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In this paper, we propose a reduced-bias estimator of the EVI for Pareto-type tails (heavy-tailed) distributions. This is derived using the weighted least squares method. It is shown that the estimator is unbiased, consistent and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 E. Ocran , R. Minkah , K. Doku-Amponsah

Average calibration of the (variance-based) prediction uncertainties of machine learning regression tasks can be tested in two ways: one is to estimate the calibration error (CE) as the difference between the mean absolute error (MSE) and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-20 Pascal Pernot

The minimax risk is often considered as a gold standard against which we can compare specific statistical procedures. Nevertheless, as has been observed recently in robust and heavy-tailed estimation problems, the inherent reduction of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Tianyi Ma , Kabir A. Verchand , Richard J. Samworth

A common task in high-throughput biology is to test for differences in means between two samples across thousands of features (e.g., genes or proteins), often with only a handful of replicates per sample. Moderated t-tests handle this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Wanyi Ling , Wufang Hong , Nikolaos Ignatiadis

Researchers increasingly use meta-analysis to synthesize the results of several studies in order to estimate a common effect. When the outcome variable is continuous, standard meta-analytic approaches assume that the primary studies report…

We consider the problem of estimating confidence intervals for the mean of a random variable, where the goal is to produce the smallest possible interval for a given number of samples. While minimax optimal algorithms are known for this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-19 Shengjia Zhao , Christopher Yeh , Stefano Ermon

We study the large sample properties of sparse M-estimators in the presence of pseudo-observations. Our framework covers a broad class of semi-parametric copula models, for which the marginal distributions are unknown and replaced by their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-01 Jean-David Fermanian , Benjamin Poignard

Tyler's and Maronna's M-estimators, as well as their regularized variants, are popular robust methods to estimate the scatter or covariance matrix of a multivariate distribution. In this work, we study the non-asymptotic behavior of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Elad Romanov , Gil Kur , Boaz Nadler

Robust and sparse estimation of linear regression coefficients is investigated. The situation addressed by the present paper is that covariates and noises are sampled from heavy-tailed distributions, and the covariates and noises are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-11 Takeyuki Sasai

In this article, we consider two forms of shrinkage estimators of the mean $\theta$ of a multivariate normal distribution $X\sim N_{p}\left(\theta, \sigma^{2}I_{p}\right)$ where $\sigma^{2}$ is unknown. We take the prior law $\theta \sim…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Abdenour Hamdaoui , Abdelkader Benkhaled , Nadia Mezouar

In this work, we analyze the variance of a stochastic estimator for computing Schatten norms of matrices. The estimator extracts information from a single sketch of the matrix, that is, the product of the matrix with a few standard Gaussian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Ya-Chi Chu , Alice Cortinovis

This paper concerns the robust regression model when the number of predictors and the number of observations grow in a similar rate. Theory for M-estimators in this regime has been recently developed by several authors [El Karoui et al.,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-06 Daniel Nevo , Ya'acov Ritov

We consider heavy-tailed distributions and compare the well-known estimators of the tail index, based on extreme value theory with a comparatively recent estimator based on a different idea.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Vygantas Paulauskas , Marijus Vaičiulis

Most of the modern literature on robust mean estimation focuses on designing estimators which obtain optimal sub-Gaussian concentration bounds under minimal moment assumptions and sometimes also assuming contamination. This work looks at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-30 Lucas Resende

We present a novel approach to estimating discrete distributions with (potentially) infinite support in the total variation metric. In a departure from the established paradigm, we make no structural assumptions whatsoever on the sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Doron Cohen , Aryeh Kontorovich , Geoffrey Wolfer

Estimation of the mean vector and covariance matrix is of central importance in the analysis of multivariate data. In the framework of generalized linear models, usually the variances are certain functions of the means with the normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-25 Anupam Kundu , Mohsen Pourahmadi

A two-stage normal hierarchical model called the Fay--Herriot model and the empirical Bayes estimator are widely used to provide indirect and model-based estimates of means in small areas. However, the performance of the empirical Bayes…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-26 Shonosuke Sugasawa

The properties of Maximum Likelihood estimator in mixed causal and noncausal models with a generalized Student's t error process are reviewed. Several known existing methods are typically not applicable in the heavy-tailed framework. To…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-23 Francesco Giancaterini , Alain Hecq

We study the estimation error of constrained M-estimators, and derive explicit upper bounds on the expected estimation error determined by the Gaussian width of the constraint set. Both of the cases where the true parameter is on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-29 Yen-Huan Li , Ya-Ping Hsieh , Nissim Zerbib , Volkan Cevher

We demonstrate that a popular class of nonparametric mutual information (MI) estimators based on k-nearest-neighbor graphs requires number of samples that scales exponentially with the true MI. Consequently, accurate estimation of MI…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-09 Shuyang Gao , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan