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We introduce a scalable approach to Gaussian process inference that combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a non-conjugate GP method for multivariate data that scales linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Oliver Hamelijnck , William J. Wilkinson , Niki A. Loppi , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

We study the a.s. sample path regularity of Gaussian processes. To this end we relate the path regularity directly to the theory of small deviations. In particular, we show that if the process is $n$-times differentiable then the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-21 Frank Aurzada

Large deviation functions contain information on the stability and response of systems driven into nonequilibrium steady states, and in such a way are similar to free energies for systems at equilibrium. As with equilibrium free energies,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-04-25 Ushnish Ray , Garnet Kin-Lic Chan , David T. Limmer

We study the empirical process indexed by F^2=\{f^2 : f \in F\}, where F is a class of mean-zero functions on a probability space. We present a sharp bound on the supremum of that process which depends on the \psi_1 diameter of the class F…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2010-05-06 Shahar Mendelson

This paper describes an expectation propagation (EP) method for multi-class classification with Gaussian processes that scales well to very large datasets. In such a method the estimate of the log-marginal-likelihood involves a sum across…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-23 Carlos Villacampa-Calvo , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

We study Bayesian inference methods for solving linear inverse problems, focusing on hierarchical formulations where the prior or the likelihood function depend on unspecified hyperparameters. In practice, these hyperparameters are often…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Qingping Zhou , Wenqing Liu , Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

We consider a two parameter family of unitarily invariant diffusion processes on the general linear group $\mathbb{GL}_N$ of $N\times N$ invertible matrices, that includes the standard Brownian motion as well as the usual unitary Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-23 Guillaume Cébron , Todd Kemp

A bracketing metric entropy bound for the class of Laplace transforms of probability measures on [0,\infty) is obtained through its connection with the small deviation probability of a smooth Gaussian process. Our results for the particular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-05 Fuchang Gao , Wenbo V. Li , Jon A. Wellner

Sampling a probability distribution with an unknown normalization constant is a fundamental problem in computational science and engineering. This task may be cast as an optimization problem over all probability measures, and an initial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-12 Yifan Chen , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Jiaoyang Huang , Sebastian Reich , Andrew M. Stuart

Let $Z_1,\ldots,Z_n$ be i.i.d. isotropic random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^p$, and $T \subset \mathbb{R}^p$ be a compact set. A classical line of empirical process theory characterizes the size of the suprema of the quadratic process…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Qiyang Han

This paper proposes a new algorithm for Gaussian process classification based on posterior linearisation (PL). In PL, a Gaussian approximation to the posterior density is obtained iteratively using the best possible linearisation of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-19 Ángel F. García-Fernández , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

We prove large deviation principles for $\int_0^t \gamma(X_s)ds$, where $X$ is a $d$-dimensional self-similar Gaussian process and $\gamma(x)$ takes the form of the Dirac delta function $\delta(x)$, $|x|^{-\beta}$ with $\beta\in (0,d)$, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Xiaoming Song

In this work, we study large deviation properties of the covariance process in fully connected Gaussian deep neural networks. More precisely, we establish a large deviation principle (LDP) for the covariance process in a functional…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Luisa Andreis , Federico Bassetti , Christian Hirsch

For the first time, a general two-parameter family of entropy conservative numerical fluxes for the shallow water equations is developed and investigated. These are adapted to a varying bottom topography in a well-balanced way, i.e.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-03-24 Hendrik Ranocha

The main challenges that arise when adopting Gaussian Process priors in probabilistic modeling are how to carry out exact Bayesian inference and how to account for uncertainty on model parameters when making model-based predictions on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-08 Maurizio Filippone , Mark Girolami

The aim of this paper is to present a result of discrete approximation of some class of stable self-similar stationary increments processes. The properties of such processes were intensively investigated, but little is known on the context…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-18 Clément Dombry , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard

Traditional measures of smoothness often fail to provide accurate $L_p$-error estimates for approximation by sampling or interpolation operators, especially for functions with low smoothness. To address this issue, we introduce a modified…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-02 Yurii Kolomoitsev

We show how to use a variational approximation to the logistic function to perform approximate inference in Bayesian networks containing discrete nodes with continuous parents. Essentially, we convert the logistic function to a Gaussian,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Kevin Murphy

\emph{Optimal Transport} (OT) has emerged as an important computational tool in machine learning and computer vision, providing a geometrical framework for studying probability measures. OT unfortunately suffers from the curse of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-08 Anton Mallasto

We study the probability distribution of entanglement in the Quantum Symmetric Simple Exclusion Process, a model of fermions hopping with random Brownian amplitudes between neighboring sites. We consider a protocol where the system is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-07-30 Denis Bernard , Lorenzo Piroli
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