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Let $(X_1,Y_1),\ldots,(X_n,Y_n)$ be an i.i.d. sample from a bivariate distribution function that lies in the max-domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution. The asymptotic joint distribution of the standardized component-wise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-03 Sami Umut Can , John H. J. Einmahl , Estate V. Khmaladze , Roger J. A. Laeven

A simple way of obtaining robust estimates of the "center" (or the "location") and of the "scatter" of a dataset is to use the maximum likelihood estimate with a class of heavy-tailed distributions, regardless of the "true" distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Pavol Ševera

Let $X_{1},..,X_{n}$ denote an i.i.d. sample with light tail distribution and $S_{1}^{n}$ denote the sum of its terms; let $a_{n}$ be a real sequence\ going to infinity with $n.$\ In a previous paper (\cite{BoniaCao}) it is proved that as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-16 Michel Broniatowski , Zhansheng Cao

Free cumulants were introduced by Speicher as a proper analog of classical cumulants in Voiculescu's theory of free probability. The relation between free moments and free cumulants is usually described in terms of Moebius calculus over the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-05-18 Kurusch Ebrahimi-Fard , Frederic Patras

We introduce a novel bivariate copula model able to capture both the central and tail dependence of the joint probability distribution. Model that can capture the dependence structure within the joint tail have important implications in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-01 Maria Concepción Ausín , Maria Kalli

Due to globalization and relaxed market regulation, we have assisted to an increasing of extremal dependence in international markets. As a consequence, several measures of tail dependence have been stated in literature in recent years,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-10 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

We study the parabolic Anderson problem, that is, the heat equation $\partial_tu=\Delta u+\xi u$ on $(0,\infty)\times{\mathbb{Z}}^d$ with independent identically distributed random potential $\{\xi(z):z\in{\mathbb{Z}}^d\}$ and localized…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Remco van der Hofstad , Peter Mörters , Nadia Sidorova\tsup

In this work, we investigate how to develop sharp concentration inequalities for sub-Weibull random variables, including sub-Gaussian and sub-exponential distributions. Although the random variables may not be sub-Guassian, the tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Yinan Shen , Jinchi Lv

We reconsider a classical, well-studied problem from applied probability. This is the max-sum equivalence of randomly weighted sums, and the originality is because we manage to include interdependence among the primary random variables, as…

For ordinary matrix models, the eigenvalue probability density decays rapidly as one goes to infinity, in other words, has "short tails". This ensures that all the multiple trace correlators (multipoint moments) are convergent and…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2021-12-15 A. Mironov , A. Morozov , A. Popolitov

We present in this paper the theory of multivariate Banach spaces of random variables with exponential decreasing tails of distributions.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-15 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

Standard statistical analysis is unable to provide reliable confidence intervals on expectation values of probability distributions that do not satisfy the conditions of the central limit theorem. We present a regression-based estimator of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-24 Pablo Lopez Rios , Gareth J. Conduit

Hoeffding has shown that tail bounds on the distribution for sampling from a finite population with replacement also apply to the corresponding cases of sampling without replacement. (A special case of this result is that binomial tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-11 Kyle J. Luh , Nicholas Pippenger

Ex ante forecast outcomes should be interpreted as counterfactuals (potential histories), with errors as the spread between outcomes. Reapplying measurements of uncertainty about the estimation errors of the estimation errors of an…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-12 Nassim N. Taleb

This paper introduces a flexible framework for the estimation of the conditional tail index of heavy tailed distributions. In this framework, the tail index is computed from an auxiliary linear regression model that facilitates estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-23 João Nicolau , Paulo M. M. Rodrigues

Linear regression with the classical normality assumption for the error distribution may lead to an undesirable posterior inference of regression coefficients due to the potential outliers. This paper considers the finite mixture of two…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-12 Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Hoeffding-type exponential inequalities are obtained for the distribution tails of canonical von Mises' statistics of arbitrary order based on samples from a stationary sequence of random variables satisfying the {\varphi}-mixing condition.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-02 I. S. Borisov , N. Volodko

We construct an example of a continuous centered random process with light tails of finite-dimensional distribution but with (relatively) heavy tail of maximum distribution. The apparatus for tails comparison are embedding results for…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-25 Eugene Ostrovsky , Leonid Sirota

In a range of citation networks, the in-degree distributions boast time-periodicity---the distributions of citations per article published each year present similar scale-free tails. This phenomenon can be regarded as a consequence of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-10-12 Qi Liu , Zheng Xie , Zonglin Xie , Enming Dong , Jianping Li

We show bounds on tail probabilities for quadratic forms in sub-gaussian non-necessarily independent random variables. Our main tool will be estimates of the Luxemburg norms of such forms. This will allow us to formulate the above-mentioned…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-14 Krzysztof Zajkowski