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Related papers: On detecting the dependence of time series

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Assessing the predictive power of both data and models holds paramount significance in time-series machine learning applications. Yet, preparing time series data accurately and employing an appropriate measure for predictive power seems to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-22 Martin Winistörfer , Ivan Zhdankin

This paper introduces a novel methodology that utilizes latency to unveil time-series dependence patterns. A customized statistical test detects memory dependence in event sequences by analyzing their inter-event time distributions.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-22 Fabio Vanni , David Lambert

Frequently econometricians are interested in verifying a relationship between two or more time series. Such analysis is typically carried out by causality and/or independence tests which have been well studied when the data is univariate or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Lajos Horvath , Greg Rice

Functional data often arise from measurements on fine time grids and are obtained by separating an almost continuous time record into natural consecutive intervals, for example, days. The functions thus obtained form a functional time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Siegfried Hörmann , Piotr Kokoszka

Study of time series data often involves measuring the strength of temporal dependence, on which statistical properties like consistency and central limit theorem are built. Historically, various dependence measures have been proposed. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Fang Han , Weibiao Wu

The detection of serial dependence in binary or binomial valued time series is difficult using standard time series methods, particularly when there are regression effects to be modelled. In this paper we derive score-type tests for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-06 W. T. M. Dunsmuir , J. Y. He

Statistical differentiability of the measure along the reconstructed trajectory is a good candidate to quantify determinism in time series. The procedure is based upon a formula that explicitly shows the sensitivity of the measure to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Guillermo J. Ortega , Enrique Louis

The continuous advances in data collection and storage techniques allow us to observe and record real-life processes in great detail. Examples include financial transaction data, fMRI images, satellite photos, earths pollution distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-26 Łukasz Kidziński

Two numerical methods are proposed for detection of coupling between multiple time series generated by deterministic nonlinear systems. The first detects interdependence or the existence of coupling between time series. The second…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-07 Timothy Sauer , George Sugihara

An important problem in time series analysis is the discrimination between non-stationarity and longrange dependence. Most of the literature considers the problem of testing specific parametric hypotheses of non-stationarity (such as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-19 Philip Preuß , Kemal Sen , Holger Dette

Binomial time series in which the logit of the probability of success is modelled as a linear function of observed regressors and a stationary latent Gaussian process are considered. Score tests are developed to first test for the existence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-06 W. T. M. Dunsmuir , J. Y. He

Quantifying relationships between components of a complex system is critical to understanding the rich network of interactions that characterize the behavior of the system. Traditional methods for detecting pairwise dependence of time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-04-10 Aria Nguyen , Oscar McMullin , Joseph T. Lizier , Ben D. Fulcher

Measuring the statistical dependence between observed signals is a primary tool for scientific discovery. However, biological systems often exhibit complex non-linear interactions that currently cannot be captured without a priori knowledge…

We introduce a statistical method to detect nonlinearity and nonstationarity in time series, that works even for short sequences and in presence of noise. The method has a discrimination power similar to that of the most advanced estimators…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-11-16 M. De Domenico , V. Latora

Identifying patterns of relations among the units of a complex system from measurements of their activities in time is a fundamental problem with many practical applications. Here, we introduce a method that detects dependencies of any…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-09 Andrea Civilini , Fabrizio de Vico Fallani , Vito Latora

High dimensional time series datasets are becoming increasingly common in various fields such as economics, finance, meteorology, and neuroscience. Given this ubiquity of time series data, it is surprising that very few works on variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-17 Kashif Yousuf , Yang Feng

We develop a testing procedure for distinguishing between a long-range dependent time series and a weakly dependent time series with change-points in the mean. In the simplest case, under the null hypothesis the time series is weakly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 István Berkes , Lajos Horváth , Piotr Kokoszka , Qi-Man Shao

An approach is presented for making predictions about functional time series. The method is applied to data coming from periodically correlated processes and electricity demand, obtaining accurate point forecasts and narrow prediction bands…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-29 Antonio Elías , Raúl Jiménez

The time series theory is set in this work under the domain of general elliptically contoured distributions. The advent of a time series approach that is in accordance with the expected reality of dependence between errors, transfers the…

Heuristic-based methods are among the most popular methods in the process discovery area. This category of methods is composed of two main steps: 1) discovering a dependency graph 2) determining the split/join patterns of the dependency…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Maryam Tavakoli-Zaniani , Mohammad Reza Gholamian , S. Alireza Hashemi Golpayegani
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