Related papers: Small deviations for a family of smooth Gaussian p…
A method to perform unfolding with Gaussian processes (GPs) is presented. Using Bayesian regression, we define an estimator for the underlying truth distribution as the mode of the posterior. We show that in the case where the bin contents…
Gaussian processes are distributions over functions that are versatile and mathematically convenient priors in Bayesian modelling. However, their use is often impeded for data with large numbers of observations, $N$, due to the cubic (in…
We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…
Gaussian process emulators of computationally expensive computer codes provide fast statistical approximations to model physical processes. The training of these surrogates depends on the set of design points chosen to run the simulator.…
Gaussian processes (GPs) are a good choice for function approximation as they are flexible, robust to over-fitting, and provide well-calibrated predictive uncertainty. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer generalisations of GPs,…
The entropy error function has been widely used in neural networks. Nevertheless, the network training based on this error function generally leads to a slow convergence rate, and can easily be trapped in a local minimum or even with the…
This article is a survey of the results on asymptotic behavior of small ball probabilities in $L_2$-norm. Recent progress in this field is mainly based on the methods of spectral theory of differential and integral operators.
The paper deals with the asymptotic behavior of the bridge of a Gaussian process conditioned to stay in $n$ fixed points at $n$ fixed past instants. In particular, functional large deviation results are stated for small time. Several…
We develop a theory of optimal transport for stationary random measures with a focus on stationary point processes and construct a family of distances on the set of stationary random measures. These induce a natural notion of interpolation…
In this paper, we investigate a deep learning method for predicting path-dependent processes based on discretely observed historical information. This method is implemented by considering the prediction as a nonparametric regression and…
In this article we establish a large deviation principle for the family {\nu_{\epsilon}:\epsilon \in (0,1)} of distributions of the scaled stochastic processes {P_{-\log\sqrt{\epsilon}}Z_t}_{t\leq 1}, where (Z_t)_{t\in \lbrack 0,1]} is a…
There is a well-known sequence of constants c_n describing the growth of supercritical Galton-Watson processes Z_n. With 'lower deviation probabilities' we refer to P(Z_n=k_n) with k_n=o(c_n) as n increases. We give a detailed picture of…
Gaussian Processes (GPs) can be used as flexible, non-parametric function priors. Inspired by the growing body of work on Normalizing Flows, we enlarge this class of priors through a parametric invertible transformation that can be made…
In this paper, we investigate a class of approximate Gaussian processes (GP) obtained by taking a linear combination of compactly supported basis functions with the basis coefficients endowed with a dependent Gaussian prior distribution.…
Various approaches to stochastic processes exist, noting that key properties such as measurability and continuity are not trivially satisfied. We introduce a new theory for Gaussian processes using improper linear functionals. Using a…
We derive rates of contraction of posterior distributions on nonparametric or semiparametric models based on Gaussian processes. The rate of contraction is shown to depend on the position of the true parameter relative to the reproducing…
Under certain mild conditions, some limit theorems for functionals of two independent Gaussian processes are obtained. The results apply to general Gaussian processes including fractional Brownian motion, sub-fractional Brownian motion and…
Discretizations of Langevin diffusions provide a powerful method for sampling and Bayesian inference. However, such discretizations require evaluation of the gradient of the potential function. In several real-world scenarios, obtaining…
In this article we prove large deviations principles for high minima of Gaussian processes with nonnegatively correlated increments on arbitrary intervals. Furthermore, we prove large deviations principles for the increments of such…
This paper introduces a new method for performing computational inference on log-Gaussian Cox processes. The likelihood is approximated directly by making novel use of a continuously specified Gaussian random field. We show that for…