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Related papers: Optimal stopping in a general framework

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We use probabilistic methods to characterise time dependent optimal stopping boundaries in a problem of multiple optimal stopping on a finite time horizon. Motivated by financial applications we consider a payoff of immediate stopping of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-10 Tiziano De Angelis , Yerkin Kitapbayev

In this paper, we consider the optimal stopping problem on semi-Markov processes (SMPs) with finite horizon, and aim to establish the existence and computation of optimal stopping times. To achieve the goal, we first develop the main…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-16 Fang Chen , Xianping Guo , Zhong-Wei Liao

We propose a novel group of Gaussian Process based algorithms for fast approximate optimal stopping of time series with specific applications to financial markets. We show that structural properties commonly exhibited by financial time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-11 Kshama Dwarakanath , Danial Dervovic , Peyman Tavallali , Svitlana S Vyetrenko , Tucker Balch

We obtain the first probabilistic proof of continuous differentiability of time-dependent optimal boundaries in optimal stopping problems. The underlying stochastic dynamics is a one-dimensional, time-inhomogeneous diffusion. The gain…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Tiziano De Angelis , Damien Lamberton

Last passage times arise in a number of areas of applied probability, including risk theory and degradation models. Such times are obviously not stopping times since they depend on the whole path of the underlying process. We consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-01 Erik J. Baurdoux , J. M. Pedraza

In the spirit of [Surya07'], we develop an average problem approach to prove the optimality of threshold type strategies for optimal stopping of L\'evy models with a continuous additive functional (CAF) discounting. Under spectrally…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-21 Mingsi Long , Hongzhong Zhang

In this paper we consider stopping problems with partial observation under a general risk-sensitive optimization criterion for problems with finite and infinite time horizon. Our aim is to maximize the certainty equivalent of the stopping…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-29 Nicole Bäuerle , Ulrich Rieder

We consider a class of infinite-time horizon optimal stopping problems for spectrally negative Levy processes. Focusing on strategies of threshold type, we write explicit expressions for the corresponding expected payoff via the scale…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-05-03 Masahiko Egami , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We study the optimal stopping problem of maximizing the variance of an unkilled linear diffusion. Especially, we demonstrate how the problem can be solved as a convex two-player zero-sum game, and reveal quite surprising application of game…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Kamille Sofie Tågholt Gad , Pekka Matomäki

Infinite horizon optimal stopping problems for a L\'evy processes with a two-sided reward function are considered. A two-sided verification theorem is presented in terms of the overall supremum and the overall infimum of the process. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-18 Ernesto Mordecki , Facundo Oliú Eguren

In this paper, we study an optimal exit time problem with general running and terminal costs and a target $\mathcal{S}\subset\mathbb{R}^d$ having an inner ball property for a nonlinear control system that satisfies mild controllability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Piermarco Cannarsa , Marco Mazzola , Khai T. Nguyen

We consider the optimal stopping problem consisting in, given a strong Markov process, a reward function and a discount rate, finding the stopping time such that the expected reward at the stopping time is maximum. The approach we follow,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Fabián Crocce

This note considers a variation of the full-information secretary problem where the random variables to be observed are independent and identically distributed. Consider $X_1,\dots,X_n$ to be an independent sequence of random variables, let…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-11 José A. Islas

Let $X$ be a bounded c\`adl\`ag process with positive jumps defined on the canonical space of continuous paths. We consider the problem of optimal stopping the process $X$ under a nonlinear expectation operator $\cE$ defined as the supremum…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-12 Ibrahim Ekren , Nizar Touzi , Jianfeng Zhang

We study two-player zero-sum stopping games in continuous time and infinite horizon. We prove that the value in randomized stopping times exists as soon as the payoff processes are right-continuous. In particular, as opposed to existing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rida Laraki , Eilon Solan

We study an infinite horizon optimal stopping problem which arises naturally in the optimal timing of a firm/project sale or in the valuation of natural resources: the functional to be maximised is a sum of a discounted running reward and a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-08 Jan Palczewski , Lukasz Stettner

In the standard models for optimal multiple stopping problems it is assumed that between two exercises there is always a time period of deterministic length $\delta$, the so called refraction period. This prevents the optimal exercise times…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-17 Sören Christensen , Albrecht Irle , Stephan Jürgens

We propose a new method for solving optimal stopping problems (such as American option pricing in finance) under minimal assumptions on the underlying stochastic process $X$. We consider classic and randomized stopping times represented by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Christian Bayer , Paul Hager , Sebastian Riedel , John Schoenmakers

In this article we study and classify optimal martingales in the dual formulation of optimal stopping problems. In this respect we distinguish between weakly optimal and surely optimal martingales. It is shown that the family of weakly…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-03 Denis Belomestny , John Schoenmakers

We develop an approach for solving one-sided optimal stopping problems in discrete time for general underlying Markov processes on the real line. The main idea is to transform the problem into an auxiliary problem for the ladder height…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Sören Christensen , Albrecht Irle
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