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We present a model of financial markets originally proposed for a turbulent flow, as a dynamic basis of its intermittent behavior. Time evolution of the price change is assumed to be described by Brownian motion in a power-law potential,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Naoki Kozuki , Nobuko Fuchikami

Renowned method of log-periodic power law(LPPL) is one of the few ways that a financial market crash could be predicted. Alongside with LPPL, this paper propose a novel method of stock market crash using white box model derived from simple…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-27 HyeonJun Kim

A novel theoretical model for bubble dynamics is established that simultaneously accounts for the liquid compressibility, phase transition, oscillation, migration, ambient flow field, etc. The bubble dynamics equations are presented in a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-05 A-Man Zhang , Shi-Min Li , Run-Ze Xu , Shao-Cong Pei , Shuai Li , Yun-Long Liu

In the model of Chain Inflation, a sequential chain of coupled scalar fields drives inflation. We consider a multidimensional potential with a large number of bowls, or local minima, separated by energy barriers: inflation takes place as…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-11-10 Katherine Freese , Douglas Spolyar

We study the dependence of volatility on the stock price in the stochastic volatility framework on the example of the Heston model. To be more specific, we consider the conditional expectation of variance (square of volatility) under fixed…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-07-29 Mikhail Martynov , Olga Rozanova

We propose that the minimal requirements for a model of stock market price fluctuations should comprise time asymmetry, robustness with respect to connectivity between agents, ``bounded rationality'' and a probabilistic description. We also…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Anders Johansen , Didier Sornette

The dispersed phase in liquid-liquid emulsions and air-liquid mixtures can often be fragmented into smaller sizes by the surrounding turbulent carrier phase. The critical parameter that controls this process is the breakup frequency, which…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-08-29 Shijie Zhong , Rui Ni

A gas or vapor bubble collapsing in the vicinity of a rigid boundary displaces towards the boundary and produces a high-speed jet directed at the boundary. This behavior has been shown to be a function of the 'anisotropy' of the collapse,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-11-16 Elijah D. Andrews , Ivo R. Peters

We present a macro-finance model with innovation and knowledge spillover. Skilled agents engage in R&D activities (establish firms) or work in the knowledge-intensive sector. Unskilled agents work in the traditional sector. Knowledge…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-19 Tomohiro Hirano , Keiichi Kishi , Alexis Akira Toda

We consider the randomness of market trade as the origin of price and return stochasticity. We look at time series of trade values and volumes as random variables during the averaging interval {\Delta} and describe the dependences of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-18 Victor Olkhov

We introduce a model of super-exponential financial bubbles with two assets (risky and risk-free), in which rational investors and noise traders co-exist. Rational investors form expectations on the return and risk of a risky asset and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-11 T. Kaizoji , M. Leiss , A. Saichev , D. Sornette

Noncausal, or anticipative, heavy-tailed processes generate trajectories featuring locally explosive episodes akin to speculative bubbles in financial time series data. For $(X_t)$ a two-sided infinite $\alpha$-stable moving average (MA),…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-08 Sebastien Fries

A type of scenario is considered where electrically charged vacuum bubbles, formed from degenerate or nearly degenerate vacuua separated by a thin domain wall, are cosmologically produced due to the breaking of a discrete symmetry, with the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-31 J. R. Morris

In this paper, we study a simple hydrodynamical model showing abrupt flow reversals at random times. For a suitable range of parameters, we show that the dynamics of flow reversal is accurately described by stochastic differential…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Roberto Benzi

By combining (i) the economic theory of rational expectation bubbles, (ii) behavioral finance on imitation and herding of investors and traders and (iii) the mathematical and statistical physics of bifurcations and phase transitions, the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-07 Wanfeng Yan , Ryan Woodard , Didier Sornette

The collapse of a gas or vapour bubble near a non-porous boundary is directed at the boundary due to the asymmetry induced by the nearby boundary. High surface pressure and shear stress from this collapse can damage, or clean, the surface.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-05-10 Elijah D. Andrews , David Fernández Rivas , Ivo R. Peters

We construct a class of viable bouncing models that are conformally related to cosmological inflation. There are three main difficulties in constructing such a model: (i) A stable (attractor) solution, (ii) A non-singular bounce, and (iii)…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-08-25 Debottam Nandi

We tested 45 indices and common stocks traded in the South African stock market for the possible existence of a bubble over the period from Jan. 2003 to May 2006. A bubble is defined by a faster-than-exponential acceleration with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-01-09 Wei-Xing Zhou , Didier Sornette

We calculate analytically the bubble nucleation rate in a model of first order inflation which is able to produce large scale structure. The computation includes the first-order departure from the thin-wall limit, the explicit derivation of…

Recently, the existence of so-called granular bubbles and droplets has been demonstrated experimentally. Granular bubbles and droplets are clusters of particles that respectively rise and sink if submerged in an aerated and vibrated bed of…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2022-08-10 Jens P. Metzger , Louis Girardin , Nicholas A. Conzelmann , Christoph R. Müller
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