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Related papers: Latent diffusion models for survival analysis

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We consider continuous-time diffusion models driven by fractional Brownian motion. Observations are assumed to possess a non-trivial likelihood given the latent path. Due to the non-Markovianity and high-dimensionality of the latent paths,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-25 Alexandros Beskos , Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers based on discretizations of (overdamped) Langevin dynamics are commonly used in the Bayesian inference and computational statistical physics literature to estimate high-dimensional integrals. One can…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Tony Lelièvre , Régis Santet , Gabriel Stoltz

The advantages of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) are exploited to develop parameter estimation and model selection methods for GARCH (Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) style models. It provides an alternative method…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-06 Dan Li , Adam Clements , Christopher Drovandi

Cure models in survival analysis deal with populations in which a part of the individuals cannot experience the event of interest. Mixture cure models consider the target population as a mixture of susceptible and non-susceptible…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-26 Elena Lázaro , Carmen Armero , Virgilio Gómez-Rubio

Understanding degradation is crucial for ensuring the longevity and performance of materials, systems, and organisms. To illustrate the similarities across applications, this article provides a review of data-based method in materials…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-24 Anna Jarosz-Kozyro , Jerzy Baranowski

Bayesian nonparametric marginal methods are very popular since they lead to fairly easy implementation due to the formal marginalization of the infinite-dimensional parameter of the model. However, the straightforwardness of these methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-04 Julyan Arbel , Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti

In Bayesian accelerated life testing, the most used tool for model comparison is the deviance information criterion. An alternative and more formal approach is to use Bayes factors to compare models. However, Bayesian accelerated life…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Neill Smit , Lizanne Raubenheimer

We study sequential Bayesian inference in stochastic kinetic models with latent factors. Assuming continuous observation of all the reactions, our focus is on joint inference of the unknown reaction rates and the dynamic latent states,…

Computation · Statistics 2014-09-10 Junjing Lin , Michael Ludkovski

In the study of life tables the random variable of interest is usually assumed discrete since mortality rates are studied for integer ages. In dynamic life tables a time domain is included to account for the evolution effect of the hazard…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-21 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

In this paper we present a Bayesian competing risk proportional hazards model to describe mortgage defaults and prepayments. We develop Bayesian inference for the model using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Implementation of the model is…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-26 Arnab Bhattacharya , Simon P. Wilson , Refik Soyer

Increasingly complex applications involve large datasets in combination with non-linear and high dimensional mathematical models. In this context, statistical inference is a challenging issue that calls for pragmatic approaches that take…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-31 Andreas Raue , Clemens Kreutz , Fabian Joachim Theis , Jens Timmer

This paper focuses on modelling surrender time for policyholders in the context of life insurance. In this setup, a large lapse rate at the first months of a contract is often observed, with a decrease in this rate after some months. The…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-18 Viviana G. R. Lobo , Thais C. O. Fonseca , Mariane B. Alves

Joint modeling of longitudinal and survival data has become increasingly important in medical research, particularly for understanding disease progression in chronic conditions where both repeated biomarker measurements and time-to-event…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Nithisha Suryadevara , Vivek Reddy Srigiri

We develop Bayesian models for density regression with emphasis on discrete outcomes. The problem of density regression is approached by considering methods for multivariate density estimation of mixed scale variables, and obtaining…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-14 Georgios Papageorgiou

There is wide interest in studying how the distribution of a continuous response changes with a predictor. We are motivated by environmental applications in which the predictor is the dose of an exposure and the response is a health…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-10 Antonio Canale , Daniele Durante , David Dunson

Survival analysis is a challenging variation of regression modeling because of the presence of censoring, where the outcome measurement is only partially known, due to, for example, loss to follow up. Such problems come up frequently in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Chirag Nagpal , Steve Yadlowsky , Negar Rostamzadeh , Katherine Heller

In this article, we present a Bayesian hierarchical model for predicting a latent health state from longitudinal clinical measurements. Model development is motivated by the need to integrate multiple sources of data to improve clinical…

Bayesian sociality models provide a scalable and flexible alternative for network analysis, capturing degree heterogeneity through actor-specific parameters while mitigating the identifiability challenges of latent space models. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Juan Sosa , Carlo Martínez

We develop the first exact Bayesian methodology for the problem of inference in discretely observed regime switching diffusions. Switching diffusion models extend ordinary diffusions by allowing for jumps in instantaneous drift and…

In this study, we consider sequences drawn from time-homogeneous Markov chains and introduce a novel approach for estimating first hitting-time distributions to specified terminal states. Our method- ology is based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Mikael Escobar-Bach , Alexandre Popier , Malo Sahin