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We present a robust method which translates information on the speed of coming down from infinity of a genealogical tree into sampling formulae for the underlying population. We apply these results to population dynamics where the genealogy…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-01 Julien Berestycki , Nathanael Berestycki , Vlada Limic

Data assimilation combines information from models, measurements, and priors to estimate the state of a dynamical system such as the atmosphere. The Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a family of ensemble-based data assimilation approaches…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-12-09 Ahmed Attia , Adrian Sandu

Understanding the interplay between recombination and resampling is a significant challenge in mathematical population genetics and of great practical relevance. Asymptotic results about the distribution of samples when recombination is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-13 Frederic Alberti

In this paper, a class of resampling techniques for finite populations under complex sampling design is introduced. The basic idea on which it rests is a two-step procedure consisting in : (i) constructing a pseudo-population on the basis…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-21 Pier Luigi Conti , Daniela Marella , Fulvia Mecatti , Federico Andreis

We provide asymptotic expansions for the Stirling numbers of the first kind and, more generally, the Ewens (or Karamata-Stirling) distribution. Based on these expansions, we obtain some new results on the asymptotic properties of the mode…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-19 Zakhar Kabluchko , Alexander Marynych , Henning Sulzbach

We study the limiting behavior of smooth linear statistics of the spectrum of random permutation matrices in the mesoscopic regime, when the permutation follows one of the Ewens measures on the symmetric group. If we apply a smooth enough…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Valentin Bahier , Joseph Najnudel

Coalescent theory combined with statistical modeling allows us to estimate effective population size fluctuations from molecular sequences of individuals sampled from a population of interest. When sequences are sampled serially through…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-02 Michael D. Karcher , Marc A. Suchard , Gytis Dudas , Vladimir N. Minin

Learning of continuous exponential family distributions with unbounded support remains an important area of research for both theory and applications in high-dimensional statistics. In recent years, score matching has become a widely used…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Devin Smedira , Abhijith Jayakumar , Sidhant Misra , Marc Vuffray , Andrey Y. Lokhov

We consider the classical problem of learning, with arbitrary accuracy, the natural parameters of a $k$-parameter truncated \textit{minimal} exponential family from i.i.d. samples in a computationally and statistically efficient manner. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Abhin Shah , Devavrat Shah , Gregory W. Wornell

This article considers a model of genealogy corresponding to a regular exchangeable coalescent (also known as Xi-coalescent) started from a large finite configuration, and undergoing neutral mutations. Asymptotic expressions for the number…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-04 Vlada Limic

In the first part of the paper, we study the inversion statistic of random permutations under the family $(\mathbb{P}_\theta^{(n)})_{\theta \ge 0}$ of Ewens sampling distributions on $S_n$. We obtain a rather simple exact formula for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Ross G. Pinsky , Dominic T. Schickentanz

For a genetic locus carrying a strongly beneficial allele which has just fixed in a large population, we study the ancestry at a linked neutral locus. During this ``selective sweep'' the linkage between the two loci is broken up by…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alison Etheridge , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Anton Wakolbinger

The general relationship between an arbitrary frequency distribution and the expectation value of the frequency distributions of its samples is discussed. A wide set of measurable quantities ("invariant moments") whose expectation value…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-15 Paolo Rossi

The paper presents a novel asymptotic distribution for a mle when the log--likelihood is strictly concave in the parameter for all data points; for example, the exponential family. The new asymptotic distribution can be seen as a refinement…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-15 Stephen G Walker

Molecular simulations are playing an ever increasing role, finding applications in fields as varied as physics, chemistry, biology and material science. However, many phenomena of interest take place on time scales that are out of reach of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-10-07 Michele Invernizzi

The paper studies the problem of distributed parameter estimation in multi-agent networks with exponential family observation statistics. A certainty-equivalence type distributed estimator of the consensus + innovations form is proposed in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Soummya Kar , Jose Moura

The main aim of this article is to characterize and investigate the three parameter exponentiated exponential Poisson probability distribution ${\rm EEP}(\alpha, \beta, \lambda)$ by giving explicit closed form expressions for its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Tibor K Pogány

We consider the question of learning the natural parameters of a $k$ parameter minimal exponential family from i.i.d. samples in a computationally and statistically efficient manner. We focus on the setting where the support as well as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Abhin Shah , Devavrat Shah , Gregory W. Wornell

We prove concentration inequalities of the form $P(Y \ge t) \le \exp(-B(t))$ for a random variable $Y$ with mean zero and variance $\sigma^2$ using a coupling technique from Stein's method that is so-called approximate zero bias couplings.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-24 Nathakhun Wiroonsri

This study introduces the Exponentiated-Exponential-Pareto-Half Normal Mixture Distribution (EEPHND), a novel hybrid model developed to overcome the limitations of classical distributions in modeling complex real-world data. By compounding…