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Related papers: On detecting the dependence of time series

200 papers

Empirical detection of long range dependence (LRD) of a time series often consists of deciding whether an estimate of the memory parameter $d$ corresponds to LRD. Surprisingly, the literature offers numerous spectral domain estimators for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-27 Marco Oesting , Albert Rapp , Evgeny Spodarev

Discovering causal relationships in complex multivariate time series is a fundamental scientific challenge. Traditional methods often falter, either by relying on restrictive linear assumptions or on conditional independence tests that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Gian Marco Paldino , Gianluca Bontempi

We propose an extension to time series with several simultaneously measured variables of the nonlinearity test, which combines the redundancy -- linear redundancy approach with the surrogate data technique. For several variables various…

comp-gas · Physics 2009-10-28 Milan Paluš

Detecting dependence between two random variables is a fundamental problem. Although the Pearson correlation is effective for capturing linear dependency, it can be entirely powerless for detecting nonlinear and/or heteroscedastic patterns.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-21 Xufei Wang , Bo Jiang , Jun S. Liu

This paper develops a model-free sequential test for conditional independence. The proposed test allows researchers to analyze an incoming i.i.d. data stream with any arbitrary dependency structure, and safely conclude whether a feature is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-21 Shalev Shaer , Gal Maman , Yaniv Romano

The anomaly detection problem for univariate or multivariate time series is a critical question in many practical applications as industrial processes control, biological measures, engine monitoring, supervision of all kinds of behavior. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Marie Cottrell , Cynthia Faure , Jérôme Lacaille , Madalina Olteanu

Multivariate time-series forecasting holds immense value across diverse applications, requiring methods to effectively capture complex temporal and inter-variable dynamics. A key challenge lies in uncovering the intrinsic patterns that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Liang Yu , Lai Tu , Xiang Bai

Suppose that we observe a short time series where each time-t-specific data-structure consists of many slightly dependent data indexed by a and that we want to estimate a feature of the law of the experiment that depends neither on t nor on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-29 Geoffrey Ecoto , Aurélien Bibaut , Antoine Chambaz

In many application domains, time series are monitored to detect extreme events like technical faults, natural disasters, or disease outbreaks. Unfortunately, it is often non-trivial to select both a time series that is informative about…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-01 Erik Scharwächter , Emmanuel Müller

We introduce a novel ensemble approach for feature selection based on hierarchical stacking for non-stationarity and/or a limited number of samples with a large number of features. Our approach exploits the co-dependency between features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Aysin Tumay , Mustafa E. Aydin , Ali T. Koc , Suleyman S. Kozat

A class of tests for change-point detection designed to be particularly sensitive to changes in the cross-sectional rank correlation of multivariate time series is proposed. The derived procedures are based on several multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-27 Ivan Kojadinovic , Jean-François Quessy , Tom Rohmer

Time series anomaly detection is an important process for system monitoring and model switching, among other applications in cyber-physical systems. In this document, we present a fast subspace method for time series anomaly detection, with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-23 Fredy Vides , Esteban Segura , Carlos Vargas-Agüero

This article studies the financial time series data processing for machine learning. It introduces the most frequent scaling methods, then compares the resulting stationarity and preservation of useful information for trend forecasting. It…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Fabrice Daniel

Penalized likelihood models are widely used to simultaneously select variables and estimate model parameters. However, the existence of weak signals can lead to inaccurate variable selection, biased parameter estimation, and invalid…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-13 Yuexia Zhang , Peibei Shi , Zhongyi Zhu , Linbo Wang , Annie Qu

To assess whether a given time series can be modeled by a stochastic process possessing long range correlation one usually applies one of two types of analysis methods: the spectral method and the random walk analysis. The first objective…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Govindan Rangarajan , Mingzhou Ding

We propose a method for testing whether hierarchically ordered groups of potentially correlated variables are significant for explaining a response in a high-dimensional linear model. In presence of highly correlated variables, as is very…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-04 Jacopo Mandozzi , Peter Bühlmann

We develop a new statistical procedure to test whether the dependence structure is identical between two groups. Rather than relying on a single index such as Pearson's correlation coefficient or Kendall's Tau, we consider the entire…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-11-07 Juwon Seo

In this paper, we present a novel approach for local exceptionality detection on time series data. This method provides the ability to discover interpretable patterns in the data, which can be used to understand and predict the progression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-27 Dan Hudson , Travis J. Wiltshire , Martin Atzmueller

This paper derives practical algorithms, based on Bayesian inference methods, for several data analysis problems common in time series analysis of astronomical and other data. One problem is the determination of the lag between two time…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Jeffrey D. Scargle

A time-domain test for the assumption of second order stationarity of a functional time series is proposed. The test is based on combining individual cumulative sum tests which are designed to be sensitive to changes in the mean, variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Axel Bücher , Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs
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