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We define two minimum distance estimators for dependent data by minimizing some approximated Maximum Mean Discrepancy distances between the true empirical distribution of observations and their assumed (parametric) model distribution. When…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Pierre Alquier , Jean-David Fermanian , Benjamin Poignard

This paper investigates the {\em nonasymptotic} properties of Bayes procedures for estimating an unknown distribution from $n$ i.i.d.\ observations. We assume that the prior is supported by a model $(\scr{S},h)$ (where $h$ denotes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-03 Lucien Birgé

The notion of expectiles, originally introduced in the context of testing for homoscedasticity and conditional symmetry of the error distribution in linear regression, induces a law-invariant, coherent and elicitable risk measure that has…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-20 Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

Simulation from the truncated multivariate normal distribution in high dimensions is a recurrent problem in statistical computing, and is typically only feasible using approximate MCMC sampling. In this article we propose a minimax tilting…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-15 Z. I. Botev

The relationship between a response variable and its covariates can vary significantly, especially in scenarios where covariates take on extremely high or low values. This paper introduces a max-linear tail regression model specifically…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Zhengjun Zhang

We study in this article large deviations for the empirical mean of iid random vectors with some deterministic weights, whose empirical measure weakly converges to some compactly support probability distribution. The scope of this paper is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Mylène Maïda , Jamal Najim , Sandrine Péché

This paper considers estimation and inference about tail features when the observations beyond some threshold are censored. We first show that ignoring such tail censoring could lead to substantial bias and size distortion, even if the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-25 Yulong Wang , Zhijie Xiao

By employing various empirical estimators for the Mutual Information (MI) measure, we calculate and compare the estimates and their confidence intervals for both normal and non-normal bivariate data samples. We find that certain nonlinear…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Theo Grigorenko , Leo Grigorenko

In this work, we focus on some conditional extreme risk measures estimation for elliptical random vectors. In a previous paper, we proposed a methodology to approximate extreme quantiles, based on two extremal parameters. We thus propose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-26 Antoine Usseglio-Carleve

Two non-intrusive uncertainty propagation approaches are proposed for the performance analysis of engineering systems described by expensive-to-evaluate deterministic computer models with parameters defined as interval variables. These…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-15 Alice Cicirello , Filippo Giunta

The paper contains results in three areas: First we present a general estimate for tail probabilities of Gaussian quadratic forms with known expectation and variance. Thereafter we analyze the distribution of norms of complex Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Georg Berschneider , Björn Böttcher

Many statistical applications involve models for which it is difficult to evaluate the likelihood, but from which it is relatively easy to sample. Approximate Bayesian computation is a likelihood-free method for implementing Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-29 Wentao Li , Paul Fearnhead

We propose a consistent estimator of sharp bounds on the variance of the difference-in-means estimator in completely randomized experiments. Generalizing Robins [Stat. Med. 7 (1988) 773-785], our results resolve a well-known identification…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-27 Peter M. Aronow , Donald P. Green , Donald K. K. Lee

In this paper we consider the estimation problem for high quantiles of a heavy-tailed distribution from block data when only a few largest values are observed within blocks. We propose estimators for high quantiles and prove that these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Yongcheng Qi , Mengzi Xie , Jingping Yang

The Bayesian posterior minimizes the "inferential risk" which itself bounds the "predictive risk". This bound is tight when the likelihood and prior are well-specified. However since misspecification induces a gap, the Bayesian posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Warren R. Morningstar , Alexander A. Alemi , Joshua V. Dillon

This paper establishes bounds on the performance of empirical risk minimization for large-dimensional linear regression. We generalize existing results by allowing the data to be dependent and heavy-tailed. The analysis covers both the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-23 Christian Brownlees , Guðmundur Stefán Guðmundsson

Gaussian comparison inequalities provide a way of bounding probabilities relating to multivariate Gaussian random vectors in terms of probabilities of random variables with simpler correlation structures. In this paper, we establish the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-14 Amanda Turner , John Whitehead

We offer a survey of recent results on covariance estimation for heavy-tailed distributions. By unifying ideas scattered in the literature, we propose user-friendly methods that facilitate practical implementation. Specifically, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 Yuan Ke , Stanislav Minsker , Zhao Ren , Qiang Sun , Wen-Xin Zhou

In data-driven learning and inference tasks, the high cost of acquiring samples from the target distribution often limits performance. A common strategy to mitigate this challenge is to augment the limited target samples with data from a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Barron Han , Danil Akhtiamov , Reza Ghane , Babak Hassibi

We consider estimating the shared mean of a sequence of heavy-tailed random variables taking values in a Banach space. In particular, we revisit and extend a simple truncation-based mean estimator first proposed by Catoni and Giulini. While…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Justin Whitehouse , Ben Chugg , Diego Martinez-Taboada , Aaditya Ramdas
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