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Single-cell lineage tracking strategies enabled by recent experimental technologies have produced significant insights into cell fate decisions, but lack the quantitative framework necessary for rigorous statistical analysis of mechanistic…

Modeling the dynamics of probability distributions from time-dependent data samples is a fundamental problem in many fields, including digital health. The goal is to analyze how the distribution of a biomarker, such as glucose, changes over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-18 Antonio Álvarez-López , Marcos Matabuena

In this paper, we develop approximate dynamic programming methods for stochastic systems modeled as Markov Decision Processes, given both soft performance criteria and hard constraints in a class of probabilistic temporal logic called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-08 Lening Li , Jie Fu

We suggest a mechanism based on spike time dependent plasticity (STDP) of synapses to store, retrieve and predict temporal sequences. The mechanism is demonstrated in a model system of simplified integrate-and-fire type neurons densely…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-07 Thomas Nowotny , Misha I. Rabinovich , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

Continuous time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) describe structured stochastic processes with finitely many states that evolve over continuous time. A CTBN is a directed (possibly cyclic) dependency graph over a set of variables, each of which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Uri Nodelman , Daphne Koller , Christian R. Shelton

Neural Networks and Decision Trees: two popular techniques for supervised learning that are seemingly disconnected in their formulation and optimization method, have recently been combined in a single construct. The connection pivots on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Giuseppe Nuti , Lluís Antoni Jiménez Rugama , Kaspar Thommen

We consider a neural network with adapting synapses whose dynamics can be analitically computed. The model is made of $N$ neurons and each of them is connected to $K$ input neurons chosen at random in the network. The synapses are…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-30 G. Lattanzi , G. Nardulli , G. Pasquariello , S. Stramaglia

The problem of model selection in the context of a system of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) has not been touched upon in the literature. Indeed, properties of Bayes factors have not been studied even in single SDE based model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Stochasticity and limited precision of synaptic weights in neural network models are key aspects of both biological and hardware modeling of learning processes. Here we show that a neural network model with stochastic binary weights…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2018-07-04 Carlo Baldassi , Federica Gerace , Hilbert J. Kappen , Carlo Lucibello , Luca Saglietti , Enzo Tartaglione , Riccardo Zecchina

When neural circuits learn to perform a task, it is often the case that there are many sets of synaptic connections that are consistent with the task. However, only a small number of possible solutions are robust to noise in the input and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-31 Ran Rubin , Haim Sompolinsky

Forecasting complex time series is an important yet challenging problem that involves various industrial applications. Recently, masked time-series modeling has been proposed to effectively model temporal dependencies for forecasting by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Hyunwoo Seo , Chiehyeon Lim

We study averaging for Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) and Poisson equations. We succeed in obtaining a uniform in time (UiT) averaging result, with a rate, for fully coupled SDE models with super-linearly growing coefficients.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Dan Crisan , Paul Dobson , Ben Goddard , Michela Ottobre , Iain Souttar

Earlier we proposed the stochastic point process model, which reproduces a variety of self-affine time series exhibiting power spectral density S(f) scaling as power of the frequency f and derived a stochastic differential equation with the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are a ubiquitous modeling framework that finds applications in physics, biology, engineering, social science, and finance. Due to the availability of large-scale data sets, there is growing interest…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-04 Ziheng Guo , James Greene , Ming Zhong

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, a type of recurrent neural network with a more complex computational unit, have been successfully applied to a variety of sequence modeling tasks. In this paper we develop Tree Long Short-Term Memory…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-04-05 Xingxing Zhang , Liang Lu , Mirella Lapata

In this paper, we study policy evaluation in continuous-time reinforcement learning (RL), where the state follows an unknown stochastic differential equation (SDE), but only discrete-time data are available. We first highlight that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-23 Yuhua Zhu

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

Traffic forecasting in cellular networks is a challenging spatiotemporal prediction problem due to strong temporal dependencies, spatial heterogeneity across cells, and the need for scalability to large network deployments. Traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Zineddine Bettouche , Khalid Ali , Andreas Fischer , Andreas Kassler

In this correspondence information theoretical tools are used to investigate the statistical properties of modeled cochlear nucleus globular bushy cell spike trains. The firing patterns are obtained from a simulation software that generates…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-25 Andrea Grigorescu , Marek Rudnicki , Michael Isik , Werner Hemmert , Stefano Rini

We study restricted computation models related to the Tree Evaluation Problem}. The TEP was introduced in earlier work as a simple candidate for the (*very*) long term goal of separating L and LogDCFL. The input to the problem is a rooted,…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2010-02-26 Dustin Wehr
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