about the underlying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-09 Rina Foygel Barber

Typical causal effects are defined based on the marginal distribution of potential outcomes. However, many real-world applications require causal estimands involving the joint distribution of potential outcomes to enable more nuanced…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Peng Wu , Xiaojie Mao

I study partial identification of distributional parameters in triangular systems. This model consists of a nonparametric outcome equation and a selection equation. This allows for general unobserved heterogeneity and selection on…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-11 Ju Hyun Kim

We investigate conditions in order to decide whether a given sequence of real numbers represents expected record values arising from an independent, identically distributed, sequence of random variables. The main result provides a necessary…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Nickos Papadatos

We give an improved estimate for the regularity of the conditional distribution of the empiric mean of a finite sample of IID random variables, conditional on the sample "fluctuations", extending the well-known property of Gaussian IID…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-04-27 Victor Chulaevsky

The exponential upper bounds for the convergence rate of the distribution of restorable element with partially energized standby redundancy are founded, in the case when all working and repair times are bounded by exponential random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-30 Galina Zverkina

In this article, the exponentiated discrete Lindley distribution is presented and studied. Some important distributional properties are discussed. Using the maximum likelihood method, estimation of the model parameters is investigated.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-27 M. El-Morshedy , M. S. Eliwa , H. Nagy

The distributed hypothesis testing problem with full side-information is studied. The trade-off (reliability function) between the two types of error exponents under limited rate is studied in the following way. First, the problem is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-04-24 Nir Weinberger , Yuval Kochman

The bivariate distribution with exponential conditionals (BEC) is introduced by Arnold and Strauss [Bivariate distributions with exponential conditionals, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 83 (1988) 522--527]. This work presents a simple and fast…

Computation · Statistics 2009-09-24 Yaming Yu

Equilibrium statistical physics is considered from the point of view of statistical estimation theory. This involves the notions of statistical model, of estimators, and of exponential family. A useful property of the latter is the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Jan Naudts

The single-index model is a statistical model for intrinsic regression where responses are assumed to depend on a single yet unknown linear combination of the predictors, allowing to express the regression function as $ \mathbb{E} [ Y | X ]…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-30 Alessandro Lanteri , Mauro Maggioni , Stefano Vigogna

Exponential distribution is ubiquitous in the framework of multi-agent systems. An alternative approach with an economic motivation to derive the exponential distribution in the framework of iterations in the space of distributions is…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-15 Ricardo Lopez-Ruiz

We study distribution testing in the standard access model and the conditional access model when the memory available to the testing algorithm is bounded. In both scenarios, the samples appear in an online fashion and the goal is to test…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Sampriti Roy , Yadu Vasudev

A general information transmission model, under independent and identically distributed Gaussian codebook and nearest neighbor decoding rule with processed channel output, is investigated using the performance metric of generalized mutual…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-08-23 Wenyi Zhang , Yizhu Wang , Cong Shen , Ning Liang

Parameters of sub-populations can be more relevant than super-population ones. For example, a healthcare provider may be interested in the effect of a treatment plan for a specific subset of their patients; policymakers may be concerned…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Ying Jin , Dominik Rothenhäusler

Motivated by real-world machine learning applications, we consider a statistical classification task in a sequential setting where test samples arrive sequentially. In addition, the generating distributions are unknown and only a set of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-11 Mahdi Haghifam , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Ashish Khisti

Inequality in human success may emerge through endogenous success-breeds-success dynamics but may also originate in pre-existing differences in talent. It is widely recognized that the skew in static frequency distributions of success…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-06 Alexandros Gelastopoulos , Lucas Sage , Arnout van de Rijt

In this paper, we consider a property of univariate Gaussian distributions namely conditional expectation shift (or centroid shift). Specifically, we compare two Gaussian distributions in which they differ only in their means. Equivalently,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Kananart Kuwaranancharoen

Conformal predictive systems are sets of predictive distributions with theoretical out-of-sample calibration guarantees. The calibration guarantees are typically that the set of predictions contains a forecast distribution whose prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-03 Sam Allen , Enrico Pescara , Johanna Ziegel
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